Bowling Green vs Ball State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 11, 2023, 2:05 PM
  • Ball State (17-7) are -8.5 point favorites vs Bowling Green (10-14)
  • Total (Over/Under): 149.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Bowling Green Falcons (10-14) visit John E. Worthen Arena to take on the Ball State Cardinals (17-7) on Feb. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Muncie.

Ball State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Bowling Green vs. Ball State Over/Under is 149.5 total points.

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Bowling Green vs. Ball State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Bowling Green+8.5 -110O 149.5 -115+325
Ball State -8.5 -110U 149.5 -105-450

Bowling Green vs Ball State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Ball State will win this game with 69.5% confidence.

Bowling Green vs Ball State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Ball State will cover the spread with 54.6% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Bowling Green and Ball State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Bowling Green has hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 49 games (+13.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Bowling Green have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.70 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.15 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 19 games (+12.50 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 46 games (+12.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.95 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Ball State have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+5.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 26 games (+4.55 Units / 15% ROI)

Bowling Green Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Bowling Green has gone 9-13 against the spread this college basketball season (-5.3 Units / -21.9% ROI).

  • 8-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.25 Units / -22.73% ROI
  • 12-10 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 4.13% ROI
  • 10-12 when betting the Under for -3.2 Units / -13.22% ROI

Ball State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Ball State has gone 13-9 against the spread this college basketball season (+3.1 Units / 12.81% ROI).

  • 16-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.5 Units / 19.01% ROI
  • 12-10 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 4.14% ROI
  • 10-12 when betting the Under for -3.25 Units / -13.4% ROI

Bowling Green Offensive Stats & Trends:

Bowling Green has averaged 77.3 points per game (1,701 points/22 games) this season — 4th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 74.8

Bowling Green has averaged 1.28 points per shot (1,701 points/1,334 shots) this season — tied for 3rd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.26

Bowling Green is shooting 75% from the free throw line (316/420) this season — tied for 2nd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 72%

Bowling Green is shooting 35% from three (167/472) this season — 4th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 34%

Ball State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Ball State has a 45% free throw rate (547 free throw attempts/1,205 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 32%

Ball State has 24.9 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Ball State has attempted 547 free throws this season — most among Mid-American Teams

Ball State has 22.9 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 18.5

Bowling Green Defensive Stats & Trends:

Bowling Green has averaged 5.9 steals per game (130 steals/22 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Bowling Green has averaged 25.4 defensive rebounds per game (558 rebounds/22 games) this season — 2nd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.9

Bowling Green has averaged 6.7 steals per game (357 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Bowling Green has averaged 25.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,325 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Ball State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Ball State has averaged 24.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,291 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Ball State has averaged 6.1 steals per game (325 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Ball State has averaged 23.7 defensive rebounds per game (521 rebounds/22 games) this season — 5th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.9

Ball State has averaged 6.2 steals per game (137 steals/22 games) this season — 4th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.