- The Broncos are -4 point favorites vs the 49ers
- Total (Over/Under): 38.5 points
The Denver Broncos visit Levi’s Stadium to take on the San Francisco 49ers on Aug. 19. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in Santa Clara.
The Broncos are betting favorites in this preseason matchup, with the spread sitting at -4 (-110).
The Broncos vs. 49ers Over/Under is 38.5 total points for the game.
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Broncos vs. 49ers Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Broncos | -4 -110 | 38.5 -110 | -185 |
| 49ers | +4 -110 | 38.5 -110 | +150 |
Broncos vs. 49ers Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Broncos will win this preseason game with 64.5% confidence.
Broncos vs 49ers Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Broncos will cover the spread with 51.3% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Broncos and 49ers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Broncos Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Broncos players this preseason game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Courtland Sutton has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Jerry Jeudy has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- Russell Wilson has hit the TD Passes Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jerry Jeudy has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- Russell Wilson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 41% ROI)
Best 49ers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for 49ers players for this preseason matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- George Kittle has hit the Longest Reception Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.55 Units / 51% ROI)
- Jauan Jennings has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.70 Units / 49% ROI)
- Christian McCaffrey has hit the Carries Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.95 Units / 57% ROI)
- Christian McCaffrey has hit the Longest Rush Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- Deebo Samuel has hit the Longest Reception Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.40 Units / 51% ROI)
Broncos Best Bets:
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+8.90 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+4.30 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have covered the 3Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.25 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.85 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+3.10 Units / 47% ROI)
49ers Best Bets:
- The San Francisco 49ers have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+9.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Francisco 49ers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- The San Francisco 49ers have covered the Spread in their last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 92% ROI)
- The San Francisco 49ers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- The San Francisco 49ers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 28% ROI)
Broncos Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Broncos went 0-1 (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- Broncos are 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.5 Units / -100% ROI
- Broncos are 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Broncos are 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / ROI
49ers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the 49ers went 0-1 (-1.15 Units / -100% ROI).
- 49ers are 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -100% ROI
- 49ers are 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- 49ers are 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
Denver Broncos: Keys to the Game vs. the San Francisco 49ers
The Broncos are winless (0-4) vs top 10 defenses since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .456.
The Broncos were winless (0-8) on the road in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .432.
The Broncos were 3-10 (.231) when within 7 points at the two minute warning in the 2022 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .492.
The Broncos were 1-9 (.100) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .471.
San Francisco 49ers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Broncos
The 49ers were undefeated (3-0) when within 7 points at the two minute warning in the 2022 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .492.
The 49ers are 9-3 (.750) vs top 10 pass offenses since the 2021 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .353.
The 49ers were 13-2 (.867) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .518.
The 49ers were 4-1 (.800) vs top 10 offenses in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .312.
Additional Matchup Notes for Denver Broncos vs. San Francisco 49ers
The 49ers scored on 47.9% of their drives in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — second-best in NFL. The Broncos defense allowed scores on 44.7% of opponent drives in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — second-worst in NFL.
The 49ers ran successful plays on 54.4% of pass attempts in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — second-best in NFL. Broncos allowed successful plays on 53.3% of pass attempts in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — third-worst in NFL.
The 49ers ran 21.7% offensive plays in the red zone in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — third-best in NFL. Broncos allowed their opponent to run 18.0% of plays in the red zone in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — fourth-worst in NFL.
The Broncos ran just 8.4% offensive plays in the red zone last season — worst in NFL. 49ers allowed their opponent to run just 10.4% of plays in the red zone last season — best in NFL.
The Broncos were successful on just 36.8% of plays they have run last season — worst in NFL. 49ers allowed their opponents to be successful on just 39.2% of plays last season — fourth-best in NFL.
The Broncos scored on 22.8% of their drives in the second half last season — second-worst in NFL. The 49ers defense allowed scores on 24.7% of opponent drives in the second half last season — second-best in NFL.
Denver Broncos Offense: Important Stats
The Broncos started 21 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 1st quarter in the 2022 season — most in NFL.
The Broncos ran 35% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Broncos ran 35% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Broncos started 68 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 2022 season — most in NFL.
San Francisco 49ers Offense: Important Stats
The 49ers had 6 TDs that were 20+ yards in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — most in NFL.
The 49ers went three and out on 14% of their drives in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 21%.
The 49ers have faced a blitz 222 times since the 2021 season — fewest in NFL.
The 49ers went three and out on 12% of their drives in the 2nd half in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 21%.
Denver Broncos Defense: Important Stats
Only 10% of the plays run against the Broncos have been in the red zone in the 1st half since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
The Broncos defense allowed 72.4 yards from scrimmage per game in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 92.0.
The Broncos defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 32% in the 2022 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
The Broncos defense allowed a passer rating of just 70.9 when blitzing (163 Pass Attempts) in the 2022 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 92.0.
San Francisco 49ers Defense: Important Stats
The 49ers defense allowed successful plays on 27% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The 49ers defense allowed just 15.2 points per game to opposing offenses (259 points / 17 games) in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 20.8.
The 49ers defense allowed scores on 26% of opponent drives in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 36%.
The 49ers defense allowed 16.4 Points per Game (279/17) in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 21.8.
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