- The Browns are -2.5 point favorites vs the Chiefs
- Total (Over/Under): 37.5 points
- Watch the game on NFL Network
The Cleveland Browns visit GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium to take on the Kansas City Chiefs on Aug. 26. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Browns are betting favorites in this preseason matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-120).
The Browns vs. Chiefs Over/Under is 37.5 total points for the game.
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Browns vs. Chiefs Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Browns | -2.5 -120 | 37.5 -110 | -155 |
| Chiefs | +2.5 +100 | 37.5 -110 | +130 |
Browns vs. Chiefs Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Browns will win this preseason game with 52.5% confidence.
Browns vs Chiefs Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Browns will cover the spread with 57.8% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Browns and Chiefs, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Browns Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Browns players this preseason game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Nick Chubb has hit the Longest Rush Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.30 Units / 47% ROI)
- Donovan Peoples-Jones has hit the Longest Reception Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.65 Units / 55% ROI)
- Amari Cooper has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.85 Units / 58% ROI)
- Nick Chubb has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- Nick Chubb has hit the Carries Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 79% ROI)
Best Chiefs Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Chiefs players for this preseason matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jerick McKinnon has hit the Longest Rush Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Jerick McKinnon has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Noah Gray has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.65 Units / 53% ROI)
- Patrick Mahomes has hit the Passing Yards Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- Isiah Pacheco has hit the Carries Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 73% ROI)
Browns Best Bets:
- The Cleveland Browns have scored first in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+6.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 20 games (+3.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.85 Units / 60% ROI)
Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Browns went 2-1 (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Browns are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.3 Units / -8.7% ROI
- Browns are 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Browns are 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / ROI
Chiefs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Chiefs went 0-1 (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- Chiefs are 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- Chiefs are 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Chiefs are 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs
The Browns are winless (0-9) when rushing for less than 100 yards since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .335.
The Browns were winless (0-3) when allowing 250 or more passing yards in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .476.
The Browns were 1-8 (.111) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays in the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .414.
The Browns were 1-5 (.167) when allowing more than 5 yards per rush in the 2022 season — tied for 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .448.
Kansas City Chiefs: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns
The Chiefs were 11-2 (.846) when allowing less than 3 sacks last season — third-best in NFL. The Browns averaged just 2.0 sacks per game over that time span — tied for fifth-worst in NFL.
The Chiefs were 7-2 (.778) when rushing less than 25 times in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .315.
The Chiefs were undefeated (3-0) after a loss in the 2022 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .463.
The Chiefs were undefeated (6-0) vs bottom 10 pass defenses in the 2022 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .494.
Additional Matchup Notes for Cleveland Browns vs. Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs ran 19.3% offensive plays in the red zone last season — best in NFL. Browns allowed their opponent to run 16.6% of plays in the red zone last season — third-worst in NFL.
The Chiefs had a third down conversion rate of 41.9% on 3rd and 10+ YTG last season — best in NFL. The Browns defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 25.8% on 3rd and 10+ YTG last season — second-worst in NFL.
Chiefs QBs were sacked 26 last season — third-fewest in NFL. The Browns sacked the quarterback 34 times last season — tied for fifth-fewest in NFL.
Browns WRs averaged just 3.6 yards after the catch last season — tied for fourth-worst in NFL. The Chiefs allowed just 3.7 yards after catch per reception to WRs last season — tied for third-best in NFL.
Cleveland Browns Offense: Important Stats
The Browns started 5 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 1st quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for most in NFL.
The Browns did not record a TD in 12 drives in the 1st quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 6.4.
The Browns have gone three and out on 14% of their drives in the 1st quarter since the 2021 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 22%.
The Browns have started 4 drives inside their own 10 yard line in the 2nd half since the 2021 season — fewest in NFL.
Kansas City Chiefs Offense: Important Stats
The Chiefs had a third down conversion rate of 47% on third and 10+ yards to go in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 19%.
The Chiefs converted first downs on 36 of 80 plays (45%) on 3rd and long in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 24%.
The Chiefs have a third down conversion rate of 52% since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
The Chiefs ran 19% of their plays in the red zone in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
Cleveland Browns Defense: Important Stats
The Browns defense allowed a passer rating of just 17.5 in the red zone (10 Pass Attempts) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 98.4.
The Browns defense allowed a passer rating of just 52.2 (102 Pass Attempts) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 85.6.
The Browns defense stuffed 44% (4/9) of rushing attempts on 3rd and long in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 10%.
The Browns defense allowed one passing TD (102 pass attempts) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 2nd-best Pass Attempts Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 23.6.
Kansas City Chiefs Defense: Important Stats
Only 7% of the plays ran against the Chiefs were in the red zone in the 1st quarter in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
The Chiefs defense has allowed successful plays on 53% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Chiefs defense allowed 27 TD passes in the red zone in the 2022 season — most in NFL.
The Chiefs defense has averaged a sack every 42.2 pass attempts (169 Pass Attempts/4 Sacks) in the red zone since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 17.0.
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