Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Odds, Lines, Picks & Predictions – NBA, Mar. 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 11, 2022, 11:28 AM
  • The Heat (38-21) are -7.5 favorites vs. the Cavaliers (35-24)
  • Total (Over/Under): 210.5 points
  • Friday, March 11, 2022 at 8:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSSUN & BSOH

The Cleveland Cavaliers visit FTX Arena to take on the Miami Heat on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Miami.

The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

So far this NBA season, the Cavaliers are 36-25 against the spread, while the Heat are 39-27 against the spread.

The Cavaliers vs Heat Over/Under is 210.5 total points for the game.


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Cavaliers vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cleveland Cavaliers+7.5 -110O 210.5 -110240
Miami Heat -7.5 -110U 210.5 -110-300

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone:

  • 36-25 against the Spread (+8.45 Units / 11.82% ROI)
  • 38-27 against the Moneyline (+18.75 Units / 16.94% ROI)
  • 25-38 against the Over for game total points (-16.8 Units / -23.5% ROI)
  • 38-25 against the Under for game total points (+10.5 Units / 14.69% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have covered the Moneyline in 38 of their last 63 games (+20.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have covered the 1Q Spread in 25 of their last 34 away games (+17.15 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have covered the 1H Moneyline in 38 of their last 64 games (+14.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have covered the 4Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 63 games (+11.67 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have covered the Spread in 36 of their last 63 games (+10.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 63 games (-18.80 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 4Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 63 games (-17.69 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 2H Moneyline in 7 of their last 23 away games (-12.34 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 35 games (-11.73 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 20 games (-10.57 Units / -45% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone:

  • 39-27 against the Spread (+9.2 Units / 12.47% ROI)
  • 44-23 against the Moneyline (+19.35 Units / 11.86% ROI)
  • 39-28 against the Over for game total points (+8.2 Units / 11.13% ROI)
  • 28-39 against the Under for game total points (-14.9 Units / -20.22% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the Moneyline in 37 of their last 55 games (+20.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 46 games (+16.50 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 41 games (+14.16 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Game Total Over in 30 of their last 45 games (+13.72 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 62 games (+11.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 2Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 62 games (-21.92 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 49 games (-18.17 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 62 games (-17.80 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 62 games (-17.15 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 4Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 50 games (-13.05 Units / -24% ROI)

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Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Cavaliers were 7-19 (.269) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .553

The Cavaliers were 5-23 (.179) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .413

The Cavaliers were 6-36 (.143) when allowing 110 or more points last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .321

The Cavaliers are 19-6 (.760) when they win the turnover margin this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .561

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Heat are 27-10 (.730) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .555

The Heat are 19-7 (.731) when they win the turnover margin this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .561

The Heat are 23-8 (.742) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .535

The Heat are 12-4 (.750) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .524

Injury Report: Heat vs. Cavaliers - Friday's Game, Mar. 11

  • Markieff Morris (Heat): Morris has not played in a few months an no timetable has been announced for his return.
  • Jimmy Butler (Heat): The Heat have listed Butler as QUESTIONABLE for Friday's game (Mar. 11) against the Cavaliers.
  • Caleb Martin (Heat): The Heat have listed Martin as QUESTIONABLE for Friday's game (Mar. 11) against the Cavaliers.
  • Jarrett Allen (Cavaliers): Allen has a fractured finger and is out indefinitely, according to Shams Charania of The Athletic.
  • Collin Sexton (Cavaliers): Sexton underwent surgery on a torn meniscus in his left knee and is expected to miss the rest of the season, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
  • Caris LeVert (Cavaliers): The Cavaliers have listed LeVert as OUT for Friday's game (Mar. 11) against the Heat.

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers averaged 102.5 points per game (7,379 points/72 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

The Cavaliers averaged 51.8 points per game (3,726 points/72 games) in the first half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5

The Cavaliers made 9.9 three-pointers per game last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.7

The Cavaliers averaged 50.3 points per game (3,568 points/71 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.8

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat averaged 8.0 offensive rebounds per game (579 rebounds/72 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 9.8

The Heat are shooting 37% from three (605/1,617) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Heat have made 605 three-pointers this season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Heat attempted 2,606 threes last season — 10th most among NBA teams

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers averaged 31.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,299 rebounds/72 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.4

The Cavaliers have averaged 32.9 defensive rebounds per game (3,880 rebounds/118 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.3

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (254 blocks/61 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (217 blocks/61 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Heat have averaged 3.7 blocks per game (436 blocks/117 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 3.3 blocks per game (150 blocks/45 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Heat averaged 4.0 blocks per game (286 blocks/72 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9


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