- The Brewers are -115 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty
- Watch the game on BSMW
The Milwaukee Brewers (-115) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-105) on Monday, May 15, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Brewers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Brewers vs Cardinals Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Brewers are 23-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 18-23 ATS.
Brewers vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | -1.5 +150 | O 8 -110 | -115 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -185 | U 8 -110 | -105 |
Brewers vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Joey Wiemer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 31 games (+12.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 31 games (+10.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 31 games (+9.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.50 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Dylan Carlson has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 13 games at home (+8.55 Units / 63% ROI)
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.35 Units / 66% ROI)
- Dylan Carlson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 13 games at home (+7.70 Units / 52% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 14 games at home (+7.65 Units / 46% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.50 Units / 94% ROI)
Cardinals vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
| Paul DeJong | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Cardinals vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +110 |
| Paul DeJong | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
Cardinals vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| Paul DeJong | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Cardinals vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddy Peralta | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +105 |
| Jack Flaherty | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 39 games (+5.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 34 games (+3.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.10 Units / 13% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+7.80 Units / 69% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 37 games (+6.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.40 Units / 51% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.35 Units / 32% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 19-21 against the Run Line (-1.75 Units / -3.65% ROI).
- 23-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.8 Units / 7.2% ROI
- 18-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.85 Units / -13.06% ROI
- 21-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.25 Units / 2.89% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 18-23 against the Run Line (-7.8 Units / -14.87% ROI).
- 16-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.75 Units / -30.48% ROI
- 20-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -2.43% ROI
- 19-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.95 Units / -6.56% ROI
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .110 (9-for-82) against Freddy Peralta with two-strikes this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .168 — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 32% (40/125) against Freddy Peralta this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 91st Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .150 (6-for-40) against Freddy Peralta’s elevated fastball this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .227 — 87th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .040 (1-for-25) against Freddy Peralta with two-strikes — tied for 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .153 — 98th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jack Flaherty has walked 27 of 177 batters (15%) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has allowed three-ball counts to 33% of batters they faced (59/177 PA’s) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 20% — second Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has allowed an OBP of .467 (90 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .317 — first Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has allowed three-ball counts to 30% of batters they faced (26/86 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — third Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Brewers are 19-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Brewers are 21-12 (.636) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are 6-79 (.071) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .047.
The Brewers are 17-2 (.895) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Cardinals are just 11-3 (.786) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Cardinals are just 11-3 (.786) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .892.
The Cardinals are 20-5 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 11-4 (.733) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .853.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have 115 strikeouts in 371 PA’s (31%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of just .278 (371 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.
Brewers hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Brewers hitters have 555 strikeouts in 2,082 PA’s (27%) against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .792 (1,746 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .734 (2,395 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .687.
Cardinals hitters have 289 extra-base hits out of 690 total hits (42%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
The Cardinals are batting .263 against LHP since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Brewers pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Brewers pitchers since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Brewers pitchers have won 45% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Brewers pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Cardinals vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
- Wilking RodrÃguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Back, D10
- Luis UrÃas (Brewers): Hamstring, D60
- Matthew Bush (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
- Jason Alexander (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
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