- The Cardinals are -160 favorites vs the Reds
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Steven Matz
- Reds starting pitcher: Edward Lively
- Watch the game on BSOH
The St. Louis Cardinals (-160) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+135) on Wednesday, May 24, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Cardinals vs Reds Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cardinals are 22-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 26-22 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 -105 | O 10.5 +100 | -160 |
| Reds | +1.5 -115 | U 10.5 -120 | +135 |
Cardinals vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 73.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+11.55 Units / 42% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Over in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+8.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+8.40 Units / 49% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 31 of his last 47 games (+20.20 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 32 of his last 47 games (+15.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- Kevin Newman has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+9.75 Units / 66% ROI)
- Wil Myers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 63% ROI)
- Kevin Newman has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 50% ROI)
Reds vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -650 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Reds vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Nolan Arenado | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Reds vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Reds vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Steven Matz | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -130 |
| Lively | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +105 |
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+6.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+6.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+5.35 Units / 22% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 26 games at home (+12.55 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 23 games at home (+4.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 25 games at home (+3.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 25 games at home (+2.70 Units / 10% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 23-27 against the Run Line (-7.5 Units / -11.66% ROI).
- 22-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.9 Units / -22.39% ROI
- 26-22 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.7 Units / 3.09% ROI
- 22-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.55 Units / -11.92% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 26-22 against the Run Line (+1.9 Units / 3.17% ROI).
- 20-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.7 Units / -9.06% ROI
- 26-22 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.25 Units / 4.31% ROI
- 22-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.75 Units / -12.64% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Steven Matz has allowed a slugging percentage of .491 (54 Total Bases / 110 ABs) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .267 — first Percentile.
Steven Matz has allowed an OPS of .830 (121 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .505 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .273 (30-for-110) against Steven Matz with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .169 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .303 (57-for-188) against Steven Matz this season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — fourth Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The last hit on a Ben Lively slider was September 27th, 2018. Hitters are 0 for their last 15 in ABs ending on his slider. — Jose Hernandez has the longest active streak at 23.
Opponents batted just .105 (2-for-19) against Ben Lively — tied for 5th best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .230 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents had a chase percentage of just 17% (8/46) against Ben Lively — 6th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 29% — sixth Percentile.
Ben Lively has allowed a slugging percentage of just .250 (10 Total Bases / 40 ABs) over the last 30 days (3 games) — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .427 — 96th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Cardinals are 21-5 (.808) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 17-3 (.850) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Cardinals are 45-6 (.882) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .801.
The Cardinals are 19-13 (.594) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Reds are just 21-23 (.477) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .700.
The Reds are 7-19 (.269) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Reds are just 17-9 (.654) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .801.
The Reds are just 17-44 (.279) after a road loss since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging .465 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .808 (1,836 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .468 against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Cardinals hitters have 303 extra-base hits out of 715 total hits (42%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 32% against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
The Reds have won just 17% of games in which they have scored first on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Reds hitters are slugging just .209 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .268.
Reds hitters have an OPS of just .669 (5,711 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .708.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the 2021 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .311 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .311 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .349 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Reds pitchers have walked 787 of 8,092 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
- Derek Law (Reds): Elbow, D15
- Fernando Cruz (Reds): Shoulder, D15
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Casey Legumina (Reds): Ankle, D15
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Calf, D15
- Henry Ramos (Reds): Hip, D10
- Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Votto (Reds): Bicep/Shoulder, D60
- Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Ankle, D10
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Wilking RodrÃguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Back, D10
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