- The Mariners are -130 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers starting pitcher: Brandon Woodruff, 0.00 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert, 5.19 ERA
The Milwaukee Brewers (+110) visit Peoria Sports Complex to take on the Seattle Mariners (-130) on Monday, March 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Peoria.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Brewers vs Mariners Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Brewers are 8-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 6-9 ATS.
Brewers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -175 | O 9.5 -120 | +110 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +145 | U 9.5 +100 | -130 |
Brewers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Monday‘s Spring Training matchup with 61.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Brewers vs Mariners and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kolten Wong has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Andrew McCutchen has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 100% ROI)
- Omar Narvaez has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 9 games (+3.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.65 Units / 120% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Mitch Haniger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.40 Units / 54% ROI)
- Dylan Moore has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.25 Units / 162% ROI)
- Dylan Moore has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.00 Units / 150% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Taylor Trammell has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 36 away games (+9.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.95 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 46 of their last 99 games (+5.90 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 26 games (+2.90 Units / 9% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 64 games at home (+18.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 63 of their last 99 games (+14.05 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 61 games at home (+11.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 99 games (+6.25 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 50 of their last 87 games (+4.85 Units / 5% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 9-8 against the Run Line (-0.4 Units / -1.76% ROI).
- 8-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.7 Units / -13.2% ROI
- 5-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.2 Units / -32.89% ROI
- 10-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.6 Units / 24.66% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 6-9 against the Run Line (-5 Units / -24.15% ROI).
- 7-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.25 Units / -6.65% ROI
- 4-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.1 Units / -51.56% ROI
- 12-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.7 Units / 43.75% ROI
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters swung at 37% of Brandon Woodruff’s breaking pitches (224/605) last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 12% (8/68) versus Brandon Woodruff with runners in scoring position last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of 54% (116/215) against Brandon Woodruff on changeups last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters had a miss rate of 37% (218/590) against Brandon Woodruff last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a line drive rate of 28% (153/537) versus Logan Gilbert last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Opponents batted .476 (39-for-82) against Logan Gilbert on the first pitch of at-bats last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .338 — second Percentile.
Logan Gilbert allowed a slugging percentage of .454 (176 Total Bases / 388 ABs) against right-handed batters last season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .378 — eighth Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 37% (200/537) against Logan Gilbert last season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 10th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Brewers are just 9-35 (.205) when allowing 10 or more hits last season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The Brewers are 9-57 (.136) when trailing entering the 8th inning last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Brewers are 46-35 (.568) at home last season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Brewers are 9-53 (.145) when trailing entering the 7th inning last season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Mariners are 36-15 (.706) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mariners are 15-6 (.714) when tied entering the 8th inning last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mariners are 14-11 (.560) when tied entering the 7th inning last season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mariners are 46-37 (.554) on the road last season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .468.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters had a swing rate of just 26% on the first pitch of at-bats last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Brewers hitters averaged 4.06 pitches per plate appearance last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
The Brewers are batting just .226 against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Brewers hitters have 810 strikeouts in 3,250 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .168 on pitches out of the zone since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Mariners are batting just .219 at home since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Mariners hitters drew 190 walks in 1,781 PA’s (11%) against LHP last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .171 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers pitchers have won 46% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers had a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Mariners have won 38% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Mariners vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Seattle Mariners – No Injuries Reported
- Jason Alexander (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
Bet now on Brewers vs Mariners and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
