Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat: NBA Playoffs Game 4 Betting Preview, Lines, Odds, Insights, and Trends for May 29, 2021

The Milwaukee Bucks (46-26, 3-0) are 4.5-point favorites heading into a decisive Game 4 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Miami Heat (40-32, 0-3) at American Airlines Arena on Saturday, starting at 1:30 PM ET on TNT. The Bucks hold a 3-0 lead in the series. The point total in the matchup is set at 222.5.

BetMGM NBA Betting Odds

Bucks vs Heat Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Bucks -4.5 -115 -105 222.5 -110 -110

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Point Total Insights

  • Milwaukee’s games this year have resulted in a higher total score than Saturday’s matchup over/under (222.5 points) in 55 out of 75 opportunities (73.3% of matchups).
  • In 37.3% of Miami’s games this season (28 of 75), the total points scored was higher than Saturday’s 222.5-point over/under.
  • Together, the two teams combine for 227.6 points per game, 5.1 points more than the total of 222.5 for this matchup.
  • This matchup’s point total is 0.6 fewer points than the 221.9 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2020-21.
  • On average, the Bucks have seen a 233.6 over/under in their games this season, 11.1 more points than the over/under in this contest.
  • Heat’s games have an over/under of 216 points this season, 6.5 points fewer than the total points bet for this matchup.

Bucks Betting Data

  • Milwaukee holds a losing record against the spread this season, going 29-46 ATS.
  • When they are at least 4.5-point favorites, the Bucks have a record ATS of 23-33.
  • Milwaukee has gone over the point total the majority of the time, in 46 of 75 games (61.3%).

Bucks Key Players

  • The Bucks points and rebounds leader is Giannis Antetokounmpo. He contributes 28.1 points per game and grabs 11.0 rebounds.
  • Milwaukee’s assists leader is Jrue Holiday, who averages 6.1 per game.
  • The Bucks are led by Bryn Forbes from long distance. He knocks down 2.2 shots from deep per game.
  • Holiday leads the team with 1.6 steals per game. Brook Lopez collects 1.5 blocks a contest to pace Milwaukee.

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Bucks Last 10 Games

Bucks Last Five Games
Date Opponent Result Favored Played As Spread Total Bucks Moneyline Opponent Moneyline Game Type Covered Over/Under
5/27/2021 Heat 113-84 MIL Yes Away -21.5 200.5 Playoffs Yes Under
5/24/2021 Heat 132-98 MIL Yes Home -24.5 235.5 -10000 3000 Playoffs Yes Under
5/22/2021 Heat 109-107 MIL Yes Home -3.5 204.5 -275 225 Playoffs No Over
5/16/2021 Bulls 118-112 CHI No Away +3.5 219.5 150 -185 Regular Season No Over
5/15/2021 Heat 122-108 MIL Yes Home -15.5 242.5 -2000 1000 Regular Season No Under
Overall Record ATS Record O/U/P AVG Total AVG Pts Scored AVG Pts Allowed AVG Reb. Margin 3Pt %
8-2 2-8 7-3-0 240.8 124.5 116.3 +8.5 41.8%

Bucks Injuries

Bucks:

Donte DiVincenzo: Out Indefinitely (Foot),

Giannis Antetokounmpo: Day To Day (Groin),

Thanasis Antetokounmpo: Out (Knee)

Place a bet on the Milwaukee Bucks to win this game with BetMGM online sportsbook.

Heat Betting Data

  • Miami has a losing record against the spread, going 32-38 ATS (covering only 45.7% of the time).
  • The Heat have not fared well when playing as an underdog by 4.5 points or more, going 13-16 against the spread.
  • In most of Miami’s games this season, the teams have not hit the over (31 out of 70 games, 44.3%).

Heat Key Players

  • Jimmy Butler’s points (21.5 per game) and assists (7.1 per game) stat lines give him the top scoring and assists spots on the Heat’s leaderboards.
  • Bam Adebayo grabs 9.0 rebounds per game (he also scores 18.7 points per game and adds 5.4 assists per game) which puts him at the top of the Miami rebounding leaderboard.
  • Duncan Robinson is the most prolific from distance for the Heat, hitting 3.5 threes per game.
  • Butler (2.1 steals per game) is the steal leader for Miami while Adebayo (1.0 block per game) is the block leader.

Place a bet on the Miami Heat to win this game with BetMGM online sportsbook.

Heat Last 10 Games

Heat Last Five Games
Date Opponent Result Favored Played As Spread Total Heat Moneyline Opponent Moneyline Game Type Covered Over/Under
5/27/2021 Bucks 113-84 MIL No Home +21.5 200.5 Playoffs No Under
5/24/2021 Bucks 132-98 MIL No Away +24.5 235.5 3000 -10000 Playoffs No Under
5/22/2021 Bucks 109-107 MIL No Away +3.5 204.5 225 -275 Playoffs Yes Over
5/16/2021 Pistons 120-107 MIA Yes Away -17.5 216.5 -10000 2500 Regular Season No Over
5/15/2021 Bucks 122-108 MIL No Away +15.5 242.5 1000 -2000 Regular Season Yes Under
Overall Record ATS Record O/U/P AVG Total AVG Pts Scored AVG Pts Allowed AVG Reb. Margin 3Pt %
5-5 3-7 5-5-0 227.7 111.6 116.1 -3.5 36%

Heat Injuries

Heat:

Victor Oladipo: Out For Season (Knee)

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