Chargers vs Rams Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL Preseason

min read
(AP Photo/Peter Joneleit)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 10, 2023, 3:40 PM
  • The Rams are -3 point favorites vs the Chargers
  • Total (Over/Under): 33.5 points
  • Watch the game on Broadcast Channel

The Los Angeles Chargers visit SoFi Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Rams on Aug. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT in Inglewood.

The Rams are betting favorites in this preseason matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).

The Chargers vs. Rams Over/Under is 33.5 total points for the game.

Bet now on Rams vs Chargers & all NFL games with BetMGM

Chargers vs. Rams Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Chargers+3 -11033.5 -110+125
Rams -3 -11033.5 -110-150

Chargers vs. Rams Prediction

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Rams will win this preseason game with 53.9% confidence.

Chargers vs Rams Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Rams will cover the spread with 55.3% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Chargers and Rams, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on Rams vs Chargers and all NFL games with BetMGM


Best Chargers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Chargers players this preseason game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Gerald Everett has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.35 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Justin Herbert has hit the TD Passes Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Josh Palmer has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Justin Herbert has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.55 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Justin Herbert has hit the Passing Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.70 Units / 51% ROI)

Best Rams Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Rams players for this preseason matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Matthew Stafford has hit the Passing Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.50 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Ben Skowronek has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 games at home (+4.05 Units / 89% ROI)
  • Matthew Stafford has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Tyler Higbee has hit the Receptions Over in his last 3 games (+3.35 Units / 100% ROI)
  • Cam Akers has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the 2Q Spread in 15 of their last 18 games (+11.45 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games (+10.60 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+8.85 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.55 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have scored last in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.15 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.45 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have covered the 2H Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.90 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.85 Units / 43% ROI)

Chargers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread last NFL season, the Chargers went 11-6 (+4.4 Units / 22.39% ROI).

  • Chargers are 10-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.8 Units / -2.78% ROI
  • Chargers are 7-9 when betting the Over for -2.9 Units / -14.65% ROI
  • Chargers are 9-7 when betting the Under for +1.3 Units / ROI

Rams Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread last NFL season, the Rams went 6-10 (-5.05 Units / -27.08% ROI).

  • Rams are 6-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.55 Units / -16.73% ROI
  • Rams are 6-10 when betting the Over for -5 Units / -26.74% ROI
  • Rams are 10-6 when betting the Under for +3.4 Units / 18.18% ROI

Los Angeles Chargers: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Rams

The Chargers were 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 3 explosive runs in the 2022 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .567.

The Chargers are undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 30% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .705.

The Chargers were 5-2 (.714) when making 7 or more explosive plays in the 2022 season — 9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .579.

The Chargers were 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes in the 2022 season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .544.

Los Angeles Rams: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers

The Rams were winless (0-8) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .436.

The Rams were 1-7 (.125) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .496.

The Rams were winless (0-8) vs top 10 offenses in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .312.

The Rams are 2-12 (.143) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .437.

Additional Matchup Notes for Los Angeles Chargers vs. Los Angeles Rams

The Rams averaged 5.5 yards per carry in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — third-best in NFL. The Chargers allowed 5.6 yards per carry in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — fifth-worst in NFL.

Rams RBs averaged 11.4 yards after the catch in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — second-best in NFL. The Chargers allowed 12.2 yards after catch per reception to RBs in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL.

The Rams threw for 620 passing yards in 4 games (just 155.0 YPG) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — second-worst in NFL. The Chargers allowed just 159.5 passing yards per game in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — fifth-best in NFL.

The Chargers were successful on 47.7% of plays they have run in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — fifth-best in NFL. Rams allowed their opponents to be successful on 48.8% of plays in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — third-worst in NFL.

The Chargers ran successful plays on 52.5% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — fourth-best in NFL. Rams allowed successful plays on 54.8% of pass attempts on their own side of the field in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — fourth-worst in NFL.

Chargers WRs had 260 receptions in 17 games (15.3 per game) last season — fourth-best in NFL. The Rams allowed 13.6 receptions per game to WRs last season — fourth-worst in NFL.

Los Angeles Chargers Offense: Important Stats

The Chargers ran the ball on 34% of plays (386 carries/1,152 plays) in the 2022 season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Chargers are averaging 10.2 drives per TD in the 3rd quarter since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.3.

The Chargers have thrown the ball 61% of the time (1,385 Pass Attempts/2,281 plays) since the 2021 season — 2nd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 54%.

The Chargers threw the ball 59% of the time (508 Pass Attempts/866 plays) on Early Downs in the 2022 season — 2nd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 49%.

Los Angeles Rams Offense: Important Stats

The Rams ran successful plays on 7% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Rams ran successful plays on 0% of rush attempts in close and late situations in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Rams ran successful plays on 12% of plays in the 4th quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

The Rams ran successful plays on 6% of plays in close and late situations in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

Los Angeles Chargers Defense: Important Stats

The Chargers defense allowed an average of 2.3 yards after contact per carry (447 carries) in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.7.

The Chargers defense allowed first downs on 12% of pass attempts on 3rd down in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 37%.

The Chargers defense has allowed an average of 2.4 yards after contact per carry (823 carries) to RBs since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.9.

The Chargers defense has allowed an average of 2.2 yards after contact per carry (946 carries) since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.8.

Los Angeles Rams Defense: Important Stats

24% of the plays ran against the Rams were in the red zone in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

The Rams defense allowed successful plays on 62% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Rams defense allowed successful plays on 55% of pass attempts in the 2nd half in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Rams defense allowed 9 rushing TDs on 80 carries (8.9 Carries Per TD) in the red zone in the 2022 season — 2nd-best Carries Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.4.

Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Rams vs Chargers and all NFL games with BetMGM

Bet on NFL Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NFL betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.