- The Tigers are -125 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Andrew Hutchison, 9.00 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Spencer Turnbull
The Toronto Blue Jays (+105) visit Publix Field at Joker Marchant Stadium to take on the Detroit Tigers (-125) on Saturday, March 4, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EST in Lakeland.
The Tigers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Blue Jays vs Tigers Over/Under is 12 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Blue Jays are 3-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 1-3 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -165 | O 12 +100 | +105 |
| Tigers | -1.5 +140 | U 12 -120 | -125 |
Blue Jays vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Saturday‘s Spring Training matchup with 60.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Raimel Tapia has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+2.00 Units / 50% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Eric Haase has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 79% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Runs Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+2.30 Units / 77% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 123 games (+13.85 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 26 away games (+13.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 away games (+11.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 50 of their last 86 games (+9.67 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.90 Units / 41% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 159 games (+18.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 59 of their last 108 games (+12.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+10.70 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 62 games (+9.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.70 Units / 15% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 2-2 against the Run Line (+0.4 Units / 9.2% ROI).
- 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.5 Units / 52.08% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.25 Units / -5.62% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.2 Units / -4.6% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 1-3 against the Run Line (-2 Units / -43.96% ROI).
- 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.3 Units / -5.83% ROI
- 4-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +4 Units / 93.02% ROI
- 0-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.5 Units / -100% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spencer Turnbull has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last five games dating back to May 13rd, 2021 — Nick Lodolo has the longest active streak at 8.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Blue Jays are just 4-57 (.066) when trailing entering the 8th inning last season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Blue Jays are 68-5 (.932) when leading entering the 7th inning last season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .881.
The Blue Jays are 104-88 (.542) on the road since the 2020 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .462.
The Blue Jays are 78-20 (.796) when allowing 4 or fewer runs last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Tigers are 13-1 (.929) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The Tigers are just 6-68 (.081) when allowing 5 or more runs last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Tigers are just 64-86 (.427) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Tigers are just 35-46 (.432) at home last season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .664 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .571.
Blue Jays hitters have just 1,888 strikeouts in 9,431 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Blue Jays are batting .374 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .339.
The Blue Jays batted .264 last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters slugged just .331 against RHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .289 (8,569 PA’s) against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Tigers hitters had an OPS of just .608 (4,338 PA’s) against RHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Tigers hitters had an OBP of just .277 (4,338 PA’s) against RHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers walked 428 of 6,098 batters (7%) last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers walked 92 of 1,455 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 901 of 12,014 batters (7%) since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Blue Jays have won 38% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of the 2021 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers walked 129 of 1,425 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games on the road last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Tigers pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 62% of their games last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Tigers vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Toronto Blue Jays – No Injuries Reported
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