- The Cardinals are -115 favorites vs the Nationals
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Sidney Thomas, 9.00 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Josiah Gray, 0.00 ERA
The St. Louis Cardinals (-115) visit The Ballpark of the Palm Beaches to take on the Washington Nationals (-105) on Saturday, March 4, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EST in West Palm Beach.
The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Cardinals vs Nationals Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Cardinals are 4-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 3-2 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +135 | O 11.5 -105 | -115 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -160 | U 11.5 -115 | -105 |
Cardinals vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Saturday‘s Spring Training matchup with 65.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Cardinals vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nolan Gorman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Runs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+1.25 Units / 9% ROI)
- Juan Yepez has hit the Singles Over in 2 of his last 3 away games (+1.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 2 of his last 3 away games (+1.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- Juan Yepez has hit the RBIs Over in 1 of his last 3 away games (+0.05 Units / 2% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Dee Strange-Gordon has hit the Hits Over in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Yadiel Hernandez has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+3.10 Units / 103% ROI)
- Dee Strange-Gordon has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the Runs Over in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+2.80 Units / 93% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 38 of their last 70 away games (+10.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+8.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 77 games (+7.75 Units / 6% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 96 games (+7.25 Units / 7% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 95 games (+7.45 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 89% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 69 games (+4.30 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 48 games (+1.75 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 43 games (+0.25 Units / 1% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 4-2 against the Run Line (+2.85 Units / 39.86% ROI).
- 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 12.65% ROI
- 2-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.35 Units / -20% ROI
- 3-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.85 Units / 13.18% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 3-2 against the Run Line (+0.85 Units / 13.6% ROI).
- 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 21% ROI
- 1-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.4 Units / -62.39% ROI
- 4-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.85 Units / 51.35% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Connor Thomas is making his MLB debut today.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Josiah Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of .559 (199 Total Bases / 356 ABs) vs left-handed batters since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .386 — first Percentile.
Josiah Gray has walked 62 of 423 left-handed batters (15%) since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Josiah Gray allowed 38 home runs last season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Josiah Gray allowed a slugging percentage of .701 (47 Total Bases / 67 ABs) on fastballs away last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .370 — 0 Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Cardinals are 16-4 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 47-11 (.810) when totaling 10 or more hits last season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Cardinals are 49-9 (.845) when hitting 2 or more home runs last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The Cardinals are 71-4 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Nationals are just 17-94 (.153) when scoring 4 or fewer runs last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
The Nationals are just 55-90 (.379) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Nationals are just 26-55 (.321) at home last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Nationals are just 12-81 (.129) when allowing 5 or more runs last season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging .469 against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .803 (2,611 PA’s) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Cardinals hitters have 260 extra-base hits out of 599 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters had an OPS of .808 (1,366 PA’s) against LHP last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 38% at home since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Nationals hitters had 63 extra-base hits out of 242 total hits (just 26%) on the first pitch of at-bats last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Nationals hitters slugged just .488 on the first pitch of at-bats last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.
Nationals hitters are slugging .233 on pitches out of the zone since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 48% against Cardinals pitchers last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Nationals have won just 22% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Nationals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 73% of their games at home last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Nationals vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Washington Nationals – No Injuries Reported
- St. Louis Cardinals – No Injuries Reported
Bet now on Cardinals vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
