- The Blue Jays are -120 favorites vs the Tigers
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman, 0.00 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Anthony Wingenter, 0.00 ERA
- Watch the game on BSDET
The Toronto Blue Jays (-120) visit Publix Field at Joker Marchant Stadium to take on the Detroit Tigers (+100) on Monday, March 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Lakeland.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+130).
The Blue Jays vs Tigers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Blue Jays are 11-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 6-11 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +130 | O 9 -120 | -120 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -155 | U 9 +100 | +100 |
Blue Jays vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Tuesday‘s Spring Training matchup with 66.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Chapman has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 games (+3.60 Units / 180% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+2.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Runs Over in 1 of his last 2 away games (+0.75 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Eric Haase has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.70 Units / 185% ROI)
- Eric Haase has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 79% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Runs Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+2.30 Units / 77% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 42% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 123 games (+13.85 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 26 away games (+13.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 away games (+11.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 50 of their last 86 games (+9.67 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.90 Units / 41% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 159 games (+18.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+10.70 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 62 games (+9.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 62 games (+8.45 Units / 13% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 10-7 against the Run Line (+3.85 Units / 19.54% ROI).
- 11-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.65 Units / 20.04% ROI
- 8-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.85 Units / -4.52% ROI
- 8-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.7 Units / -3.76% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 6-11 against the Run Line (-4.45 Units / -23% ROI).
- 9-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.95 Units / 4.69% ROI
- 12-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.45 Units / 34.68% ROI
- 5-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.35 Units / -44.3% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a chase percentage of 39% (570/1,446) against Kevin Gausman last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents batted .204 (85-for-416) against Kevin Gausman with two-strikes last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .156 — sixth Percentile.
Hitters swung at 56% of Kevin Gausman’s pitches (1,602/2,878) last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has 98 three-pitch strikeouts since the start of the 2021 season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The last hit on a Michael Lorenzen changeup was September 16th, 2022. Hitters are 0 for their last 25 in ABs ending on his changeup. — Bryan Baker has the longest active streak at 28.
Michael Lorenzen walked 15 of 91 batters (17%) with runners in scoring position last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 9% — second Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has not allowed a home run in any of the last 18.0 innings he’s appeared — Jose Quintana has the longest active streak at 67.1.
Michael Lorenzen had a strike rate of just 62% (234/377) when he’s behind in the count last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 69% — second Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Blue Jays are 45-36 (.556) on the road last season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The Blue Jays are 78-20 (.796) when allowing 4 or fewer runs last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Blue Jays are 17-14 (.548) when tied entering the 7th inning last season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are just 22-30 (.423) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Tigers are just 6-68 (.081) when allowing 5 or more runs last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Tigers are 13-1 (.929) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The Tigers are just 7-34 (.171) when allowing 2 or more home runs last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.
The Tigers are just 35-46 (.432) at home last season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .664 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .571.
Blue Jays hitters have put 42% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
The Blue Jays are batting .261 with two outs since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.
The Blue Jays are batting .265 since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters had an OPS of just .608 (4,338 PA’s) against RHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Tigers hitters slugged just .331 against RHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Tigers hitters had an OBP of just .277 (4,338 PA’s) against RHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .289 (8,569 PA’s) against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers walked 428 of 6,098 batters (7%) last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers walked 92 of 1,455 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 39% of their games since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 901 of 12,014 batters (7%) since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers walked 129 of 1,425 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Tigers vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Toronto Blue Jays – No Injuries Reported
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