Broncos at Chiefs: The Most Exciting Game Odds and Picks

Teams on opposite sides of the AFC West standings will face off this Sunday at Arrowhead Stadium.

The Chiefs will play host to the Broncos, and the NFL betting odds currently show Kansas City as 9.5 point favorites. However, even with a spread nearly in double-digits, this matchup may be much closer than the odds suggest.

Here are the most exciting game picks for the Broncos at Chiefs in Week 13.

Broncos (+9.5) at Chiefs

This 9.5-point spread makes sense at this point in the season, mainly because the Chiefs are starting to look like Super Bowl contenders again.

Kansas City now sits at 7-4 after their rocky start and has strung together some big wins recently. In their last three games, they’ve beaten the Cowboys, Raiders, and Packers (without Aaron Rodgers).

I still believe Denver can keep this game within the number with the help of their defense, though.

Last week we saw the Broncos’ defense completely bottle up the Chargers.

They held Justin Herbert to a 63.6 percent completion rate and forced two interceptions (including a pick-six). On the ground, they stuffed the Chargers and only let up a total of 72 rushing yards.

Denver ended up winning that game 28-13.

All season the Broncos have been winning games with their defense. They allow the third-fewest points per game at 17.8. They also rank tenth in opponent pass yards per game at 224.2 and should be able to slow down Patrick Mahomes a little bit.

Lastly, this season, Mahomes and the Chiefs are 1-5 ATS as home favorites. So, I will gladly side with the underdog Broncos in this spot.

Game Total Under 47.5

At 47.5, some people may think this total is too low and will want to bet the over, but I don’t see it this way.

Let’s look at each of these teams’ recent game scores.

Kansas City has only gone over 47.5 total points once in their past six games. They held the Dallas offense to nine points in their most recent game, winning 19-9.

Coincidently, Denver has also only gone over a total of 47.5 points once in their past six games as well.

Some exciting trends back a low-scoring game this Sunday. As a home favorite, Kansas City is 4-2 to the under this season. Furthermore, Denver is 2-0 to the under as an underdog playing away.

Apart from trends, I think that the game script will have to favor a low total here.

Kansas City allows the 28th most yards per rush at 4.6. I believe that the Broncos will try and use their running back duo of Melvin Gordon and Javonte Williams to exploit the Chiefs’ weak run defense, eating away time.

Place Your Bets for Broncos at Chiefs

Which of these bets is your favorite for the Broncos at Chiefs? Whichever it is, make sure you place your wagers on the game at BetMGM, the best online sportsbook. Sign up for an account today.