Bowling Green vs Toledo Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 28, 2023, 11:29 AM
  • Toledo (14-6) are -12.5 point favorites vs Bowling Green (10-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 165.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN3

The Bowling Green Falcons (10-10) visit Savage Arena to take on the Toledo Rockets (14-6) on Jan. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Toledo.

Toledo is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-115).

The Bowling Green vs. Toledo Over/Under is 165.5 total points.

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Bowling Green vs. Toledo Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Bowling Green+12.5 -105165.5 -110+575
Toledo -12.5 -115165.5 -110-900

Bowling Green vs Toledo Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Toledo will win this game with 74.0% confidence.

Bowling Green vs Toledo Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Bowling Green will cover the spread with 54.8% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Bowling Green and Toledo, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Bowling Green has hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+11.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 27 of their last 43 games (+9.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Bowling Green have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.35 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Toledo have covered the Spread in 31 of their last 46 games (+14.45 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+11.15 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 50 games (+9.35 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.50 Units / 38% ROI)

Bowling Green Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Bowling Green has gone 9-9 against the spread this college basketball season (-0.9 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 8-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -4.71% ROI
  • 9-9 when betting the Over for -0.9 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 9-9 when betting the Under for -0.9 Units / -4.55% ROI

Toledo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Toledo has gone 11-7 against the spread this college basketball season (+3.3 Units / 16.67% ROI).

  • 13-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.05 Units / 0.05% ROI
  • 13-5 when betting the Over for +7.5 Units / 37.88% ROI
  • 5-13 when betting the Under for -9.3 Units / -46.97% ROI

Bowling Green Offensive Stats & Trends:

Bowling Green is shooting 75% from the free throw line (294/391) this season — tied for 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Bowling Green is shooting 74% from the free throw line (765/1,028) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Toledo Offensive Stats & Trends:

Toledo has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (823 assists/ 558 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Toledo has averaged 81.7 points per game (4,414 points/54 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.2

Toledo has a TS% of 51% this season — 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Toledo has averaged 10.3 turnovers per game (558 turnovers/54 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Bowling Green Defensive Stats & Trends:

Bowling Green has allowed an average of 1.26 points per shot (1,537 points/1,223 shots) this season — tied for 32nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Bowling Green has allowed an average of 1.26 points per shot (4,032 points/3,197 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 24th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Bowling Green has allowed opponents to shoot 35% from three (460/1,314) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 38th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Bowling Green has allowed opponents to shoot 45% (1,429/3,197) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 42nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Toledo Defensive Stats & Trends:

Toledo has averaged 26.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,449 rebounds/54 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Toledo has allowed an average of 1.26 points per shot (1,570 points/1,246 shots) this season — tied for 32nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Toledo has allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (176/464) this season — tied for 14th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Toledo has allowed 8.3 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 24th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.