Bowling Green vs Miami (OH) Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 21

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 21, 2023, 12:08 PM
  • Miami (OH) (9-18) is a -1.5 point favorite vs Bowling Green (10-17)
  • Total (Over/Under): 152.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Bowling Green Falcons (10-17) visit Millett Hall to take on the Miami (OH) RedHawks (9-18) on Feb. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Oxford.

Miami (OH) is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Bowling Green vs. Miami (OH) Over/Under is 152.5 total points.

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Bowling Green vs. Miami (OH) Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Bowling Green+1.5 -110O 152.5 -115+105
Miami (OH) -1.5 -110U 152.5 -105-125

Bowling Green vs Miami (OH) Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Miami (OH) will win this game with 52.2% confidence.

Bowling Green vs Miami (OH) Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Miami (OH) will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Bowling Green and Miami (OH), plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Bowling Green has hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Bowling Green have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 10 away games (+1.55 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+10.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) has hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 46 games (+5.10 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) have covered the 1H Spread in their last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)

Bowling Green Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Bowling Green has gone 10-15 against the spread this college basketball season (-6.5 Units / -23.64% ROI).

  • 8-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.55 Units / -35.21% ROI
  • 15-10 when betting the Over for +4 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • 10-15 when betting the Under for -6.5 Units / -23.64% ROI

Miami (OH) Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Miami (OH) has gone 11-12 against the spread this college basketball season (-2.2 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 6-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.35 Units / -47.74% ROI
  • 12-11 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -0.38% ROI
  • 11-12 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -8.33% ROI

Bowling Green Offensive Stats & Trends:

Bowling Green is shooting 75% from the free throw line (316/420) this season — tied for 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Bowling Green is shooting 46% (609/1,334) this season — 5th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 45%

Bowling Green has averaged 77.3 points per game (1,701 points/22 games) this season — 4th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 74.8

Bowling Green has an eFG% of 52% this season — 5th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 52%

Miami (OH) Offensive Stats & Trends:

Miami (OH) is shooting 77% from the free throw line (295/383) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 72%

Miami (OH) has averaged 14.0 turnovers per game (309 turnovers/22 games) this season — 4th highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Miami (OH) is shooting 78% from the free throw line (671/861) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 72%

Miami (OH) has a 30% free throw rate (383 free throw attempts/1,277 field goal attempts) this season — 4th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 32%

Bowling Green Defensive Stats & Trends:

Bowling Green has averaged 6.7 steals per game (357 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Bowling Green has averaged 5.9 steals per game (130 steals/22 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Bowling Green has averaged 25.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,325 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Bowling Green has averaged 25.4 defensive rebounds per game (558 rebounds/22 games) this season — 2nd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.9

Miami (OH) Defensive Stats & Trends:

Miami (OH) has averaged 5.9 steals per game (321 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Miami (OH) has averaged 23.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,245 rebounds/54 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Miami (OH) has averaged 21.9 defensive rebounds per game (481 rebounds/22 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.9

Miami (OH) has allowed opponents to shoot 46% (1,425/3,132) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 21st highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.