Cal State Fullerton vs Cal Poly Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 28, 2023, 1:14 PM
  • Cal State Fullerton (11-11) are -3.5 point favorites vs Cal Poly (7-14)
  • Total (Over/Under): 125.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Cal State Fullerton Titans (11-11) visit Robert A. Mott Gymnasium to take on the Cal Poly Mustangs (7-14) on Jan. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in San Luis Obispo.

Cal State Fullerton is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).

The Cal State Fullerton vs. Cal Poly Over/Under is 125.5 total points.

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Cal State Fullerton vs. Cal Poly Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Cal State Fullerton-3.5 -115O 125.5 -110-185
Cal Poly Slo +3.5 -105U 125.5 -110+150

Cal State Fullerton vs Cal Poly Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Cal State Fullerton will win this game with 58.1% confidence.

Cal State Fullerton vs Cal Poly Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Cal Poly will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Cal State Fullerton and Cal Poly, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Cal State Fullerton have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 24 games (+16.70 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Cal State Fullerton have covered the Spread in 31 of their last 48 games (+13.35 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Cal State Fullerton has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+11.85 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Cal State Fullerton has hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 43 games (+8.35 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Cal State Fullerton has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.40 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Cal Poly has hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 42 games (+12.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Cal Poly have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 24 games (+5.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Cal Poly has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games at home (+2.75 Units / 16% ROI)

Cal State Fullerton Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Cal State Fullerton has gone 14-5 against the spread this college basketball season (+8.5 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 10-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.75 Units / 2.58% ROI
  • 9-11 when betting the Over for -3.1 Units / -14.09% ROI
  • 11-9 when betting the Under for +1.1 Units / 5% ROI

Cal Poly Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Cal Poly has gone 11-8 against the spread this college basketball season (+2.2 Units / 10.5% ROI).

  • 5-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.35 Units / -36.96% ROI
  • 5-14 when betting the Over for -10.4 Units / -49.76% ROI
  • 14-5 when betting the Under for +8.5 Units / 40.67% ROI

Cal State Fullerton Offensive Stats & Trends:

Cal State Fullerton is shooting 42% (520/1,238) this season — tied for 24th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Cal State Fullerton is shooting 37% from three (175/468) this season — tied for 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Cal State Fullerton has an eFG% of 49% this season — tied for 42nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Cal State Fullerton has a 36% free throw rate (451 free throw attempts/1,238 field goal attempts) this season — 21st highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 31%

Cal Poly Offensive Stats & Trends:

Cal Poly has averaged 61.9 points per game (1,299 points/21 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8

Cal Poly has averaged 10.3 assists per game (216 assists/21 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

Cal Poly has made 5.7 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Cal Poly has 15.4 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 32nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.0

Cal State Fullerton Defensive Stats & Trends:

Cal State Fullerton has averaged 22.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,232 rebounds/54 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 20th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Cal State Fullerton has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (142/470) this season — 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Cal Poly Defensive Stats & Trends:

Cal Poly has allowed 65.6 points per game (1,378 points/21 games) this season — tied for 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 69.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.