- The Cubs are -130 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty
- Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon
- Watch the game on MARQ
The St. Louis Cardinals (+105) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-130) on Tuesday, May 9, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago.
The Cubs are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Cardinals vs Cubs Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cardinals are 12-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 20-15 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -190 | O 7.5 +100 | +105 |
| Cubs | -1.5 +155 | U 7.5 -120 | -130 |
Cardinals vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Cardinals vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 13 away games (+8.70 Units / 38% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.25 Units / 44% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 46% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+21.65 Units / 86% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 24 games (+18.05 Units / 50% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 23 of his last 29 games (+17.40 Units / 53% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 24 games (+15.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 33 games (+11.55 Units / 24% ROI)
Cubs vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -800 |
| Andrew Knizner | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Cubs vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Andrew Knizner | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
Cubs vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Andrew Knizner | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Cubs vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jack Flaherty | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +115 |
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 14-22 against the Run Line (-11.2 Units / -24.86% ROI).
- 12-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.7 Units / -39.76% ROI
- 17-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.95 Units / -7.4% ROI
- 18-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.6 Units / -1.52% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 20-15 against the Run Line (+5.55 Units / 13.2% ROI).
- 17-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -4.59% ROI
- 14-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.1 Units / -20.98% ROI
- 20-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.55 Units / 11.82% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jack Flaherty has walked 11 of 73 right-handed batters (15%) this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has allowed three-ball counts to 33% of batters they faced (51/154 PA’s) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 20% — second Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .364 (24-for-66) against Jack Flaherty this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — third Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has thrown his fastball for a strike just 54% (137/256) of the time this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 67% — first Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jameson Taillon has walked 10 of 442 right-handed batters (2%) since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 45% (28/62) against Jameson Taillon in late innings since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed an OBP of just .233 (172 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .317 — 95th Percentile.
48% of Jameson Taillon’s fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone since last season — tied for 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 36% — 92nd Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Cardinals are 19-5 (.792) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 0-20 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .112.
The Cardinals are just 9-3 (.750) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .888.
The Cardinals are just 6-11 (.353) on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .482.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Cubs are just 38-21 (.644) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .808.
The Cubs are just 24-36 (.400) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .545.
The Cubs are just 47-54 (.465) at home since last season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.
The Cubs are just 8-75 (.096) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .124.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging .848 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .582.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .342 (1,654 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Cardinals hitters have 284 extra-base hits out of 671 total hits (42%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .802 (1,654 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting .207 with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .171.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .356 (608 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .611 (765 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .514.
Cubs hitters are slugging .326 with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 9 of 246 batters (4%) over the past seven days (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 38% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.4 MPH (821 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Cubs vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Adrian Sampson (Cubs): Right Meniscus, D15
- Brandon Hughes (Cubs): Knee, D15
- Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Yan Gomes (Cubs): Concussion, D7
- Nicholas Hoerner (Cubs): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Hand, Day-to-Day
- Nolan Arenado (Cardinals): Neck, Day-to-Day
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
- Wilking RodrÃguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Back, D10
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