Buffalo vs Western Michigan Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 04, 2023, 11:27 AM
  • Buffalo (10-12) are -3.5 point favorites vs Western Michigan (6-16)
  • Total (Over/Under): 154.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN3

The Buffalo Bulls (10-12) visit University Arena to take on the Western Michigan Broncos (6-16) on Feb. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 2:30pm EST in Kalamazoo.

Buffalo is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Buffalo vs. Western Michigan Over/Under is 154.5 total points.

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Buffalo vs. Western Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Buffalo-3.5 -110O 154.5 -110-165
Western Michigan +3.5 -110U 154.5 -110+140

Buffalo vs Western Michigan Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Buffalo will win this game with 58.5% confidence.

Buffalo vs Western Michigan Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Buffalo will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Buffalo and Western Michigan, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on Western Michigan vs Buffalo and all games with BetMGM


  • Buffalo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 away games (+6.80 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.35 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Buffalo have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.60 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Western Michigan have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.55 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Western Michigan have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 28 games (+1.80 Units / 6% ROI)

Buffalo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Buffalo has gone 12-8 against the spread this college basketball season (+3.2 Units / 14.55% ROI).

  • 8-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.8 Units / -9.57% ROI
  • 10-10 when betting the Over for -1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 10-10 when betting the Under for -1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Western Michigan Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Western Michigan has gone 7-11 against the spread this college basketball season (-5.1 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 3-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.55 Units / -58.92% ROI
  • 10-9 when betting the Over for +0.15 Units / 0.72% ROI
  • 9-10 when betting the Under for -2 Units / -9.55% ROI

Buffalo Offensive Stats & Trends:

Buffalo has averaged 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (635 rebounds/52 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 9.4

Buffalo has 337 assists this season — most among Mid-American Teams

Buffalo has made 7.0 three-pointers per game this season — 3rd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 7.7

Buffalo has 19.9 free throw attempts per game this season — 3rd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Western Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends:

Western Michigan has 16.1 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Western Michigan has averaged 11.8 offensive rebounds per game (260 rebounds/22 games) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Western Michigan has 14.9 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 18.5

Western Michigan has an eFG% of 50% this season — 3rd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 52%

Buffalo Defensive Stats & Trends:

Buffalo has averaged 8.4 steals per game (185 steals/22 games) this season — 2nd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Buffalo has averaged 26.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,393 rebounds/52 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Buffalo has 185 steals this season — 2nd most among Mid-American Teams

Buffalo has averaged 26.3 defensive rebounds per game (578 rebounds/22 games) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.9

Western Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends:

Western Michigan has averaged 4.6 steals per game (101 steals/22 games) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Western Michigan has averaged 5.0 steals per game (266 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Western Michigan has averaged 24.5 defensive rebounds per game (540 rebounds/22 games) this season — 4th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.9

Western Michigan has averaged 23.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,233 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 24.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.