Browns vs Eagles Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL Preseason

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(AP Photo/Rich Schultz)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 17, 2023, 11:52 AM
  • The Eagles are -3.5 point favorites vs the Browns
  • Total (Over/Under): 37.5 points
  • Watch the game on NFL Network

The Cleveland Browns visit Lincoln Financial Field to take on the Philadelphia Eagles on Aug. 17. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Philadelphia.

The Eagles are betting favorites in this preseason matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Browns vs. Eagles Over/Under is 37.5 total points for the game.

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Browns vs. Eagles Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Browns+3.5 -11037.5 -105+150
Eagles -3.5 -11037.5 -115-185

Browns vs. Eagles Prediction

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Eagles will win this preseason game with 67.7% confidence.

Browns vs Eagles Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Eagles will cover the spread with 52.1% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Browns and Eagles, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Browns Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Browns players this preseason game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Nick Chubb has hit the Longest Rush Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.30 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Donovan Peoples-Jones has hit the Longest Reception Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.65 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Amari Cooper has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.85 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Nick Chubb has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.25 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Nick Chubb has hit the Carries Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 79% ROI)

Best Eagles Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Eagles players for this preseason matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • DeVonta Smith has hit the Receptions Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+11.40 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Quez Watkins has hit the Longest Reception Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.60 Units / 51% ROI)
  • DeVonta Smith has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 7 games (+7.10 Units / 88% ROI)
  • A.J. Brown has hit the Receptions Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.10 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Jalen Hurts has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.80 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have scored first in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.40 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.05 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+6.60 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 19 games (+4.95 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.85 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 21 games (+11.65 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.25 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.25 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 21 games (+10.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.90 Units / 19% ROI)

Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Browns went 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Browns are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.3 Units / -12.24% ROI
  • Browns are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Browns are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / ROI

Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Eagles went 1-0 (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Eagles are 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Eagles are 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Eagles are 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles

The Browns were winless (0-3) when allowing 250 or more passing yards in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .476.

The Browns are winless (0-9) when rushing for less than 100 yards since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .338.

The Browns were winless (0-4) when rushing less than 25 times in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .321.

The Browns were 1-6 (.143) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes in the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .444.

Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns

The Eagles were undefeated (5-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .411.

The Eagles were undefeated (5-0) vs bottom 10 pass defenses in the 2022 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .494.

The Eagles were undefeated (5-0) after a home win in the 2022 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .496.

The Eagles were undefeated (3-0) vs bottom 10 run offenses in the 2022 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .541.

Additional Matchup Notes for Cleveland Browns vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Eagles RBs rushed for 10 or more yards on 13.0% of 368 carries last season — tied for third-best in NFL. The Browns allowed 10+ yards on 13.3% of carries to RBs last season — fifth-worst in NFL.

Eagles RBs had 17 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone last season — third-most in NFL. The Browns allowed 22 rushing TDs last season — tied for third-most in NFL.

Eagles RBs had 17 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone last season — third-most in NFL. The Browns have allowed 18 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone last season — tied for fifth-most in NFL.

The Browns ran successful plays on just 38.0% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field last season — third-worst in NFL. Eagles allowed successful plays on just 42.9% of pass attempts on their own side of the field last season — fourth-best in NFL.

Browns QBs were sacked 17 in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — second-most in NFL. The Eagles sacked the quarterback 21 times in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — most in NFL.

Cleveland Browns Offense: Important Stats

The Browns started 5 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 1st quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for most in NFL.

The Browns targeted TEs 41% of the time (30 Pass Attempts/74 plays) in the red zone in the 2022 season — 2nd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 24%.

The Browns targeted TEs 25% of the time (133 Pass Attempts/540 plays) in the 2022 season — 5th-highest in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Browns ran successful plays on 36% of pass attempts on passes when their QB was pressured in the 2022 season — 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: 29%.

Philadelphia Eagles Offense: Important Stats

The Eagles have rushed for 57 TDs since the 2021 season — most in NFL.

The Eagles rushed for 32 TDs in the 2022 season — most in NFL.

The Eagles ran the ball on 41% of plays (91 carries/222 plays) on 3rd down in the 2022 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 25%.

The Eagles have run the ball on 38% of plays (167 carries/443 plays) on 3rd down since the 2021 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 24%.

Cleveland Browns Defense: Important Stats

The Browns defense allowed a passer rating of just 17.5 in the red zone (10 Pass Attempts) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 98.4.

The Browns defense allowed a passer rating of just 52.2 (102 Pass Attempts) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 85.6.

The Browns defense stuffed 44% (4/9) of rushing attempts on 3rd and long in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 10%.

The Browns defense allowed first downs on 48% of pass attempts on 3rd and long in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 27%.

Philadelphia Eagles Defense: Important Stats

The Eagles defense sacked opposing QBs on 11% of pass attempts (70/626) in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 7%.

The Eagles defense allowed a passer rating of just 39.5 on 3rd and long (65 Pass Attempts) in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 78.1.

The Eagles defense sacked opponents 70 times in the 2022 season — most in NFL.

The Eagles defense averaged 4.1 sacks per game in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 2.4.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.