- The Brewers are -110 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Brewers starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Matthew Liberatore
- Watch the game on BSMW
The Milwaukee Brewers (-110) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-110) on Wednesday, May 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Brewers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Brewers vs Cardinals Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Brewers are 24-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 19-24 ATS.
Brewers vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | -1.5 +150 | O 8 -115 | -110 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -185 | U 8 -105 | -110 |
Brewers vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 65.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+13.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+11.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- Joey Wiemer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 33 games (+10.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 33 games (+9.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+8.90 Units / 51% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nolan Arenado has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+10.55 Units / 105% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+9.40 Units / 76% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+8.55 Units / 62% ROI)
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.40 Units / 57% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.25 Units / 64% ROI)
Cardinals vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Darin Ruf | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Cardinals vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Darin Ruf | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Cardinals vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Darin Ruf | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Cardinals vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Burnes | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
| Matthew Liberatore | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 41 games (+5.60 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 36 games (+3.25 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 30 games (+2.40 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.10 Units / 19% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games at home (+7.65 Units / 57% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 39 games (+6.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.30 Units / 39% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.20 Units / 27% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 20-22 against the Run Line (-1.75 Units / -3.48% ROI).
- 24-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.2 Units / 7.64% ROI
- 19-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -6 Units / -12.77% ROI
- 22-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.1 Units / 2.42% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 19-24 against the Run Line (-7.8 Units / -14.16% ROI).
- 17-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.45 Units / -30.24% ROI
- 21-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.25 Units / -2.63% ROI
- 20-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.1 Units / -6.57% ROI
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
10 of Corbin Burnes’ 39 strikeouts (26%) have come on cutters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 68% of the time (203/297) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 36% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has thrown low pitches 64% of the time (633/986) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 42% (119/280) against Corbin Burnes on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 99th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Brewers are 17-2 (.895) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Brewers are just 0-18 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Brewers are 21-12 (.636) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are 17-1 (.944) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Cardinals are just 12-3 (.800) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Cardinals are just 12-3 (.800) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.
The Cardinals are 20-5 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 7-14 (.333) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have 122 strikeouts in 397 PA’s (31%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers hitters have 562 strikeouts in 2,108 PA’s (27%) against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Brewers are batting just .222 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.03 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging .455 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
The Cardinals are just 12-3 (.800) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .354 (837 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .325.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .338 (1,759 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Brewers pitchers since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Brewers pitchers have won 45% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers since the 2021 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Cardinals have won just 16% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Cardinals vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Ankle, Day-to-Day
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
- Wilking RodrÃguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Back, D10
- Louis Voit (Brewers): Neck, D10
- Luis UrÃas (Brewers): Hamstring, D60
- Christian Yelich (Brewers): Back, Day-to-Day
- Matthew Bush (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Wade Miley (Brewers): Lat Strain, Day-to-Day
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
- Jason Alexander (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
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