- The Blue Jays are -110 favorites vs the Rays
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Alek Manoah, 5.40 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen, 5.78 ERA
The Toronto Blue Jays (-110) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-110) on Sunday, March 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in St. Petersburg.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Blue Jays vs Rays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Blue Jays are 11-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 9-6 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +145 | O 8.5 +100 | -110 |
| Rays | +1.5 -175 | U 8.5 -120 | -110 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Sunday‘s Spring Training matchup with 56.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Blue Jays vs Rays and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Chapman has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 games (+3.60 Units / 180% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+2.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 1 of his last 2 away games (+0.75 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Over in his last 4 games at home (+6.05 Units / 86% ROI)
- David Peralta has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 66% ROI)
- Francisco Mejia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.95 Units / 198% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 123 games (+13.85 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 26 away games (+13.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 away games (+11.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 50 of their last 86 games (+9.67 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.90 Units / 41% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 61 games at home (+13.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 53 games (+11.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 28 games (+11.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+7.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 61 games (+7.25 Units / 9% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 10-6 against the Run Line (+4.85 Units / 25.94% ROI).
- 11-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.65 Units / 25.45% ROI
- 8-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.15 Units / 0.84% ROI
- 7-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.7 Units / -9.77% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 9-6 against the Run Line (+3.4 Units / 18.04% ROI).
- 6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.4 Units / -13.91% ROI
- 8-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.5 Units / 3.06% ROI
- 7-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.75 Units / -10.51% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters batted just .159 (51-for-321) against Alek Manoah last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .158 (82-for-520) against Alek Manoah since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 99th Percentile.
Alek Manoah allowed a slugging percentage of just .249 (80 Total Bases / 321 ABs) against right-handed batters last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .378 — 100th Percentile.
Alek Manoah allowed an OPS of just .460 (346 PA’s) against right-handed batters last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .712 — 100th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted just .212 against Drew Rasmussen (17-for-80) when he was behind in the count last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .336 — 98th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen allowed an OPS of just .634 (88 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 1.038 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .267 (66-for-247) against Drew Rasmussen in non-two strike counts last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .329 — 97th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .388 (50 Total Bases / 129 ABs) when behind in the count since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .592 — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Blue Jays are 45-36 (.556) on the road last season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The Blue Jays are 78-20 (.796) when allowing 4 or fewer runs last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Blue Jays are 17-14 (.548) when tied entering the 7th inning last season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are just 22-30 (.423) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Rays are 51-30 (.630) at home last season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Rays are 54-8 (.871) when scoring 5 or more runs last season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .805.
The Rays are 40-11 (.784) when totaling 10 or more hits last season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Rays are just 72-11 (.867) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .664 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .571.
Blue Jays hitters have put 42% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
The Blue Jays are batting .261 with two outs since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.
The Blue Jays are batting .265 since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have grounded into 167 double plays in 2,182 opportunities (8%) since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Rays hitters put 39% of their swings in play against LHP last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Rays hitters struck out just 29 times in 177 PA’s (16%) against LHP over the last 30 days of the regular season (17 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rays hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers walked 428 of 6,098 batters (7%) last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers walked 92 of 1,455 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 39% of their games since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 901 of 12,014 batters (7%) since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 168 of 2,905 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 820 of 11,928 batters (7%) since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 988 of 14,140 batters (7%) since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers walked 384 of 5,930 batters (7%) last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Toronto Blue Jays – No Injuries Reported
Bet now on Blue Jays vs Rays and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
