Cardinals vs Reds Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 30

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 30, 2022, 9:47 AM
  • The Cardinals (75-54) are -200 favorites vs the Reds (50-77)
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Dakota Hudson (7-6), 4.22 ERA
  • Reds starting pitcher: Justin Dunn (1-2), 5.12 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSOH

The St. Louis Cardinals (-200) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+170) on Tuesday, August 30, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.

The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+105).

The Cardinals vs Reds Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cardinals are 72-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 58-67 ATS.

Cardinals vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals-2.5 +105O 10 -110-200
Reds +2.5 -130U 10 -110+170

Cardinals vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 54.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Reds vs Cardinals and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in his last 13 games (+14.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Singles Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+14.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Brendan Donovan has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 18 away games (+11.95 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 27 away games (+11.25 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the RBIs Over in 18 of his last 27 games (+10.85 Units / 38% ROI)

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.90 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Jonathan India has hit the Hits Over in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 34 games (+11.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Donovan Solano has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 34 games (+10.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Joey Votto has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+10.10 Units / 110% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games (+6.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 56 of their last 106 games (+5.20 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 56 of their last 99 games (+13.20 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 37 of their last 68 games (+6.40 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+4.95 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+3.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+2.60 Units / 15% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 71-55 against the Run Line (+14.6 Units / 9.29% ROI).

  • 72-54 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.35 Units / 6.18% ROI
  • 60-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.75 Units / -5.6% ROI
  • 61-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.5 Units / -3.28% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 58-67 against the Run Line (-14.8 Units / -9.63% ROI).

  • 48-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.45 Units / -12.32% ROI
  • 63-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.6 Units / -2.61% ROI
  • 60-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.45 Units / -6.87% ROI

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 15% (25/163) against Dakota Hudson on non-fastballs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 31% (114/366) against Dakota Hudson on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 40% (392/982) against Dakota Hudson this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: 47% — first Percentile.

Dakota Hudson has a strike rate of just 59% (1,160/1,964) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.

Justin Dunn: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Justin Dunn has a strike rate of just 57% (102/179) — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.

Justin Dunn has allowed at least one HR in each of his last four games dating back to August 8th — Josiah Gray has the longest active streak at 10.

Justin Dunn has walked 6 of 44 batters (14%) — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 32% (6/19) against Justin Dunn — 8th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — 14th Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Cardinals are 40-8 (.833) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .710.

The Cardinals are 28-3 (.903) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .798.

The Cardinals are 7-42 (.143) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .115.

The Cardinals are 43-9 (.827) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .721.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Reds are just 38-7 (.844) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Reds are just 3-63 (.045) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.

The Reds are just 8-25 (.242) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.

The Reds are just 3-65 (.044) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .086.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .803 (2,375 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .727.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .469 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .949 (503 PA’s) on the road this month (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .691.

Cardinals hitters have 237 extra-base hits out of 551 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Reds hitters have an OPS of just .636 (2,378 PA’s) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.

Reds hitters are slugging just .404 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .448.

Reds hitters are slugging just .344 on the road this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .390.

Reds hitters are slugging just .501 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .553.

Cardinals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 120 double plays in 954 opportunities (13%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 68 double plays in 981 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Reds pitchers have walked 1,297 of 13,220 batters (10%) since the start of 2020 — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .312 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

Reds vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
  • Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
  • Christian Greene (Reds): Shoulder, D15
  • Reinaldo Almora Jr. (Reds): Shoulder, D10
  • Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
  • Matthew Reynolds (Reds): Hip, D10
  • Timothy James Zeuch (Reds): Back, D15
  • Robert Dugger (Reds): Shoulder, D15
  • Jeffrey Hoffman (Reds): Forearm, D15
  • Aramis Garcia (Reds): Finger, D60
  • Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Clavicle, D60
  • Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Douglas Ashcraft (Reds): Biceps, D15
  • Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Joseph Votto (Reds): Rotator Cuff, D60
  • Michael Moustakas (Reds): Calf, D10
  • Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Steven Matz (Cardinals): Knee, D15
  • Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D60

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Reds vs Cardinals and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.