Broncos vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL Preseason

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(AP Photo/Danny Karnik)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 11, 2023, 12:43 PM
  • The Broncos are -5.5 point favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Total (Over/Under): 37 points
  • Watch the game on Broadcast Channel

The Denver Broncos visit State Farm Stadium to take on the Arizona Cardinals on Aug. 11. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Glendale.

The Broncos are betting favorites in this preseason matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Broncos vs. Cardinals Over/Under is 37 total points for the game.

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Broncos vs. Cardinals Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Broncos-5.5 -11037 -110-225
Cardinals +5.5 -11037 -110+180

Broncos vs. Cardinals Prediction

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Broncos will win this preseason game with 58.3% confidence.

Broncos vs Cardinals Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Cardinals will cover the spread with 53.8% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Broncos and Cardinals, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Broncos Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Broncos players this preseason game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Courtland Sutton has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Jerry Jeudy has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Russell Wilson has hit the TD Passes Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.70 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Jerry Jeudy has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Russell Wilson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 41% ROI)

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Cardinals players for this preseason matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • James Conner has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • James Conner has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.60 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Kyler Murray has hit the Passing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 55% ROI)
  • James Conner has hit the Carries Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.30 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Zach Ertz has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.10 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+8.90 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the Game Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+4.30 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have covered the 3Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.25 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.85 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Arizona Cardinals have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.35 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Arizona Cardinals have covered the 1H Spread in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • The Arizona Cardinals have scored first in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.75 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+3.80 Units / 71% ROI)
  • The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.75 Units / 44% ROI)

Broncos Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread last NFL season, the Broncos went 7-10 (-4.15 Units / -22.02% ROI).

  • Broncos are 5-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.75 Units / -40.11% ROI
  • Broncos are 6-11 when betting the Over for -6.15 Units / -32.8% ROI
  • Broncos are 11-6 when betting the Under for +4.4 Units / ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread last NFL season, the Cardinals went 8-9 (-1.95 Units / -10.46% ROI).

  • Cardinals are 4-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.15 Units / -44.66% ROI
  • Cardinals are 9-7 when betting the Over for +1.3 Units / 6.95% ROI
  • Cardinals are 7-9 when betting the Under for -2.9 Units / -15.51% ROI

Denver Broncos: Keys to the Game vs. the Arizona Cardinals

The Broncos were winless (0-8) on the road in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .432.

The Broncos were 3-10 (.231) when within 7 points at the two minute warning in the 2022 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .492.

The Broncos are winless (0-4) vs top 10 defenses since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .456.

The Broncos are 4-14 (.222) when within 7 points at the two minute warning since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .494.

Arizona Cardinals: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Broncos

The Cardinals were winless (0-4) when within 7 points at the two minute warning in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .492.

The Cardinals were winless (0-7) when losing at least one fumble in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .391.

The Cardinals were winless (0-6) when allowing more than 5 yards per rush in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .451.

The Cardinals were winless (0-8) when allowing 3 or more sacks in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .373.

Additional Matchup Notes for Denver Broncos vs. Arizona Cardinals

The Cardinals threw for just 6.0 yards per attempt last season — worst in NFL. The Broncos allowed just 5.9 yards per dropback last season — fourth-best in NFL.

The Cardinals had a third down conversion rate of just 28.4% in the fourth quarter last season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Broncos defense allowed a third down conversion rate of just 28.1% in the 4th quarter last season — fourth-best in NFL.

Cardinals RBs averaged just 70.8 rushing yards per game in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — fifth-worst in NFL. The Broncos allowed an average of just 85.2 rushing yards per game in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — fourth-best in NFL.

Broncos RBs averaged 7.8 targets per game last season — tied for third-highest in NFL. The Cardinals allowed 5.9 receptions per game to RBs last season — tied for second-worst in NFL.

Broncos RBs gained 831 yards after catch last season — fourth-most in NFL. The Cardinals allowed 2,564 yards after catch last season — most in NFL.

Broncos RBs gained 181 yards after catch in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — fifth-most in NFL. The Cardinals allowed 564 yards after catch in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — third-most in NFL.

Denver Broncos Offense: Important Stats

The Broncos started 21 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 1st quarter in the 2022 season — most in NFL.

The Broncos had a third down conversion rate of 29% in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

The Broncos ran 35% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Broncos ran 35% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

Arizona Cardinals Offense: Important Stats

The Cardinals averaged 26.6 offensive penalty yards per game (453/17) in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 19.3.

The Cardinals ran successful plays on 52% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Cardinals had an average drive start position from the 24.0 yard line in the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 26.7.

The Cardinals started 4 drives inside their own 10 yard line in the 4th quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for most in NFL.

Denver Broncos Defense: Important Stats

The Broncos defense allowed 72.4 yards from scrimmage per game in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 92.0.

The Broncos defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 10% on third and 10+ yards to go in the 2022 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 19%.

Only 7% of the plays run against the Broncos have been in the red zone in the 1st quarter since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 12%.

The Broncos defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 32% in the 2022 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

Arizona Cardinals Defense: Important Stats

The Cardinals defense allowed a Completion Pct of 60% (64 completions/107 attempts) when they pressured the QB in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Cardinals defense allowed 27.5 Points per Game (467/17) in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 21.8.

The Cardinals defense tackled opponents for a loss on 65 of 429 rushing attempts (15% TFL%) in the 2022 season. — best in NFL; League Avg: 11%.

The Cardinals defense allowed a passer rating of 115.4 when blitzing (190 Pass Attempts) in the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 92.0.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.