- The Rays are -190 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi
- Rays starting pitcher: Shane McClanahan
- Watch the game on BSSUN
The Toronto Blue Jays (+155) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-190) on Wednesday, May 24, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in St. Petersburg.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Blue Jays vs Rays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Blue Jays are 26-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 29-21 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -135 | O 8.5 -115 | +155 |
| Rays | -1.5 +110 | U 8.5 -105 | -190 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 84.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+13.20 Units / 61% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+11.20 Units / 70% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 12 away games (+11.10 Units / 93% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 46 games (+10.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 14 away games (+9.85 Units / 52% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+10.75 Units / 58% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 31 games (+8.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 31 games (+8.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.35 Units / 40% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 19 games (+7.85 Units / 41% ROI)
Rays vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Rays vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -120 |
| George Springer | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Rays vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Rays vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yusei Kikuchi | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -140 |
| Shane McClanahan | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +115 |
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.85 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games (+6.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 23 away games (+4.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.25 Units / 20% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 50 games (+15.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 26 games at home (+10.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 46 games (+10.00 Units / 20% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 24-25 against the Run Line (-2.45 Units / -4% ROI).
- 26-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.9 Units / -8.18% ROI
- 24-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.85 Units / -1.6% ROI
- 23-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.75 Units / -6.85% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 29-21 against the Run Line (+9.2 Units / 15.79% ROI).
- 35-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.65 Units / 18.71% ROI
- 29-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.8 Units / 15.93% ROI
- 18-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.15 Units / -25.84% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.4 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (80 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 80.6
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed a slugging percentage of .596 (31 Total Bases / 52 ABs) versus the bottom of the order this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .352 — first Percentile.
4 of Yusei Kikuchi’s 17 breaking pitch strikeouts (23%) have been backdoor this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 13% — 88th Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed an OPS of .823 (195 PA’s) this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .703 — 10th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .143 (3-for-21) against Shane McClanahan on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .348 — 100th Percentile.
Shane McClanahan has allowed an OBP of just .114 (44 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .312 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 38% (104/273) against Shane McClanahan in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
Shane McClanahan has 21 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 2nd most among pitchers in MLB — 99th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Blue Jays are 3-18 (.143) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Blue Jays are 43-33 (.566) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Blue Jays are 15-10 (.600) after a win this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .516.
The Blue Jays are 101-24 (.808) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Rays are 8-6 (.571) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .268.
The Rays are 8-10 (.444) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .207.
The Rays are 17-4 (.810) after a home win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .549.
The Rays are 22-5 (.815) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .533.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .267 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
The Blue Jays are batting .261 with two outs since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .234.
The Blue Jays are batting .264 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Blue Jays are batting .264 on the road since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging .509 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Rays hitters are slugging .572 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .423.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .936 (333 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .747.
Rays hitters are slugging .649 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .445.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays pitchers have won only 14% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Rays pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 30% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have won 55% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Rays pitchers have walked 537 of 7,780 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor Strain, D60
- Shawn Armstrong (Rays): Neck, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Brandon Lowe (Rays): Neck, Day-to-Day
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Zachery Pop (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D15
- Santiago Espinal (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D10
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Undisclosed, D60
- Mitchell White (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
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