Celtics vs Heat Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, May 21

• The Celtics are -3.5 favorites vs. the Heat
• Total (Over/Under): 214.5 points
• Sunday, May 21, 2023 at 8:30pm EDT
• Watch the game on TNT

The Boston Celtics visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in Miami.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA playoff matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Celtics vs Heat Over/Under is 214.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Celtics are 53-43 against the spread, while the Heat are 42-53 against the spread.

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Celtics vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Heat vs Celtics Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Sunday‘s game with 66.5% confidence.

Heat vs Celtics Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 58.2% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Celtics and Heat, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.

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Celtics Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 66 of their last 100 games (+28.21 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 33 of their last 44 games (+12.30 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Boston Celtics have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 58 of their last 100 games (+11.30 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Boston Celtics have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 42 games (+9.50 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 42 of their last 74 games (+9.25 Units / 11% ROI)

Heat Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+22.55 Units / 64% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have covered the 4Q Spread in 61 of their last 99 games (+19.52 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 43 games at home (+16.75 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 2H Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 games (+14.32 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.10 Units / 34% ROI)

Boston Celtics Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 53-43 (+5.7 Units / 5.35% ROI).

• 65-32 against the Moneyline (-43.6 Units / -13.16% ROI)
• 52-44 against the Over for game total points (+3.6 Units / 3.37% ROI)
• 44-52 against the Under for game total points (-13.2 Units / -12.37% ROI)

Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 42-53 (-16.3 Units / -15.27% ROI).

• 55-42 against the Moneyline (+3.95 Units / 2.19% ROI)
• 50-46 against the Over for game total points (-0.6 Units / -0.56% ROI)
• 46-50 against the Under for game total points (-9 Units / -8.43% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:

• The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 98 games (-22.80 Units / -21% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 90 games (-21.87 Units / -21% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 44 of their last 100 games (-18.80 Units / -17% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only covered the 1H Spread in 42 of their last 98 games (-18.75 Units / -17% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 78 games (-18.10 Units / -17% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Celtics:

• The Boston Celtics have only hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 71 games (-53.70 Units / -21% ROI)
• The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 100 games (-40.57 Units / -36% ROI)
• The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 50 of their last 96 games (-29.61 Units / -17% ROI)
• The Boston Celtics have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 100 games (-24.57 Units / -22% ROI)
• The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 48 of their last 100 games (-22.82 Units / -17% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Boston Celtics
• Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
• Player Injuries for Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat
• Boston Celtics Offensive stats
• Miami Heat Offensive stats
• Boston Celtics Defensive stats
• Miami Heat Defensive stats

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

Injury Report: Heat vs. Celtics – Sunday‘s Game, May 21

• Victor Oladipo (Heat): Oladipo suffered a torn patellar tendon in his left knee, according to Shams Charania of The Athetic.
• Tyler Herro (Heat): Herro is expected to miss about 4-6 weeks, according to Chris Haynes of Turner Sports.

• Danilo Gallinari (Celtics): Gallinari is still rehabbing his torn ACL with hopes of returning in the playoffs according to the Boston Herald.

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

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