Brewers vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 21

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 21, 2022, 9:15 AM
  • The (83-36) are + favorites vs the (83-36)
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Brandon Woodruff (9-3), 3.52 ERA
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele (4-7), 3.42 ERA
  • Watch the game on MARQ

The Milwaukee Brewers (-150) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+125) on Sunday, August 21, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago.

The are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at + (+).

The Brewers vs Cubs Over/Under is total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Brewers are 62-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 60-58 ATS.

Brewers vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Brewers+ +O +-150
Cubs + +U ++125

Brewers vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Sunday‘s matchup with 60.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Cubs vs Brewers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jace Peterson has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 17 away games (+12.35 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Jace Peterson has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 away games (+12.05 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Kolten Wong has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 43 away games (+10.00 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Andrew McCutchen has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 31 away games (+9.55 Units / 30% ROI)

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 49 of his last 64 games (+20.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Rafael Ortega has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+18.25 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 36 games at home (+15.85 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Rafael Ortega has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 21 games (+15.55 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 47 games (+14.35 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 56 of their last 99 games (+15.25 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 58 games (+7.17 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 25 of their last 42 games (+10.75 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.15 Units / 50% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 47-70 against the Run Line (-29.2 Units / -20.56% ROI).

  • 62-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.4 Units / -10.99% ROI
  • 58-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.15 Units / 0.12% ROI
  • 53-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.85 Units / -7.64% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 60-58 against the Run Line (-6.35 Units / -4.18% ROI).

  • 51-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.05 Units / -10.39% ROI
  • 51-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.6 Units / -11.26% ROI
  • 60-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.15 Units / 3.18% ROI

Brandon Woodruff has struck out 36% (71/195) of left-handed batters he faced this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .043 (2 GB hits out of 46 GBs) against Brandon Woodruff with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: .230 — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting just .188 (96-for-510) against Brandon Woodruff since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: .236 — 96th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 25% (5/20) against Brandon Woodruff — 4th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — fourth Percentile.

Justin Steele: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .138 (22-for-160) against Justin Steele’s non-fastballs this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: .226 — 99th Percentile.

Justin Steele has allowed a slugging percentage of just .194 (31 Total Bases / 160 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: .368 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 37% (26/71) against Justin Steele with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.

Justin Steele has a strikeout rate of 51% (54 SO in 106 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 97th Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Brewers are 14-7 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Brewers are just 5-25 (.167) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.

The Brewers are 6-43 (.122) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .087.

The Brewers are 31-23 (.574) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Cubs are 127-6 (.955) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Cubs are just 3-52 (.055) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .113.

The Cubs are just 8-31 (.205) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .288.

The Cubs are just 8-34 (.190) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.

Brewers hitters are averaging 4.06 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.

The Brewers are batting just .225 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Brewers hitters have an OPS of just .685 (2,778 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .726.

Brewers hitters are slugging .431 against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .394.

Cubs hitters have grounded into 48 double plays in 345 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .376 (66 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .644.

The Cubs are batting just .154 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.

Cubs hitters are slugging just .164 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .346.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.

Cubs pitchers have won only 18% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cubs pitchers have won only 21% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Cubs pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cubs vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Patrick Wisdom (Cubs): Finger, Day-to-Day
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): Quad, D60
  • Keegan Thompson (Cubs): Back, D15
  • Marcus Stroman (Cubs): Leg, Day-to-Day
  • Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Alec Mills (Cubs): Back, D15
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Jason Heyward (Cubs): Knee, D10
  • Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Elbow, D15
  • Trevor Gott (Brewers): Forearm, D15
  • Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Finger, D10
  • Adrian Houser (Brewers): Flexor, D15
  • Trevor Rosenthal (Brewers): Hamstring, D15
  • Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Jandel Gustave (Brewers): Forearm, D15
  • Jace Peterson (Brewers): Left Elbow, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.