- The Cardinals are -115 favorites vs the Nationals
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Sidney Thomas, 9.00 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Josiah Gray, 0.00 ERA
The St. Louis Cardinals (-115) visit The Ballpark of the Palm Beaches to take on the Washington Nationals (-105) on Saturday, March 4, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EST in West Palm Beach.
The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Cardinals vs Nationals Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Cardinals are 4-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 3-2 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Cardinals | -1.5 +135 | O 11.5 -105 | -115 |
Nationals | +1.5 -160 | U 11.5 -115 | -105 |
Cardinals vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Saturday‘s Spring Training matchup with 65.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nolan Gorman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Runs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+1.25 Units / 9% ROI)
- Juan Yepez has hit the Singles Over in 2 of his last 3 away games (+1.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 2 of his last 3 away games (+1.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- Juan Yepez has hit the RBIs Over in 1 of his last 3 away games (+0.05 Units / 2% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Dee Strange-Gordon has hit the Hits Over in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Yadiel Hernandez has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+3.10 Units / 103% ROI)
- Dee Strange-Gordon has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the Runs Over in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+2.80 Units / 93% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 38 of their last 70 away games (+10.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+8.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 77 games (+7.75 Units / 6% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 96 games (+7.25 Units / 7% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 95 games (+7.45 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 89% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 69 games (+4.30 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 48 games (+1.75 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 43 games (+0.25 Units / 1% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 4-2 against the Run Line (+2.85 Units / 39.86% ROI).
- 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 12.65% ROI
- 2-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.35 Units / -20% ROI
- 3-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.85 Units / 13.18% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 3-2 against the Run Line (+0.85 Units / 13.6% ROI).
- 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 21% ROI
- 1-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.4 Units / -62.39% ROI
- 4-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.85 Units / 51.35% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Connor Thomas is making his MLB debut today.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Josiah Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of .559 (199 Total Bases / 356 ABs) vs left-handed batters since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .386 — first Percentile.
Josiah Gray has walked 62 of 423 left-handed batters (15%) since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Josiah Gray allowed 38 home runs last season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Josiah Gray allowed a slugging percentage of .701 (47 Total Bases / 67 ABs) on fastballs away last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .370 — 0 Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Cardinals are 16-4 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 47-11 (.810) when totaling 10 or more hits last season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Cardinals are 49-9 (.845) when hitting 2 or more home runs last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The Cardinals are 71-4 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Nationals are just 17-94 (.153) when scoring 4 or fewer runs last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
The Nationals are just 55-90 (.379) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Nationals are just 26-55 (.321) at home last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Nationals are just 12-81 (.129) when allowing 5 or more runs last season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging .469 against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .803 (2,611 PA’s) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Cardinals hitters have 260 extra-base hits out of 599 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters had an OPS of .808 (1,366 PA’s) against LHP last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 38% at home since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Nationals hitters had 63 extra-base hits out of 242 total hits (just 26%) on the first pitch of at-bats last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Nationals hitters slugged just .488 on the first pitch of at-bats last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.
Nationals hitters are slugging .233 on pitches out of the zone since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 48% against Cardinals pitchers last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Nationals have won just 22% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Nationals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 73% of their games at home last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Nationals vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Washington Nationals – No Injuries Reported
- St. Louis Cardinals – No Injuries Reported
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