- The Cardinals are -185 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers starting pitcher: Wade Miley
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery
- Watch the game on BSMW
The Milwaukee Brewers (+150) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-185) on Tuesday, May 16, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Brewers vs Cardinals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Brewers are 23-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 19-23 ATS.
Brewers vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -135 | O 8.5 -115 | +150 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +110 | U 8.5 -105 | -185 |
Brewers vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Brewers vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+13.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- Joey Wiemer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 32 games (+11.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 32 games (+11.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 32 games (+10.95 Units / 30% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 30 games (+10.40 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.40 Units / 69% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+9.30 Units / 103% ROI)
- Dylan Carlson has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 13 games at home (+8.55 Units / 63% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.40 Units / 74% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+7.95 Units / 22% ROI)
Cardinals vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Juan Yepez | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Darin Ruf | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Andrew Knizner | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
Cardinals vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Yepez | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Darin Ruf | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +110 |
| Andrew Knizner | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Tommy Edman | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
Cardinals vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Juan Yepez | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Darin Ruf | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Andrew Knizner | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Cardinals vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Wade Miley | 3.5 +120 | 3.5 -155 |
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 games (+4.05 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 8 games (+0.10 Units / 1% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+8.80 Units / 72% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.40 Units / 53% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 64% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.35 Units / 37% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 19-22 against the Run Line (-2.75 Units / -5.62% ROI).
- 23-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.65 Units / 4.91% ROI
- 19-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.85 Units / -10.58% ROI
- 21-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.1 Units / 0.23% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 19-23 against the Run Line (-6.8 Units / -12.57% ROI).
- 17-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.75 Units / -28.13% ROI
- 21-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.1 Units / -0.22% ROI
- 19-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.1 Units / -8.89% ROI
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Wade Miley has struck out just 12% (14/121) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 13% (27/203) against Wade Miley this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (44/279) against Wade Miley this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 13% (13/99) against Wade Miley this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
75% of Jordan Montgomery’s called strikeouts are inside this season — tied for 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 94th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% (16/32) against Jordan Montgomery on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .278 (22-for-79) against Jordan Montgomery’s non-fastballs this season — tied for 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .221 — 11th Percentile.
50% of Jordan Montgomery’s fastball strikeouts are located inside this season — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 96th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Brewers are 9-7 (.562) when underdogs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Brewers are 19-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Brewers are 21-12 (.636) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are just 0-18 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Cardinals are just 12-3 (.800) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Cardinals are just 12-3 (.800) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .894.
The Cardinals are 20-5 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 7-13 (.350) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have 115 strikeouts in 371 PA’s (31%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Brewers are batting just .220 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Brewers are batting just .227 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.03 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are just 12-3 (.800) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .324 (6,050 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .958 (248 PA’s) over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .733.
The Cardinals have a winning percentage of just 31% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Brewers pitchers since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% against Brewers pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Ankle, Day-to-Day
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
- Wilking RodrÃguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Back, D10
- Louis Voit (Brewers): Neck, D10
- Luis UrÃas (Brewers): Hamstring, D60
- Christian Yelich (Brewers): Back, Day-to-Day
- Matthew Bush (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
- Jason Alexander (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
Bet now on Brewers vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
