Broncos at Cowboys: Betting Analysis for the Over-Under Point Total

min read
Week 9 NFL
BetMGM Staff @BETMGM Nov 02, 2021, 3:44 PM

The Denver Broncos narrowly escaped against Washington last week. But now, the test gets tougher in Week 9 with the Broncos at Cowboys. NFL betting lines have this game’s over-under at 49.5 and the Cowboys as 10-point favorites.

There are a few factors to consider on both sides when analyzing this matchup. So before discussing the Broncos betting odds, let’s look at where both teams stand.

Dallas Cowboys

The big news in Arlington is the condition of starting quarterback Dak Prescott. Dallas went into Minnesota without his services and came away with the win. Cooper Rush did an excellent job in relief, but Dak expects to play after two weeks’ rest.

Either way, the Cowboys showed their offense is capable of scoring even without their starting quarterback. Dallas averages 32.1 points per game, and they rank 4th in the NFL in passing yards. Vic Fangio will have his hands full trying to stop Dak Prescott and the Cowboys.

Since their opening day loss, Dallas has won six games in a row. The Cowboys are also 3-0 at home and 7-0 against the spread this season.

Denver Broncos

Ending a four-game losing streak is a big monkey off the back of Vic Fangio and the Broncos. But the narrow escape against Washington points out some prominent issues.

The Broncos won last week 17-10, but a 16 second series of plays could have spelled disaster. Still, Denver climbed back to 4-4 and are back in the thick of the AFC Wild Card race.

The defense performed well without Von Miller, who got traded to the Rams before the game. It was a curious move since Denver’s three other starting linebackers are all injured.

Yet, Justin Simmons led the way with two end-zone interceptions. The Broncos are winning with defense, holding opponents to a stingy 17.1 points per game.

The offense is an entirely different story for Denver. Teddy Bridgewater has maintained a 100.6 QB rating despite getting sacked 22 times. In addition, Teddy’s completion rate of 70.4% suggests the Broncos have scoring potential.

But against Washington, Bridgewater got sacked four times while scoring only 17 points. Washington allowed more than 20 points to every other team they played this year.

Adding to the offensive woes, Melvin Gordon III lost the ball in what could have been a crucial point in the game. But, again, the defense stepped up to keep the game from going to overtime.

So going into Dallas, scoring points gets that much harder. Denver hasn’t scored more than 25 points since Week 3, and Dallas has been consistent with over 30 points a game. So the Broncos will need fewer three and outs to have any chance of winning this game.

Broncos at Cowboys (-10)

Last week in Minnesota, the Dallas Cowboys scored less than 30 points for the first time since Week 1. With Dak Prescott set to play again in Week 9, the Broncos’ defense will need a more considerable effort. The bigger problem for Denver will be getting points on the scoreboard.

Dallas could post a lot of points in Week 9. But with Denver’s offensive issues, I’m betting under 49.5 for the Broncos at Cowboys. I also believe that Dallas will have a lopsided win.

How do you think this game will turn out? Open up an account at BetMGM’s Colorado sports betting today to place your bets on this game and all the other NFL action this weekend.

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BetMGM Staff

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Our BetMGM authors are sports experts, with a wealth of knowledge of the sports betting industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news across players, teams and coaches, providing betting previews and predictions, fun facts and more.

Our BetMGM authors are sports experts, with a wealth of knowledge of the sports betting industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news across players, teams and coaches, providing betting previews and predictions, fun facts and more.