- The Mets are -150 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Dakota Hudson, 1.80 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: David Peterson, 0.00 ERA
- Watch the game on SNY
The St. Louis Cardinals (+125) visit Clover Park to take on the New York Mets (-150) on Sunday, March 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Port St Lucie.
The Mets are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Cardinals vs Mets Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Cardinals are 10-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 6-9 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -145 | O 8.5 -115 | +125 |
| Mets | -1.5 +120 | U 8.5 -105 | -150 |
Cardinals vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Sunday‘s Spring Training matchup with 64.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Cardinals vs Mets and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nolan Gorman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Tyler O’Neill has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Tyler O’Neill has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Travis Jankowski has hit the Hits Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.50 Units / 110% ROI)
- Travis Jankowski has hit the Singles Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 70% ROI)
- Travis Jankowski has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Dominic Smith has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Starling Marte has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 71% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+8.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 77 games (+7.75 Units / 6% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 96 games (+7.25 Units / 7% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 85 of their last 159 games (+4.45 Units / 2% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 52 of their last 84 games at home (+23.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 53 of their last 78 games at home (+23.27 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 72 of their last 127 games (+15.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 88 of their last 165 games (+9.75 Units / 5% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 53 games (+6.35 Units / 10% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 10-6 against the Run Line (+5.65 Units / 31.04% ROI).
- 10-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.3 Units / 15.98% ROI
- 5-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.85 Units / -33.43% ROI
- 10-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.5 Units / 25.42% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 6-9 against the Run Line (-3.45 Units / -18.21% ROI).
- 5-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.25 Units / -41.15% ROI
- 9-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.65 Units / 16.21% ROI
- 6-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.9 Units / -23.35% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a chase percentage of just 31% (105/343) against Dakota Hudson with two-strikes last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 0 Percentile.
Left-handed hitters had a chase rate of just 19% (113/592) against Dakota Hudson last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 28% — first Percentile.
Dakota Hudson had a strike rate of just 62% (348/562) when he’s behind in the count last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 69% — first Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 15% (16/107) versus Dakota Hudson with runners in scoring position last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted .500 against Carlos Carrasco (44-for-88) when he was behind in the count last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .336 — 0 Percentile.
Carlos Carrasco allowed a slugging percentage of .955 (84 Total Bases / 88 ABs) when he was behind in the count last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .582 — 0 Percentile.
Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .621 (82 Total Bases / 132 ABs) on elevated fastballs since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .376 — 0 Percentile.
Carlos Carrasco allowed a slugging percentage of .690 (58 Total Bases / 84 ABs) on inside fastballs last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .420 — first Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Cardinals are 16-4 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 47-11 (.810) when totaling 10 or more hits last season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Cardinals are 15-9 (.625) when tied entering the 7th inning last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 68-4 (.944) when leading entering the 7th inning last season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .881.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Mets are 89-3 (.967) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Mets are 44-11 (.800) when scoring in the first inning last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .664.
The Mets are just 10-28 (.263) when their opponents score in the first inning last season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Mets are 36-9 (.800) when hitting 2 or more home runs last season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have 260 extra-base hits out of 599 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .469 against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Cardinals hitters have 287 extra-base hits out of 671 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .803 (2,611 PA’s) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters had an OBP of .336 (4,294 PA’s) against RHP last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Mets hitters struck out just 382 times in 1,923 PA’s (20%) against LHP last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Mets batted .259 last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Mets hitters had an OBP of .333 (6,217 PA’s) last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 48% against Cardinals pitchers last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 20% last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 250 of 2,866 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 31% of their games at home last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Mets pitchers had a strikeout rate of 28% with runners in scoring position last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Mets pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mets vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- New York Mets – No Injuries Reported
- St. Louis Cardinals – No Injuries Reported
Bet now on Cardinals vs Mets and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
