Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat: NBA Playoffs Game 4 Betting Preview, Lines, Odds, Insights, and Trends for May 29, 2021

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BetMGM Sep 23, 2021, 11:04 PM

The Milwaukee Bucks (46-26, 3-0) are 4.5-point favorites heading into a decisive Game 4 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Miami Heat (40-32, 0-3) at American Airlines Arena on Saturday, starting at 1:30 PM ET on TNT. The Bucks hold a 3-0 lead in the series. The point total in the matchup is set at 222.5.

BetMGM NBA Betting Odds

Bucks vs Heat Betting Information
FavoriteSpreadFavorite Spread OddsUnderdog Spread OddsTotalOver Total OddsUnder Total Odds
Bucks-4.5-115-105222.5-110-110

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Point Total Insights

  • Milwaukee's games this year have resulted in a higher total score than Saturday's matchup over/under (222.5 points) in 55 out of 75 opportunities (73.3% of matchups).
  • In 37.3% of Miami's games this season (28 of 75), the total points scored was higher than Saturday's 222.5-point over/under.
  • Together, the two teams combine for 227.6 points per game, 5.1 points more than the total of 222.5 for this matchup.
  • This matchup's point total is 0.6 fewer points than the 221.9 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2020-21.
  • On average, the Bucks have seen a 233.6 over/under in their games this season, 11.1 more points than the over/under in this contest.
  • Heat's games have an over/under of 216 points this season, 6.5 points fewer than the total points bet for this matchup.

Bucks Betting Data

  • Milwaukee holds a losing record against the spread this season, going 29-46 ATS.
  • When they are at least 4.5-point favorites, the Bucks have a record ATS of 23-33.
  • Milwaukee has gone over the point total the majority of the time, in 46 of 75 games (61.3%).

Bucks Key Players

  • The Bucks points and rebounds leader is Giannis Antetokounmpo. He contributes 28.1 points per game and grabs 11.0 rebounds.
  • Milwaukee's assists leader is Jrue Holiday, who averages 6.1 per game.
  • The Bucks are led by Bryn Forbes from long distance. He knocks down 2.2 shots from deep per game.
  • Holiday leads the team with 1.6 steals per game. Brook Lopez collects 1.5 blocks a contest to pace Milwaukee.

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Bucks Last 10 Games

Bucks Last Five Games
DateOpponentResultFavoredPlayed AsSpreadTotalBucks MoneylineOpponent MoneylineGame TypeCoveredOver/Under
5/27/2021Heat113-84 MILYesAway-21.5200.5--PlayoffsYesUnder
5/24/2021Heat132-98 MILYesHome-24.5235.5-100003000PlayoffsYesUnder
5/22/2021Heat109-107 MILYesHome-3.5204.5-275225PlayoffsNoOver
5/16/2021Bulls118-112 CHINoAway+3.5219.5150-185Regular SeasonNoOver
5/15/2021Heat122-108 MILYesHome-15.5242.5-20001000Regular SeasonNoUnder
Overall RecordATS RecordO/U/PAVG TotalAVG Pts ScoredAVG Pts AllowedAVG Reb. Margin3Pt %
8-22-87-3-0240.8124.5116.3+8.541.8%

Bucks Injuries

Bucks:Donte DiVincenzo: Out Indefinitely (Foot),Giannis Antetokounmpo: Day To Day (Groin),Thanasis Antetokounmpo: Out (Knee)

Place a bet on the Milwaukee Bucks to win this game with BetMGM online sportsbook.

Heat Betting Data

  • Miami has a losing record against the spread, going 32-38 ATS (covering only 45.7% of the time).
  • The Heat have not fared well when playing as an underdog by 4.5 points or more, going 13-16 against the spread.
  • In most of Miami's games this season, the teams have not hit the over (31 out of 70 games, 44.3%).

Heat Key Players

  • Jimmy Butler's points (21.5 per game) and assists (7.1 per game) stat lines give him the top scoring and assists spots on the Heat's leaderboards.
  • Bam Adebayo grabs 9.0 rebounds per game (he also scores 18.7 points per game and adds 5.4 assists per game) which puts him at the top of the Miami rebounding leaderboard.
  • Duncan Robinson is the most prolific from distance for the Heat, hitting 3.5 threes per game.
  • Butler (2.1 steals per game) is the steal leader for Miami while Adebayo (1.0 block per game) is the block leader.

Place a bet on the Miami Heat to win this game with BetMGM online sportsbook.

Heat Last 10 Games

Heat Last Five Games
DateOpponentResultFavoredPlayed AsSpreadTotalHeat MoneylineOpponent MoneylineGame TypeCoveredOver/Under
5/27/2021Bucks113-84 MILNoHome+21.5200.5--PlayoffsNoUnder
5/24/2021Bucks132-98 MILNoAway+24.5235.53000-10000PlayoffsNoUnder
5/22/2021Bucks109-107 MILNoAway+3.5204.5225-275PlayoffsYesOver
5/16/2021Pistons120-107 MIAYesAway-17.5216.5-100002500Regular SeasonNoOver
5/15/2021Bucks122-108 MILNoAway+15.5242.51000-2000Regular SeasonYesUnder
Overall RecordATS RecordO/U/PAVG TotalAVG Pts ScoredAVG Pts AllowedAVG Reb. Margin3Pt %
5-53-75-5-0227.7111.6116.1-3.536%

Heat Injuries

Heat:Victor Oladipo: Out For Season (Knee)

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.