- The Braves (79-48) are -115 favorites vs the Cardinals (72-54)
- Braves starting pitcher: Charles Morton (6-5), 3.99 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery (7-3), 3.07 ERA
- Watch the game on FOX
The Atlanta Braves (-115) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-105) on Saturday, August 27, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Braves vs Cardinals Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Braves are 77-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 68-55 ATS.
Braves vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +150 | O 7.5 -120 | -115 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -185 | U 7.5 +100 | -105 |
Braves vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 67 of his last 115 games (+19.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 56 of his last 77 games (+17.40 Units / 12% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 39 away games (+16.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Over in his last 10 away games (+14.10 Units / 141% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Over in 65 of his last 113 games (+12.35 Units / 7% ROI)
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 45 games at home (+16.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Over in 30 of his last 45 games at home (+15.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 47 games at home (+13.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 47 games (+13.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+11.00 Units / 50% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Braves Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 65 of their last 101 games (+23.22 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 39 away games (+11.85 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 35 away games (+9.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 60 away games (+8.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 21 of their last 35 away games (+7.15 Units / 19% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 46 games at home (+12.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+7.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.90 Units / 45% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 66-58 against the Run Line (+1.5 Units / 0.96% ROI).
- 77-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.35 Units / 5.59% ROI
- 62-54 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.35 Units / 1.71% ROI
- 54-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.2 Units / -10.45% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 68-55 against the Run Line (+11.1 Units / 7.25% ROI).
- 69-54 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.35 Units / 4.51% ROI
- 57-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.75 Units / -7.97% ROI
- 61-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.4 Units / -1.05% ROI
Charles Morton: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Charlie Morton has struck out 48% (27/56) of right-handed batters he faced this month (4 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has a strikeout rate of 72% (23 SO in 32 PAs) with two-strikes — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has a strikeout rate of 39% (38 SO in 98 PAs) this month (4 games) — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% (306/1,037) against Charlie Morton this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 88th Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Montgomery has a strike rate of just 62% (389/632) in two strike counts this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — eighth Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has allowed an OBP of just .094 (53 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — 100th Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has attempted to pick off a runner at second base 8 timesthis season — most among qualified SPs in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .276 (16-for-58) against Jordan Montgomery on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .326 — 87th Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Braves are 11-3 (.786) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are 70-14 (.833) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Braves are 37-24 (.607) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .471.
The Braves are 30-4 (.882) when scoring in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .666.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Cardinals are 40-22 (.645) at home this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .529.
The Cardinals are 10-9 (.526) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 42-9 (.824) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
The Cardinals are 33-11 (.750) when scoring in the first inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .666.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .667 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .553.
Braves hitters are slugging .441 against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
The Braves have a winning percentage of 58% on the road since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Braves have barrels in 7% of PA’s this season (346/4,747) — best in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have 233 extra-base hits out of 543 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .553 on the road this month (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .385.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .799 (2,346 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .935 (457 PA’s) on the road this month (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .690.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (122.4 MPH) this season (; League Avg: 117.0).
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The longest HR allowed by the Cardinals pitchers this season traveled 494.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 459.6
Cardinals pitchers have walked 224 of 2,534 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Knee, D15
- Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D60
- Orlando Arcia (Braves): Hamstring, D10
- Ozhanio Albies (Braves): Foot, D60
- Darren O’Day (Braves): Calf, D15
- Michael Soroka (Braves): Achilles, D60
- Manuel Piña (Braves): Wrist, D60
- Chadwick Tromp (Braves): Quad, D10
- Luke Jackson (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Adam Duvall (Braves): Wrist, D60
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