The Milwaukee Bucks (46-26, 0-0) are 5-point favorites heading into Game 1 of the against the Miami Heat (40-32, 0-0) at Fiserv Forum on Saturday, starting at 2:00 PM ET on ESPN. The series is tied . The point total in the matchup is set at 226.5.
BetMGM NBA Betting Odds
Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bucks | -5 | -110 | -110 | 226.5 | -110 | -110 |
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Point Total Insights
- Milwaukee's games this year have gone over the point total for Saturday's matchup point total (226.5 points) in 66.7% of opportunities (48 out of 72 matchups).
- In 34.7% of Miami's games this season (25 of 72), the total points scored was greater than Saturday's 226.5-point over/under.
- The Bucks average 120.1 points per game against the Heat's 108.1, totaling 1.7 points over the contest's over/under of 226.5.
- This matchup's point total is 4.3 fewer points than the 222.2 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2020-21.
- The Bucks have seen a 234.4 average over/under in their games this season, 7.9 points more than the over/under in this contest.
- Heat's games have an over/under of 216.1 points this season, 10.4 points fewer than the total points bet for this matchup.
Bucks Betting Data
- Milwaukee has a losing 27-45 record against the spread this season.
- The Bucks' record against the spread as at least a 5-point favorite is below .500 at 20-30.
- Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 62.5% of games (45 out of 72 matchups).
Bucks Key Players
- Giannis Antetokounmpo leads the Bucks in points and rebounds. He contributes 28.1 points per game while adding 11.0 rebounds.
- The squad is led in assists by Jrue Holiday's 6.1 per game.
- Bryn Forbes connects on 2.2 threes per game to lead the Bucks.
- Milwaukee's blocks leader is Brook Lopez, who records 1.5 per game. Holiday leads the team averaging 1.6 steals a game.
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Bucks Last 10 Games
Date | Opponent | Result | Favored | Played As | Spread | Total | Bucks Moneyline | Opponent Moneyline | Game Type | Covered | Over/Under |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5/16/2021 | Bulls | 118-112 CHI | No | Away | +3.5 | 219.5 | 150 | -185 | Regular Season | No | Over |
5/15/2021 | Heat | 122-108 MIL | Yes | Home | -15.5 | 242.5 | -2000 | 1000 | Regular Season | No | Under |
5/13/2021 | Pacers | 142-133 MIL | Yes | Away | -15.5 | 255.5 | -3000 | 1200 | Regular Season | No | Over |
5/11/2021 | Magic | 114-102 MIL | Yes | Home | -15.5 | 213.5 | -3000 | 1250 | Regular Season | No | Over |
5/10/2021 | Spurs | 146-125 SA | No | Away | +15.5 | 264.5 | 3300 | -10000 | Regular Season | No | Over |
Overall Record | ATS Record | O/U/P | AVG Total | AVG Pts Scored | AVG Pts Allowed | AVG Reb. Margin | 3Pt % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8-2 | 2-8 | 8-2-0 | 244.4 | 124 | 120.4 | +4.3 | 43.6% |
Bucks Injuries
Bucks: Khris Middleton: Day To Day (Ankle), Jeff Teague: Day To Day (Knee)
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Heat Betting Data
- Miami has failed to cover the spread in more than half of its games, going 31-36 ATS.
- When they are at least 5-point underdogs, the Heat have not fared well, going 11-15 against the spread.
- Miami has combined with its opponents to hit the over in 44.8% of matchups this season (30 out of 67 opportunities).
Heat Key Players
- Jimmy Butler averages 21.5 points and adds 7.1 assists per game, putting him at the top of the Heat's leaderboards for those statistics.
- Bam Adebayo grabs 9.0 rebounds per game (he also scores 18.7 points per game and adds 5.4 assists per game) which puts him at the top of the Miami rebounding leaderboard.
- Duncan Robinson hits 3.5 three-pointers per game, the most on the Heat.
- Miami's leader in steals is Butler (2.1 per game), and its leader in blocks is Adebayo (1.0 per game).
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Heat Last 10 Games
Date | Opponent | Result | Favored | Played As | Spread | Total | Heat Moneyline | Opponent Moneyline | Game Type | Covered | Over/Under |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5/16/2021 | Pistons | 120-107 MIA | Yes | Away | -17.5 | 216.5 | -10000 | 2500 | Regular Season | No | Over |
5/15/2021 | Bucks | 122-108 MIL | No | Away | +15.5 | 242.5 | 1000 | -2000 | Regular Season | Yes | Under |
5/13/2021 | 76ers | 106-94 MIA | Yes | Home | -20.5 | 205.5 | -10000 | 3300 | Regular Season | No | Under |
5/11/2021 | Celtics | 129-121 MIA | No | Away | +7.5 | 256.5 | - | - | Regular Season | Yes | Under |
5/9/2021 | Celtics | 130-124 MIA | Yes | Away | -8.5 | 240.5 | -5000 | 1350 | Regular Season | No | Over |
Overall Record | ATS Record | O/U/P | AVG Total | AVG Pts Scored | AVG Pts Allowed | AVG Reb. Margin | 3Pt % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8-2 | 5-5 | 5-5-0 | 232.4 | 118.8 | 113.6 | +2.5 | 38.6% |
Heat Injuries
Heat: Victor Oladipo: Out For Season (Knee), Omer Yurtseven: Day To Day (Not with team)