- The Giants are -175 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers starting pitcher: Colin Rea
- Giants starting pitcher: Alexander Cobb
- Watch the game on NBCS-BA
The Milwaukee Brewers (+145) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-175) on Saturday, May 6, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Giants are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Brewers vs Giants Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Brewers are 18-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 15-16 ATS.
Brewers vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -140 | O 8.5 -110 | +145 |
| Giants | -1.5 +115 | U 8.5 -110 | -175 |
Brewers vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 23 games (+10.55 Units / 38% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 24 games (+8.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 21 games (+8.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+7.35 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 29 games (+14.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 29 games (+10.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+8.85 Units / 53% ROI)
- David Villar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+8.55 Units / 64% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+7.65 Units / 23% ROI)
Giants vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Joc Pederson | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
Giants vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Joc Pederson | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| William Contreras | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Giants vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Joc Pederson | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Giants vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Colin Rea | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +125 |
| Alex Cobb | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -135 |
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.75 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 26 games (+3.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.00 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+2.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 16 away games (+0.95 Units / 4% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.25 Units / 60% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+6.80 Units / 51% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.60 Units / 55% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.55 Units / 55% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 15-17 against the Run Line (-1.45 Units / -3.83% ROI).
- 18-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 3.85% ROI
- 14-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.5 Units / -15.28% ROI
- 17-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.6 Units / 4.64% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 15-16 against the Run Line (-3.7 Units / -8.49% ROI).
- 14-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.7 Units / -13.13% ROI
- 15-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.6 Units / -4.64% ROI
- 15-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -3.85% ROI
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Colin Rea has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 51% (30/59) of opposing batters this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of 73% (11/15) against Colin Rea when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 100th Percentile.
Colin Rea has induced opposing hitters to ground into 3 double plays in 12 opportunities (25%) this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 23% (39/173) against Colin Rea this season — 12th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 29% — seventh Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (63/103) against Alex Cobb this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Alex Cobb has walked 4 of 141 batters (3%) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (331/537) against Alex Cobb since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.
Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 38% of the time (146/382) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Brewers are 20-12 (.625) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are just 1-7 (.125) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Brewers are 22-28 (.440) when underdogs since last season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .397.
The Brewers are just 0-14 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .047.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Giants are just 1-11 (.083) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Giants are 1-14 (.067) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .047.
The Giants are just 1-14 (.067) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .108.
The Giants are 9-79 (.102) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .089.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers are batting just .221 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of just .280 (311 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.
The Brewers are batting just .225 against LHP since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .360 against LHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have 325 strikeouts in 1,193 PA’s (27%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Giants hitters have an OBP of just .292 (394 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.
Giants hitters have 595 strikeouts in 2,326 PA’s (26%) against LHP since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Giants hitters have 116 strikeouts in 394 PA’s (29%) against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the 2021 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 52% against Giants pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Robert Wood (Giants): Hamstring, D15
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Darin Ruf (Giants): Wrist, D10
- Luke Jackson (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Bryce Johnson (Giants): Concussion, D7
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Brandon Crawford (Giants): Calf, D10
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Left Arm, D60
- Michael Yastrzemski (Giants): Hamstring, D10
- Gus Varland (Brewers): Hand, D15
- Luis UrÃas (Brewers): Hamstring, D60
- Matthew Bush (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Adrian Houser (Brewers): Groin, D15
- Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
- Jason Alexander (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
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