- The – are favorites vs the –
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas
- Reds starting pitcher: Luke Weaver
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The St. Louis Cardinals () visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds () on Thursday, May 25, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Cardinals vs Reds Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Cardinals are 22-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 27-22 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | O | ||
| Reds | U |
Cardinals vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 73.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Over in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+9.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.95 Units / 98% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 23 away games (+8.80 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 32 of his last 48 games (+21.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 48 games (+16.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- Kevin Newman has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+10.75 Units / 67% ROI)
- Kevin Newman has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 41 games (+10.00 Units / 12% ROI)
Reds vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
Reds vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Reds vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Reds vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luke Weaver | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -135 |
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+9.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+5.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 23 away games (+4.10 Units / 16% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 27 games at home (+13.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+5.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 26 games at home (+4.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 26 games at home (+4.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 33 games (+3.75 Units / 10% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 23-28 against the Run Line (-8.55 Units / -13.08% ROI).
- 22-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.45 Units / -24.16% ROI
- 27-22 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.7 Units / 4.81% ROI
- 22-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.75 Units / -13.8% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 27-22 against the Run Line (+2.9 Units / 4.75% ROI).
- 21-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.35 Units / -6.33% ROI
- 27-22 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.25 Units / 6.11% ROI
- 22-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.95 Units / -14.56% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Miles Mikolas has a strikeout rate of just 7% (2 SO in 28 PAs) with two-strikes — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 41% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 15% (36/247) against Miles Mikolas this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 14% (26/184) against Miles Mikolas this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .299 (67-for-224) against Miles Mikolas this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — fifth Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luke Weaver has allowed an OPS of .839 (62 PA’s) with two-strikes over the last 30 days (5 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .497 — first Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .359 (23-for-64) against Luke Weaver over the last 30 days (5 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — first Percentile.
Luke Weaver has allowed a slugging percentage of .500 (29 Total Bases / 58 ABs) with two-strikes over the last 30 days (5 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .266 — first Percentile.
Luke Weaver has allowed an OPS of 1.085 (68 PA’s) against right-handed batters over the last 30 days (5 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .692 — first Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Cardinals are just 17-3 (.850) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Cardinals are 21-5 (.808) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 16-3 (.842) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .902.
The Cardinals are 19-13 (.594) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Reds are 7-19 (.269) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .140.
The Reds are just 18-9 (.667) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The Reds are just 23-34 (.404) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .650.
The Reds are just 14-43 (.246) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .350.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging .465 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .808 (1,836 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Cardinals hitters have 303 extra-base hits out of 715 total hits (42%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .342 (1,836 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 32% against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
The Reds have won just 17% of games in which they have scored first on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
The Reds are batting .452 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .269.
Reds hitters are slugging just .211 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2021 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .347 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .311 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .310 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .312 against Reds pitchers with the shift this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Reds vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
- Derek Law (Reds): Elbow, D15
- Fernando Cruz (Reds): Shoulder, D15
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Casey Legumina (Reds): Ankle, D15
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Calf, D15
- Henry Ramos (Reds): Hip, D10
- Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Votto (Reds): Bicep/Shoulder, D60
- Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Ankle, D10
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Wilking RodrÃguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Back, D10
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