Champions League Predictions, Odds: 2024-25 Winner

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Manchester City's Erling Haaland celebrates after scoring his side's third goal during an English Premier League soccer match between Manchester City and Manchester United at the Etihad Stadium in Manchester, England, Sunday, March 3, 2024.
(Dave Thompson/AP Photo)
Nick Hennion @nickhennion Jul 17, 2024, 5:50 PM
  • Manchester City is a +275 favorite to win the UEFA Champions League.
  • Defending champions Real Madrid, who added Kylian Mbappe on a free transfer, are +300 to win their second straight title.
  • I predict Arsenal will win the Champions League in the 2024-25 season.

Here’s a look at the current set of Champions League odds for the 2024-25 outright winner. 

Manchester City, winners of this competition in the 2022 season, are the favorites to win this upcoming season. Currently, manager Pep Guardiola’s side is +275.

Defending champions Real Madrid, winners of two of the last three Champions League, are +300 to claim their second consecutive crown.

Only two other sides — Bayern Munich and Arsenal — are +1000 or shorter to win Europe’s top continental competition.

Champions League Odds, Outright Winner

Champions League TeamWinner Odds
Manchester City+275
Real Madrid+300
Bayern Munich+800
FC Barcelona+1200
Paris Saint-Germain+1400
Bayer Leverkusen+1600
Inter Milan+2500
Atletico Madrid+2500
Borussia Dortmund+3300
AC Milan+4000
Juventus FC+4000
Aston Villa+5000
VfB Stuttgart+6600
RB Leipzig+6600
Bologna FC+10000
AS Monaco+10000
Sporting Lisbon+10000
Stade Brest+15000
PSV Eindhoven+15000
Club Brugge+20000
Sturm Graz+25000
Shakhtar Donetsk+25000

Champions League Predictions, Outright Winner

I predict that Arsenal (+900) are the best bet to win the UEFA Champions League this season. 

History tells us that experienced teams are the ones who go on to win the subsequent Champions League. 

Dating back to the 2004-05 Champions League, all but four teams reached the quarterfinals the year prior before winning the next year. All but one reached the knockout stage. 

That essentially reduces the odds list to the 10 teams: the eight that made the quarterfinals last year, Inter Milan and RB Leipzig. 

Of those 10 teams, Arsenal gives me the most confidence for the best price. 

Other top teams — Bayern Munich, Barcelona, and Borussia Dortmund — underwent managerial changes. Liverpool (+1600) didn’t play in last year’s competition and changed managers.

While I’m concerned with Arsenal’s ability to play from behind, their defensive structure remains outstanding. 

Across Europe’s Big 5 leagues, Arsenal posted the best expected goals against tally in domestic play, per 

Manager Mikel Arteta’s side also posted the third-best expected goal differential per 90 minutes in those five competitions. When you adjust for strength of schedule, it’s the best xGDiff per 90. 

They accomplished that with versatile defender Jurien Timber out for the entire season. Additionally, it appears Arsenal could further upgrade on defense via Bologna defender Ricardo Calafiori. 

Another strong defensive record could help mitigate some of Arsenal’s problems when trailing. 

Add in their strength against Man City last year — four of a possible six points in two league matches — and I’ll take this team to win next year’s Champions League. 

UEFA Champions League Final Winners & Results

YearUEFA Champions League WinnerUEFA Champions League Final Result
2024Real MadridReal Madrid 2, Borussia Dortmund 0
2023Manchester CityManchester City 1, Inter Milan 0
2022Real MadridReal Madrid 1, Liverpool 0
2021ChelseaChelsea 1, Man City 0
2020Bayern MunichBayern Munich 1, Paris Saint-Germain 0
2019LiverpoolLiverpool 2, Tottenham Hotspur 0
2018Real MadridReal Madrid 3, Liverpool 1
2017Real MadridReal Madrid 4, Juventus 1
2016Real MadridReal Madrid 1, Atletico Madrid 1 [Real Won on Penalty Kicks]
2015BarcelonaBarcelona 3, Juventus 1
2014Real MadridReal Madrid 4, Atletico Madrid 1 [Extra Time Required]
2013Bayern MunichBayern Munich 2, Borussia Dortmund 1
2012ChelseaChelsea 1, Bayern Munich 1 [Chelsea Won on Penalty Kicks]
2011BarcelonaBarcelona 3, Manchester United 1
2010Inter MilanInter Milan 2, Bayern Munich 0

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

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Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.