Brewers vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 20

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 20, 2023, 11:26 AM
  • The Mariners are -130 favorites vs the Brewers
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Brandon Woodruff, 0.00 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert, 5.19 ERA

The Milwaukee Brewers (+110) visit Peoria Sports Complex to take on the Seattle Mariners (-130) on Monday, March 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Peoria.

The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The Brewers vs Mariners Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

During Spring Training, the Brewers are 8-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 6-9 ATS.

Brewers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Brewers+1.5 -175O 9.5 -120+110
Mariners -1.5 +145U 9.5 +100-130

Brewers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Monday‘s Spring Training matchup with 61.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Kolten Wong has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Andrew McCutchen has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 100% ROI)
  • Omar Narvaez has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 9 games (+3.00 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Esteury Ruiz has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.65 Units / 120% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Mitch Haniger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.40 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Dylan Moore has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.25 Units / 162% ROI)
  • Dylan Moore has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.00 Units / 150% ROI)
  • Jarred Kelenic has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Taylor Trammell has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 36 away games (+9.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.70 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.95 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 46 of their last 99 games (+5.90 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 26 games (+2.90 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 64 games at home (+18.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 63 of their last 99 games (+14.05 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 61 games at home (+11.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 99 games (+6.25 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 50 of their last 87 games (+4.85 Units / 5% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 9-8 against the Run Line (-0.4 Units / -1.76% ROI).

  • 8-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.7 Units / -13.2% ROI
  • 5-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.2 Units / -32.89% ROI
  • 10-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.6 Units / 24.66% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 6-9 against the Run Line (-5 Units / -24.15% ROI).

  • 7-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.25 Units / -6.65% ROI
  • 4-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.1 Units / -51.56% ROI
  • 12-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.7 Units / 43.75% ROI

Hitters swung at 37% of Brandon Woodruff’s breaking pitches (224/605) last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents had a line drive rate of just 12% (8/68) versus Brandon Woodruff with runners in scoring position last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents had a miss rate of 54% (116/215) against Brandon Woodruff on changeups last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters had a miss rate of 37% (218/590) against Brandon Woodruff last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a line drive rate of 28% (153/537) versus Logan Gilbert last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.

Opponents batted .476 (39-for-82) against Logan Gilbert on the first pitch of at-bats last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .338 — second Percentile.

Logan Gilbert allowed a slugging percentage of .454 (176 Total Bases / 388 ABs) against right-handed batters last season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .378 — eighth Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 37% (200/537) against Logan Gilbert last season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 10th Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Brewers are just 9-35 (.205) when allowing 10 or more hits last season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.

The Brewers are 9-57 (.136) when trailing entering the 8th inning last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Brewers are 46-35 (.568) at home last season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .532.

The Brewers are 9-53 (.145) when trailing entering the 7th inning last season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .119.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Mariners are 36-15 (.706) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mariners are 15-6 (.714) when tied entering the 8th inning last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mariners are 14-11 (.560) when tied entering the 7th inning last season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mariners are 46-37 (.554) on the road last season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .468.

Brewers hitters had a swing rate of just 26% on the first pitch of at-bats last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

Brewers hitters averaged 4.06 pitches per plate appearance last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.

The Brewers are batting just .226 against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Brewers hitters have 810 strikeouts in 3,250 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .168 on pitches out of the zone since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

The Mariners are batting just .219 at home since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Mariners hitters drew 190 walks in 1,781 PA’s (11%) against LHP last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .171 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Brewers pitchers have won 46% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Brewers pitchers had a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Mariners have won 38% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Mariners vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Seattle Mariners – No Injuries Reported
  • Jason Alexander (Brewers): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.