- The Brewers are -165 favorites vs the Rockies
- Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta
- Rockies starting pitcher: Ryan Feltner
- Watch the game on SportsNet RM
The Milwaukee Brewers (-165) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+140) on Tuesday, May 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver.
The Brewers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Brewers vs Rockies Over/Under is 11 total runs for the game.
This season, the Brewers are 18-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 10-19 ATS.
Brewers vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | -1.5 -115 | O 11 -110 | -165 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -105 | U 11 -110 | +140 |
Brewers vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 67.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+7.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 19 games (+7.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.45 Units / 93% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.20 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Elias Diaz has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Kris Bryant has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+7.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- Kris Bryant has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games (+6.10 Units / 58% ROI)
- Yonathan Daza has hit the Hits Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.65 Units / 73% ROI)
Rockies vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
Rockies vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Rockies vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Rockies vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Feltner | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -160 |
| Freddy Peralta | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 12 away games (+5.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 26 games (+4.35 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 22 games (+4.05 Units / 17% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+7.05 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+5.35 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+5.15 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.95 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.40 Units / 24% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 15-13 against the Run Line (+2.75 Units / 8.17% ROI).
- 18-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.15 Units / 19.83% ROI
- 12-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.2 Units / -16.46% ROI
- 15-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.9 Units / 6.32% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 10-19 against the Run Line (-10.85 Units / -32.63% ROI).
- 9-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.2 Units / -26.07% ROI
- 13-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.8 Units / -14.77% ROI
- 16-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.1 Units / 6.69% ROI
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .101 (49-for-485) against Freddy Peralta when ahead in the count since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: .189 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 21% (6/28) against Freddy Peralta’s curve and slider this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.
Hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order are hitting just .157 (93-for-591) against Freddy Peralta since the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: .239 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .099 (52-for-525) against Freddy Peralta with two-strikes since the 2021 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: .167 — 98th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .102 (5-for-49) against Ryan Feltner’s non-fastballs this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .232 — 99th Percentile.
Ryan Feltner has pitched 11.2 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Pete Fairbanks has the longest active streak at 30.0.
The last hit on a Ryan Feltner changeup was September 18th, 2022. Hitters are 0 for their last 25 in ABs ending on his changeup. — Bryan Baker has the longest active streak at 37.
Ryan Feltner has allowed an OBP of .344 (64 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .255 — third Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Brewers are 20-11 (.645) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are 4-5 (.444) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .201.
The Brewers are 13-1 (.929) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Brewers are 6-72 (.077) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .046.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Rockies are just 15-53 (.221) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .346.
The Rockies are just 48-27 (.640) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .804.
The Rockies are just 26-13 (.667) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .805.
The Rockies are just 1-9 (.100) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers are batting just .220 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Brewers hitters have 522 strikeouts in 1,976 PA’s (26%) against LHP since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers hitters have an OPS of just .624 (265 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .734.
The Brewers are batting just .207 against LHP this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 42% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies are batting .283 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.0 feet since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.2.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .284 (3,585 PA’s) on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .308.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Brewers pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Brewers pitchers since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the 2021 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have walked 30 of 250 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rockies pitchers have won only 7% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Knee, D15
- Noah Davis (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Gus Varland (Brewers): Hand, D15
- Luis UrÃas (Brewers): Hamstring, D60
- Matthew Bush (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Tyrone Taylor (Brewers): Elbow, D10
- Adrian Houser (Brewers): Groin, D15
- Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
- Jason Alexander (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
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