- The Heat are -3.5 favorites vs. the Celtics
- Total (Over/Under): 217.5 points
- Tuesday, January 24, 2023 at 7:30pm EST
- Watch the game on TNT & NBCS-BOS
The Boston Celtics visit Miami-Dade Arena to take on the Miami Heat on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Miami.
The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).
The Celtics vs Heat Over/Under is 217.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Celtics are 25-22 against the spread, while the Heat are 19-27 against the spread.
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Celtics vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Boston Celtics | +3.5 -115 | O 217.5 -110 | +125 |
Miami Heat | -3.5 -105 | U 217.5 -110 | -150 |
Heat vs Celtics Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Heat will win Tuesday‘s game with 53.4% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Celtics and Heat, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Celtics Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 53 games (+21.41 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 56 of their last 90 games (+17.14 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 away games (+11.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have covered the Spread in 56 of their last 100 games (+10.90 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 50 of their last 86 games (+10.40 Units / 11% ROI)
Heat Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 49 games (+14.96 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+10.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 30 of their last 49 games (+10.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 63 games (+9.72 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 55 games (+8.95 Units / 15% ROI)
Boston Celtics Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 25-22 (+0.8 Units / 1.52% ROI).
- 35-13 against the Moneyline (-8.2 Units / -5% ROI)
- 23-25 against the Over for game total points (-4.5 Units / -8.52% ROI)
- 25-23 against the Under for game total points (-0.3 Units / -0.57% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 19-27 (-10.7 Units / -20.27% ROI).
- 26-22 against the Moneyline (-12.65 Units / -13.88% ROI)
- 21-26 against the Over for game total points (-7.6 Units / -14.39% ROI)
- 26-21 against the Under for game total points (+2.9 Units / 5.49% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Heat, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 51 games (-21.61 Units / -37% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 47 of their last 100 games (-20.07 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 44 of their last 98 games (-18.35 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 63 games (-17.32 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 40 of their last 94 games (-17.30 Units / -17% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Celtics, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 88 games (-31.37 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 90 games (-29.63 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 43 of their last 83 games (-21.15 Units / -15% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 50 of their last 93 games (-19.47 Units / -13% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 22 games (-18.75 Units / -35% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Boston Celtics
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Player Injuries for Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat
- Boston Celtics Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Boston Celtics Defensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Boston Celtics are 16-4 (.800) when they win the turnover margin this season — third-best among NBA teams. The Orlando Magic have averaged 14.6 turnovers per game (671 turnovers/46 games) this season — tied for sixth-highest among NBA teams.
The Boston Celtics are 42-17 (.712) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-best among NBA teams. The Orlando Magic have averaged 14.1 turnovers per game (1,803 turnovers/128 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-highest among NBA teams.
The Celtics are 15-3 (.833) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .530
The Celtics are 33-3 (.917) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .729
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics
The Heat are 42-20 (.677) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547
The Heat are 30-15 (.667) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .494
The Heat are 19-15 (.559) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .507
The Heat are 32-13 (.711) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .577
Injury Report: Heat vs. Celtics – Tuesday‘s Game, Jan. 24
- Nikola Jovic (Heat): Jovic is sidelined for 4 weeks with a lower-back stress reaction and will then be re-evaluated.
- Omer Yurtseven (Heat): The Heat announced that Yurtseven underwent surgery and will be re-evaluated at a later date.
- Duncan Robinson (Heat): Robinson will have surgery and will be re-evaluated in four weeks.
- Danilo Gallinari (Celtics): The Celtics announced that Gallinari tore his ACL in his left knee. There is no timetable for his return.
- Malcolm Brogdon (Celtics): Brogdon did not play in Monday’s (Jan. 23) game against Orlando.
- Robert Williams III (Celtics): Williams III did not play in Monday’s (Jan. 23) game against Orlando.
- Marcus Smart (Celtics): Smart did not play in Monday’s (Jan. 23) game against Orlando.
Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends
The Celtics have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (677 assists/ 297 TOs) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9
The Celtics have made 15.5 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3
The Celtics shot 38% from three (972/2,594) in the 2020-21 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%
The Celtics have averaged 118.5 points per game (5,571 points/47 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.1
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 51.6 points per game (2,479 points/48 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55.9
The Heat have averaged 108.6 points per game (5,215 points/48 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.2
The Heat are shooting 31% from three (256/816) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%
The Heat have averaged 42.7 points in the paint per game (2,776 points/65 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.7
Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends
The Celtics have averaged 6.5 steals per game (306 steals/47 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
The Celtics have averaged 34.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,640 rebounds/47 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0
The Celtics have averaged 5.7 blocks per game (732 blocks/129 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Celtics have averaged 7.0 steals per game (897 steals/129 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.0 blocks per game (195 blocks/65 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Heat have averaged 3.4 blocks per game (695 blocks/202 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Heat have averaged 3.0 blocks per game (144 blocks/48 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Heat have averaged 3.1 blocks per game (409 blocks/130 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
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