Cleveland Cavaliers vs Houston Rockets Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Jan. 26

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 26, 2023, 11:07 AM
  • The Cavaliers are -8.5 favorites vs. the Rockets
  • Total (Over/Under): 221.5 points
  • Thursday, January 26, 2023 at 8:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on SportsNet SW & BSOH

The Cleveland Cavaliers visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Houston.

The Cavaliers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Cavaliers vs Rockets Over/Under is 221.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Cavaliers are 23-22 against the spread, while the Rockets are 17-28 against the spread.


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Cavaliers vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cleveland Cavaliers-8.5 -110O 221.5 -110-350
Houston Rockets +8.5 -110U 221.5 -110+260

Rockets vs Cavaliers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Thursday‘s game with 68.5% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Cavaliers will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 54.4% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Cavaliers and Rockets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 47 games (+12.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 48 games (+11.89 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 17 away games (+8.50 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have covered the 4Q Spread in 40 of their last 69 games (+8.04 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.80 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 48 of their last 80 games (+13.45 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 23 games at home (+13.10 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 1H Spread in 26 of their last 41 games (+10.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Team Total Under in 48 of their last 82 games (+9.15 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.50 Units / 19% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 23-22 (-1.2 Units / -2.22% ROI).

  • 29-20 against the Moneyline (-2.45 Units / -2.49% ROI)
  • 23-26 against the Over for game total points (-5.6 Units / -10.39% ROI)
  • 26-23 against the Under for game total points (+0.7 Units / 1.3% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 17-28 (-13.8 Units / -26.14% ROI).

  • 11-37 against the Moneyline (-12.45 Units / -25.25% ROI)
  • 24-24 against the Over for game total points (-2.4 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 24-24 against the Under for game total points (-2.4 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 82 games (-28.45 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 30 of their last 82 games (-28.25 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 82 games (-24.06 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 80 games (-23.74 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 82 games (-21.60 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 36 of their last 83 games (-26.50 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 41 away games (-26.35 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 75 games (-24.71 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 85 games (-21.25 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 31 of their last 77 games (-19.96 Units / -23% ROI)

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Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Cavaliers are 1-19 (.050) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .157

The Cavaliers are 41-20 (.672) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .576

The Cavaliers are 36-35 (.507) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .541

The Cavaliers are 12-22 (.353) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Rockets are 18-70 (.202) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .541

The Rockets are 17-80 (.175) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

The Rockets are 14-52 (.212) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Rockets are 7-75 (.085) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .225

Injury Report: Rockets vs. CavaliersThursday‘s Game, Jan. 26

  • Kevin Porter Jr. (Rockets): Porter Jr. will be re-evaluated in one week, according to Jonathan Feigen of the Houston Chronicle.
  • Donovan Mitchell (Cavaliers): Mitchell is questionable for Thursday’s (Jan.26) game against Houston.
  • Dylan Windler (Cavaliers): Windler hasn’t played this season and he remains out indefinitely.

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers averaged 102.5 points per game (7,379 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

The Cavaliers shot 34% from three (714/2,125) in the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Cavaliers have averaged 1.39 points per shot (2,605 points/1,873 shots) in the second half this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Cavaliers have averaged 1.32 points per shot (5,361 points/4,047 shots) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (2,402 assists/ 1,596 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,441 assists/ 989 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (2,275 assists/ 1,488 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,019 assists/ 740 TOs) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (201 blocks/48 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (435 blocks/102 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Cavaliers have averaged 6.5 steals per game (312 steals/48 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (863 blocks/202 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (4,201 rebounds/128 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.7

The Rockets have averaged 33.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,541 rebounds/46 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

The Rockets have blocked 486 shots on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th most among NBA teams

The Rockets have averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (6,595 rebounds/200 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.