- The Braves are -155 favorites vs the Rangers
- Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Strider
- Rangers starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi
- Watch the game on BSSW
The Atlanta Braves (-155) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+130) on Wednesday, May 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Braves vs Rangers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Braves are 26-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 26-16 ATS.
Braves vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +110 | O 7.5 -110 | -155 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -135 | U 7.5 -110 | +130 |
Braves vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 61.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 39 games (+15.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+10.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- Kevin Pillar has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 10 away games (+10.40 Units / 64% ROI)
- Kevin Pillar has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Kevin Pillar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 8 games (+8.60 Units / 107% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 26 of his last 35 games (+15.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jonah Heim has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 23 games (+14.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jonah Heim has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+14.25 Units / 75% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+14.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 37 games (+13.70 Units / 18% ROI)
Rangers vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Rangers vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
Rangers vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -450 |
Rangers vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Strider | 8.5 -150 | 8.5 +115 |
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 42 games (+13.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 33 games (+11.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 23 away games (+8.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 23 away games (+7.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 8 away games (+2.05 Units / 22% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 34 games (+18.40 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 34 games (+16.25 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 34 games (+15.85 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 34 games (+12.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 34 games (+9.40 Units / 19% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 19-23 against the Run Line (-3.6 Units / -7.29% ROI).
- 26-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.45 Units / 6.76% ROI
- 25-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.75 Units / 16.98% ROI
- 16-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.8 Units / -25.24% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 26-16 against the Run Line (+8.55 Units / 15.53% ROI).
- 26-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.6 Units / 14.14% ROI
- 25-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.3 Units / 15.72% ROI
- 16-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.4 Units / -24.73% ROI
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spencer Strider has struck out 45% (41/92) of left-handed batters he faced this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Spencer Strider has a strikeout rate of 43% (79 SO in 184 PAs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Spencer Strider has a strike rate of 74% (274/372) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 50% (32/64) against Spencer Strider on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 53% (75/141) against Nathan Eovaldi this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 90th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .450 (9-for-20) against Nathan Eovaldi on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .351 — 11th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters are hitting just .000 (0-for-22) against Nathan Eovaldi — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .253 — 100th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has a strikeout rate of 51% (56 SO in 111 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 89th Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Braves are 14-5 (.737) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are 25-19 (.568) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .298.
The Braves were 11-3 (.786) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are 13-5 (.722) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Rangers are just 0-11 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Rangers are just 0-12 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Rangers are just 78-15 (.839) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .911.
The Rangers are 7-3 (.700) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .389.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .577 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .421.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .949 (515 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .746.
The Braves have scored first in 74% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves hitters are slugging .476 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rangers are batting .331 with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .255.
Rangers hitters have grounded into 104 double plays in 1,387 opportunities (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .810 (456 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .746.
Rangers hitters have put just 32% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 26% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves pitchers have won 50% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 119 of 1,538 batters (8%) this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 173 of 1,816 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers walked 139 of 1,440 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rangers vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Knee, D10
- Travis Jankowski (Rangers): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Glenn Otto (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Spencer Howard (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Corey Seager (Rangers): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D15
- Max Fried (Braves): Forearm, D15
- Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Ehire Adrianza (Braves): Elbow, D10
- Kyle Wright (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Lucas Luetge (Braves): Bicep, D15
- Kolby Allard (Braves): Oblique, D60
- Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60
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