- The Cardinals are -120 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Corey Kluber
- Watch the game on ESPN
The St. Louis Cardinals (-120) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (+100) on Sunday, May 14, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston.
The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Cardinals vs Red Sox Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cardinals are 15-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 22-18 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +125 | O 10 -105 | -120 |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -155 | U 10 -115 | +100 |
Cardinals vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 64.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.35 Units / 65% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 14 away games (+7.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+6.90 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 29 games (+14.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 35 games (+12.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- Masataka Yoshida has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+12.45 Units / 49% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the RBIs Over in 16 of his last 27 games (+12.25 Units / 45% ROI)
- Masataka Yoshida has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.05 Units / 45% ROI)
Red Sox vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Andrew Knizner | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Red Sox vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Alex Verdugo | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Andrew Knizner | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
Red Sox vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Andrew Knizner | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Red Sox vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Miles Mikolas | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 +105 |
| Corey Kluber | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 36 games (+7.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.85 Units / 53% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 away games (+4.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 42% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 40 games (+14.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+11.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 27 games (+10.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+7.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 34 games (+5.95 Units / 13% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 17-23 against the Run Line (-9.2 Units / -17.88% ROI).
- 15-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.75 Units / -32.99% ROI
- 20-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -2.49% ROI
- 19-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.95 Units / -6.74% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 22-18 against the Run Line (+2.35 Units / 4.62% ROI).
- 22-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.7 Units / 12.54% ROI
- 26-13 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.8 Units / 27.06% ROI
- 13-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.1 Units / -36.1% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (46/138) against Miles Mikolas this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 35% (29/83) against Miles Mikolas this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .284 (27-for-95) against Miles Mikolas with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .168 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .324 (57-for-176) against Miles Mikolas this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 — first Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corey Kluber has an average fastball velocity of just 88.1 MPH this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — first Percentile.
Corey Kluber has allowed at least one HR in each of his last nine games dating back to October 2nd, 2022 — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Opponents are hitting .344 (55-for-160) against Corey Kluber with runners in scoring position since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .248 — third Percentile.
Corey Kluber has walked 13 of 450 right-handed batters (3%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 99th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Cardinals are just 10-3 (.769) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Cardinals are just 10-3 (.769) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .891.
The Cardinals are 20-5 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 10-4 (.714) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .852.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Red Sox are 11-14 (.440) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .205.
The Red Sox are just 2-14 (.125) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
The Red Sox are just 2-3 (.400) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Red Sox are just 4-11 (.267) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging .455 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .792 (1,737 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 41% in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Cardinals are just 10-3 (.769) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .371 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .479 (94 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .324.
The Red Sox are batting .295 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .444 (142 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 25 of 353 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Red Sox have have still managed to win 56% of the time this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Red Sox pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 100 MPH 1,288 times since last season — 4th most in MLB.
The longest HR allowed by the Red Sox pitchers this season traveled 469.0 feet — — 5th longest in MLB; League Avg: 453.1
Red Sox vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zachery Kelly (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Adam Duvall (Red Sox): Wrist, D60
- Kutter Crawford (Red Sox): Knee, D15
- Garrett Whitlock (Red Sox): Elbow, D15
- Trevor Story (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Gregory Mills (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Yu-Cheng Chang (Red Sox): Hand, D10
- Raúl Mondesi (Red Sox): Knee, D60
- Christian Arroyo (Red Sox): Hamstring, D10
- Joely RodrÃguez (Red Sox): Oblique, D15
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
- Wilking RodrÃguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Back, D10
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