- The Giants are -135 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers starting pitcher: Adrian Houser
- Giants starting pitcher: Thomas Stripling
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Milwaukee Brewers (+110) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-135) on Sunday, May 7, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Giants are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Brewers vs Giants Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Brewers are 18-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 16-16 ATS.
Brewers vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -175 | O 9 -105 | +110 |
| Giants | -1.5 +145 | U 9 -115 | -135 |
Brewers vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 24 games (+9.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 22 games (+9.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+8.75 Units / 30% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.95 Units / 34% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+7.75 Units / 14% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 30 games (+12.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+9.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- David Villar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+8.55 Units / 64% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 17 games (+7.85 Units / 44% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+7.65 Units / 23% ROI)
Giants vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Joc Pederson | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| William Contreras | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
Giants vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Joc Pederson | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| William Contreras | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Giants vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Joc Pederson | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| William Contreras | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Giants vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ross Stripling | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
| Adrian Houser | 3.5 +120 | 3.5 -155 |
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 27 games (+4.75 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+3.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.00 Units / 5% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.15 Units / 34% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+7.80 Units / 51% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.80 Units / 61% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+6.10 Units / 46% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.55 Units / 56% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 15-18 against the Run Line (-2.85 Units / -7.26% ROI).
- 18-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 1.41% ROI
- 14-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.6 Units / -17.79% ROI
- 18-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.6 Units / 7.31% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 16-16 against the Run Line (-2.5 Units / -5.61% ROI).
- 15-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.7 Units / -9.88% ROI
- 15-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.7 Units / -7.59% ROI
- 16-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.3 Units / -0.86% ROI
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Adrian Houser has a strike rate of just 58% (506/871) vs left-handed batters since last season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: 64% — fourth Percentile.
Adrian Houser has a strike rate of just 60% (1,111/1,848) since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Adrian Houser has located his fastball low 49% of the time (595/1,209) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 99th Percentile.
Adrian Houser has a strike rate of just 57% (263/464) with runners in scoring position since last season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 31% (60/196) against Ross Stripling since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 78 of Ross Stripling’s 368 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 21%) since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 0 Percentile.
Ross Stripling has allowed a slugging percentage of just .426 (121 Total Bases / 284 ABs) in non-two strike counts since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: .554 — 97th Percentile.
Ross Stripling has allowed an OBP of just .240 (416 PA’s) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order since last season — tied for 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: .301 — 95th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Brewers are 22-29 (.431) when underdogs since last season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .397.
The Brewers are 10-69 (.127) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .090.
The Brewers are 13-2 (.867) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Brewers are just 73-14 (.839) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Giants are just 4-4 (.500) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The Giants are just 1-14 (.067) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.
The Giants are 7-5 (.583) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Giants are 36-22 (.621) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .546.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters are slugging just .331 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Brewers hitters have an OPS of just .610 (315 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .742.
The Brewers are batting just .221 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .360 against LHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .222 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Giants hitters have 116 strikeouts in 394 PA’s (29%) against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Giants hitters have 330 strikeouts in 1,224 PA’s (27%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Giants hitters are slugging just .351 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Brewers pitchers since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the 2021 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Giants pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Giants vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Robert Wood (Giants): Hamstring, D15
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Darin Ruf (Giants): Wrist, D10
- Luke Jackson (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Bryce Johnson (Giants): Concussion, D7
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Brandon Crawford (Giants): Calf, D10
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Left Arm, D60
- Michael Yastrzemski (Giants): Hamstring, D10
- Gus Varland (Brewers): Hand, D15
- Luis UrÃas (Brewers): Hamstring, D60
- Matthew Bush (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Adrian Houser (Brewers): Groin, D15
- Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
- Jason Alexander (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
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