Braves vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 15

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 15, 2023, 3:30 PM
  • The Braves are -140 favorites vs the Rangers
  • Braves starting pitcher: Charles Morton
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Dane Dunning
  • Watch the game on BSSW

The Atlanta Braves (-140) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+115) on Monday, May 15, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington.

The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).

The Braves vs Rangers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

This season, the Braves are 25-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 25-15 ATS.

Braves vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Braves-1.5 +110O 9 -105-140
Rangers +1.5 -135U 9 -115+115

Braves vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 71.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Eddie Rosario has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 16 games (+12.95 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 37 games (+12.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Eddie Rosario has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+9.50 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Kevin Pillar has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Kevin Pillar has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 59% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 35 games (+14.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Jonah Heim has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+14.25 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 33 games (+14.20 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 24 of his last 33 games (+13.25 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Jonah Heim has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+12.85 Units / 33% ROI)

Rangers vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eddie Rosario 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Robbie Grossman 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Nate Lowe 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Matt Olson 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
Sean Murphy 0.5 +350 0.5 -650

Rangers vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eddie Rosario 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Robbie Grossman 0.5 -135 0.5 +105
Nate Lowe 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Matt Olson 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Sean Murphy 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Rangers vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eddie Rosario 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Robbie Grossman 0.5 +250 0.5 -350
Nate Lowe 0.5 +225 0.5 -300
Matt Olson 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Sean Murphy 0.5 +155 0.5 -210

Rangers vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Charlie Morton 6.5 -130 6.5 +100
Bradford 4.5 -110 4.5 -115
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 40 games (+14.05 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+9.45 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 21 away games (+8.40 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 away games (+7.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 21 away games (+2.10 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 32 games (+18.80 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 32 games (+16.25 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 32 games (+15.90 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 32 games (+12.10 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 games (+9.40 Units / 19% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 18-22 against the Run Line (-3.6 Units / -7.62% ROI).

  • 25-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.55 Units / 7.22% ROI
  • 23-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.75 Units / 13.28% ROI
  • 16-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.75 Units / -21.81% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 25-15 against the Run Line (+8.65 Units / 16.54% ROI).

  • 25-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.6 Units / 14.65% ROI
  • 23-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.3 Units / 12.02% ROI
  • 16-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.35 Units / -21.23% ROI

starting pitcher – away

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

starting pitcher – home

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

keys to the game – away

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

keys to the game – home

Braves hitters are slugging .565 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.

The Braves have a winning percentage of 83% on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .941 (471 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .743.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .817 (2,109 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.

The Rangers have scored three or more runs in an inning 33 times (12%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.

The Rangers are batting .331 with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .254.

The Rangers have scored 6.35 runs per game (254/40) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.55.

Rangers hitters are slugging .434 against LHP since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .403.

Braves pitchers have won 86% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Braves pitchers have won 61% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 26% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 170 of 1,798 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Rangers pitchers this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rangers pitchers walked 139 of 1,440 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Rangers vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Knee, D10
  • Travis Jankowski (Rangers): Hamstring, D10
  • Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
  • Glenn Otto (Rangers): Lat, D60
  • Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
  • Spencer Howard (Rangers): Lat, D60
  • Corey Seager (Rangers): Hamstring, D10
  • Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D15
  • Max Fried (Braves): Forearm, D15
  • Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Ehire Adrianza (Braves): Elbow, D10
  • Kyle Wright (Braves): Shoulder, D60
  • Lucas Luetge (Braves): Bicep, D15
  • Kolby Allard (Braves): Oblique, D60
  • Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.