Braves vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 14

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 14, 2023, 3:32 PM
  • The Braves are -105 favorites vs the Blue Jays
  • Braves starting pitcher: Collin McHugh
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Atlanta Braves (-105) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-115) on Sunday, May 14, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:37pm EDT in Toronto.

The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Braves vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Braves are 25-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 22-17 ATS.

Braves vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Braves-1.5 +150O 9.5 -115-105
Blue Jays +1.5 -185U 9.5 -105-115

Braves vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 73.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Braves vs Blue Jays and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Eddie Rosario has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 16 games (+12.95 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 36 games (+11.15 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Eddie Rosario has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+9.50 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Kevin Pillar has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Kevin Pillar has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 61% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+9.90 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 40 games (+9.75 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 21 games (+9.55 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 36 games (+9.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+9.00 Units / 64% ROI)

Blue Jays vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Pillar 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Daulton Varsho 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
George Springer 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200
Matt Olson 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Brandon Belt 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200

Blue Jays vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Pillar 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Daulton Varsho 0.5 -175 0.5 +135
George Springer 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Matt Olson 0.5 -175 0.5 +135
Brandon Belt 0.5 -105 0.5 -120

Blue Jays vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Pillar 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Daulton Varsho 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
George Springer 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Matt Olson 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Brandon Belt 0.5 +240 0.5 -350

Blue Jays vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yusei Kikuchi 5.5 +105 5.5 -140
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 39 games (+13.05 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 away games (+8.75 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+8.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 20 away games (+7.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+7.90 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+7.90 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 20 games (+6.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.25 Units / 37% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 17-22 against the Run Line (-4.6 Units / -10.14% ROI).

  • 25-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.6 Units / 9.03% ROI
  • 22-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.75 Units / 11.24% ROI
  • 16-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.6 Units / -19.75% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 22-17 against the Run Line (+3.55 Units / 7.18% ROI).

  • 23-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.65 Units / 2.83% ROI
  • 17-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.85 Units / -11.43% ROI
  • 20-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 2.19% ROI

Collin McHugh has not allowed a HR in any of his last eight starts dating back to May 6th, 2021 — John Brebbia has the longest active streak at 13.

Collin McHugh has walked 5 of 29 left-handed batters (17%) this season — tied for 13th highest among among 103 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 13th Percentile.

Collin McHugh has allowed an OBP of just .239 (92 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .329 — 98th Percentile.

Collin McHugh has walked 4 of 92 batters (4%) with runners in scoring position since last season — best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Yusei Kikuchi has walked 56 of 483 right-handed batters (12%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Yusei Kikuchi has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.3 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (77 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 80.6

Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 43% (20/46) against Yusei Kikuchi when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.

Yusei Kikuchi has a strike rate of just 61% (1,214/1,982) against right-handed batters since last season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Braves are 25-18 (.581) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .297.

The Braves are 14-5 (.737) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 7-5 (.583) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .275.

The Braves are 15-5 (.750) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .483.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Blue Jays are 2-13 (.133) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Blue Jays are 22-19 (.537) when underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .400.

The Blue Jays are 40-27 (.597) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.

The Blue Jays are 43-61 (.413) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .290.

Braves hitters are slugging .549 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .419.

The Braves have a winning percentage of 83% on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .923 (449 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .744.

Braves hitters are slugging .466 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .403.

Blue Jays hitters have just 310 strikeouts in 1,593 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Blue Jays are batting .264 since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.

The Blue Jays are batting .264 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.

The Blue Jays are batting .375 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .341.

Braves pitchers have won 86% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Braves pitchers have won 61% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 117 of 1,801 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have an ERA of 2.51 (129.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.18.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 547 of 7,545 batters (7%) since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
  • Zachery Pop (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D15
  • Adam Cimber (Blue Jays): Rhomboid, D15
  • Chad Green (Blue Jays): Undisclosed, D60
  • Mitchell White (Blue Jays): Elbow, D15
  • Max Fried (Braves): Forearm, D15
  • Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Ehire Adrianza (Braves): Elbow, D10
  • Kyle Wright (Braves): Shoulder, D15
  • Lucas Luetge (Braves): Bicep, D15
  • Kolby Allard (Braves): Oblique, D60
  • Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60

Bet now on Braves vs Blue Jays and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

BetMGM first bet offer for $1000
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.