- The Jets are -2.5 point favorites vs the Buccaneers
- Total (Over/Under): 36.5 points
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers visit MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Jets on Aug. 19. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in East Rutherford.
The Jets are betting favorites in this preseason matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).
The Buccaneers vs. Jets Over/Under is 36.5 total points for the game.
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Buccaneers vs. Jets Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Buccaneers | +2.5 -115 | 36.5 -105 | +115 |
| Jets | -2.5 -105 | 36.5 -115 | -140 |
Buccaneers vs. Jets Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Jets will win this preseason game with 57.5% confidence.
Buccaneers vs Jets Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Jets will cover the spread with 50.9% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Buccaneers and Jets, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Buccaneers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Buccaneers players this preseason game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Tom Brady has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.85 Units / 77% ROI)
- Tom Brady has hit the Completions Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.20 Units / 67% ROI)
- Leonard Fournette has hit the Longest Rush Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 63% ROI)
- Chris Godwin has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.90 Units / 57% ROI)
- Tom Brady has hit the Passing Yards Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.65 Units / 50% ROI)
Best Jets Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Jets players for this preseason matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Breece Hall has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Corey Davis has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.90 Units / 37% ROI)
- Zach Wilson has hit the Completions Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 58% ROI)
- Breece Hall has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.05 Units / 88% ROI)
- Garrett Wilson has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+5.90 Units / 48% ROI)
Buccaneers Best Bets:
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 2H Game Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 93% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have scored last in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+2.25 Units / 33% ROI)
Jets Best Bets:
- The New York Jets have scored last in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.65 Units / 54% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+6.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- The New York Jets have covered the 2Q Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.50 Units / 35% ROI)
Buccaneers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Buccaneers went 0-1 (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- Buccaneers are 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- Buccaneers are 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Buccaneers are 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / ROI
Jets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Jets went 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -4.44% ROI).
- Jets are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.05 Units / -2.13% ROI
- Jets are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Jets are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Jets
The Buccaneers were 7-2 (.778) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent last season — tied for ninth-best in NFL. The Jets allowed an average time of possession of 32 min and 1 s last season — fifth-highest in NFL.
The Buccaneers are 2-8 (.200) when the opposing team commits less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2021 season — tied for 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .455.
The Buccaneers were 1-5 (.167) when allowing more than 5 yards per rush in the 2022 season — tied for 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .451.
The Buccaneers were 7-2 (.778) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent in the 2022 season — tied for 9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .654.
New York Jets: Keys to the Game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Jets were winless (0-9) when rushing at least 4 yards less than 5 times in a game in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .352.
The Jets are 6-19 (.240) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .482.
The Jets were 2-8 (.200) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game in the 2022 season — tied for 7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .429.
The Jets were 6-3 (.667) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — tied for 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .496.
Additional Matchup Notes for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New York Jets
The Jets ran successful plays on just 39.8% of pass attempts last season — fifth-worst in NFL. Buccaneers allowed successful plays on just 42.2% of pass attempts last season — fourth-best in NFL.
The Jets ran successful plays on just 38.6% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field last season — fifth-worst in NFL. Buccaneers allowed successful plays on just 41.1% of pass attempts on their own side of the field last season — second-best in NFL.
The Jets ran successful plays on just 36.5% of rush attempts last season — worst in NFL. Buccaneers allowed successful plays on just 39.0% of rush attempts last season — tied for fourth-best in NFL.
The Buccaneers had a third down conversion rate of just 5.1% on 3rd and 10+ YTG last season — worst in NFL. The Jets defense allowed a third down conversion rate of just 12.9% on 3rd and 10+ YTG last season — fifth-best in NFL.
The Buccaneers scored on 28.6% of their drives in the second half last season — fifth-worst in NFL. The Jets defense allowed scores on 27.6% of opponent drives in the second half last season — fifth-best in NFL.
Buccaneers RBs averaged just 1.4 yards after contact per carry last season — second-worst in NFL. The Jets allowed just 1.5 yards after contact per carry to RBs last season — tied for fourth-best in NFL.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Offense: Important Stats
The Buccaneers did not convert a first down on 11 plays (0%) when their QB was scrambling in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 21%.
The Buccaneers have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 12% of pass attempts since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 24%.
The Buccaneers have thrown the ball 74% of the time (183 Pass Attempts/248 plays) on second and 4-7 yards to go since the 2021 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
The Buccaneers had a third down conversion rate of 6% on third and 10+ yards to go in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 19%.
New York Jets Offense: Important Stats
The Jets averaged 23.0 drives per TD in the 1st quarter in the 2022 season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 6.1.
The Jets ran successful plays on 28% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Jets faced a blitz 23% of the time on 3rd and short in the 2022 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 11%.
The Jets have faced a blitz 26% of the time on 3rd and short since the 2021 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Defense: Important Stats
35% of the plays ran against the Buccaneers were in the red zone in the 3rd quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 13%.
The Buccaneers defense allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 2 of 82 attempts (2%) on 3rd and long in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 8%.
The Buccaneers defense has no interceptions (158 pass attempts) in the red zone since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: 51.2.
The Buccaneers defense has blitzed on 23% of plays since the 2021 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
New York Jets Defense: Important Stats
Only 6% of the plays ran against the Jets were in the red zone in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
The Jets defense allowed 6.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (5,594 yards / 839 touches) in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 7.3.
Only 8% of the plays ran against the Jets were in the red zone in the 2nd half in the 2022 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
The Jets’ opponents averaged 37.1 Passing Attempts per TD (556 Pass Attempts/15 Passing TDs) in the 2022 season — best Pass Attempts Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 24.1.
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