- The Cardinals (75-54) are -200 favorites vs the Reds (50-77)
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Dakota Hudson (7-6), 4.22 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Justin Dunn (1-2), 5.12 ERA
- Watch the game on BSOH
The St. Louis Cardinals (-200) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+170) on Tuesday, August 30, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+105).
The Cardinals vs Reds Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cardinals are 72-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 58-67 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -2.5 +105 | O 10 -110 | -200 |
| Reds | +2.5 -130 | U 10 -110 | +170 |
Cardinals vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 54.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in his last 13 games (+14.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Singles Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+14.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 18 away games (+11.95 Units / 55% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 27 away games (+11.25 Units / 36% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the RBIs Over in 18 of his last 27 games (+10.85 Units / 38% ROI)
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.90 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Over in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 34 games (+11.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 34 games (+10.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- Joey Votto has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+10.10 Units / 110% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games (+6.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 56 of their last 106 games (+5.20 Units / 4% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Reds: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 56 of their last 99 games (+13.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 37 of their last 68 games (+6.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+4.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+3.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+2.60 Units / 15% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 71-55 against the Run Line (+14.6 Units / 9.29% ROI).
- 72-54 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.35 Units / 6.18% ROI
- 60-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.75 Units / -5.6% ROI
- 61-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.5 Units / -3.28% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 58-67 against the Run Line (-14.8 Units / -9.63% ROI).
- 48-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.45 Units / -12.32% ROI
- 63-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.6 Units / -2.61% ROI
- 60-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.45 Units / -6.87% ROI
Dakota Hudson: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 15% (25/163) against Dakota Hudson on non-fastballs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 31% (114/366) against Dakota Hudson on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 40% (392/982) against Dakota Hudson this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: 47% — first Percentile.
Dakota Hudson has a strike rate of just 59% (1,160/1,964) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.
Justin Dunn: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Dunn has a strike rate of just 57% (102/179) — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.
Justin Dunn has allowed at least one HR in each of his last four games dating back to August 8th — Josiah Gray has the longest active streak at 10.
Justin Dunn has walked 6 of 44 batters (14%) — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 32% (6/19) against Justin Dunn — 8th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — 14th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Cardinals are 40-8 (.833) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
The Cardinals are 28-3 (.903) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .798.
The Cardinals are 7-42 (.143) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .115.
The Cardinals are 43-9 (.827) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .721.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Reds are just 38-7 (.844) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Reds are just 3-63 (.045) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.
The Reds are just 8-25 (.242) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Reds are just 3-65 (.044) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .086.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .803 (2,375 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .469 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .949 (503 PA’s) on the road this month (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .691.
Cardinals hitters have 237 extra-base hits out of 551 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have an OPS of just .636 (2,378 PA’s) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Reds hitters are slugging just .404 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .448.
Reds hitters are slugging just .344 on the road this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .390.
Reds hitters are slugging just .501 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .553.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Cardinals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 120 double plays in 954 opportunities (13%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 68 double plays in 981 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Reds pitchers have walked 1,297 of 13,220 batters (10%) since the start of 2020 — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .312 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Reds vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
- Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
- Christian Greene (Reds): Shoulder, D15
- Reinaldo Almora Jr. (Reds): Shoulder, D10
- Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
- Matthew Reynolds (Reds): Hip, D10
- Timothy James Zeuch (Reds): Back, D15
- Robert Dugger (Reds): Shoulder, D15
- Jeffrey Hoffman (Reds): Forearm, D15
- Aramis Garcia (Reds): Finger, D60
- Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Clavicle, D60
- Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Douglas Ashcraft (Reds): Biceps, D15
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D60
- Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Votto (Reds): Rotator Cuff, D60
- Michael Moustakas (Reds): Calf, D10
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Knee, D15
- Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D60
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