- The – (83-36) are + favorites vs the (83-36)
- Brewers starting pitcher: Brandon Woodruff (9-3), 3.52 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele (4-7), 3.42 ERA
- Watch the game on MARQ
The Milwaukee Brewers (-150) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+125) on Sunday, August 21, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago.
The are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at + (+).
The Brewers vs Cubs Over/Under is total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Brewers are 62-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 60-58 ATS.
Brewers vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | + + | O + | -150 |
| Cubs | + + | U + | +125 |
Brewers vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Sunday‘s matchup with 60.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jace Peterson has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 17 away games (+12.35 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 away games (+12.05 Units / 45% ROI)
- Kolten Wong has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 43 away games (+10.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- Andrew McCutchen has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 31 away games (+9.55 Units / 30% ROI)
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 49 of his last 64 games (+20.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- Rafael Ortega has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+18.25 Units / 75% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 36 games at home (+15.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Rafael Ortega has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 21 games (+15.55 Units / 43% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 47 games (+14.35 Units / 30% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Brewers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 56 of their last 99 games (+15.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 58 games (+7.17 Units / 10% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 25 of their last 42 games (+10.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.15 Units / 50% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 47-70 against the Run Line (-29.2 Units / -20.56% ROI).
- 62-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.4 Units / -10.99% ROI
- 58-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.15 Units / 0.12% ROI
- 53-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.85 Units / -7.64% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 60-58 against the Run Line (-6.35 Units / -4.18% ROI).
- 51-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.05 Units / -10.39% ROI
- 51-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.6 Units / -11.26% ROI
- 60-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.15 Units / 3.18% ROI
Brandon Woodruff: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brandon Woodruff has struck out 36% (71/195) of left-handed batters he faced this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .043 (2 GB hits out of 46 GBs) against Brandon Woodruff with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: .230 — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .188 (96-for-510) against Brandon Woodruff since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: .236 — 96th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 25% (5/20) against Brandon Woodruff — 4th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — fourth Percentile.
Justin Steele: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .138 (22-for-160) against Justin Steele’s non-fastballs this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: .226 — 99th Percentile.
Justin Steele has allowed a slugging percentage of just .194 (31 Total Bases / 160 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: .368 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 37% (26/71) against Justin Steele with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Justin Steele has a strikeout rate of 51% (54 SO in 106 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 97th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Brewers are 14-7 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are just 5-25 (.167) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.
The Brewers are 6-43 (.122) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .087.
The Brewers are 31-23 (.574) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Cubs are 127-6 (.955) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Cubs are just 3-52 (.055) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .113.
The Cubs are just 8-31 (.205) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .288.
The Cubs are just 8-34 (.190) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.06 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
The Brewers are batting just .225 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Brewers hitters have an OPS of just .685 (2,778 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .726.
Brewers hitters are slugging .431 against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have grounded into 48 double plays in 345 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .376 (66 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .644.
The Cubs are batting just .154 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .164 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .346.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.
Cubs pitchers have won only 18% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cubs pitchers have won only 21% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Cubs pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cubs vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Patrick Wisdom (Cubs): Finger, Day-to-Day
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): Quad, D60
- Keegan Thompson (Cubs): Back, D15
- Marcus Stroman (Cubs): Leg, Day-to-Day
- Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Alec Mills (Cubs): Back, D15
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Jason Heyward (Cubs): Knee, D10
- Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Elbow, D15
- Trevor Gott (Brewers): Forearm, D15
- Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Finger, D10
- Adrian Houser (Brewers): Flexor, D15
- Trevor Rosenthal (Brewers): Hamstring, D15
- Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Jandel Gustave (Brewers): Forearm, D15
- Jace Peterson (Brewers): Left Elbow, D10
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