Chattanooga vs East Tennessee State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 28, 2023, 11:55 AM
  • Total (Over/Under): 142.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Chattanooga Mocs (11-11) visit Freedom Hall Civic Center to take on the East Tennessee State Buccaneers (8-14) on Jan. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Johnson City.

East Tennessee State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Chattanooga vs. East Tennessee State Over/Under is 142.5 total points.

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Chattanooga vs. East Tennessee State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Chattanooga+2.5 -105142.5 -105+115
East Tennessee State -2.5 -115142.5 -115-140

Chattanooga vs East Tennessee State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts East Tennessee State will win this game with 56.7% confidence.

Chattanooga vs East Tennessee State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Chattanooga will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Chattanooga and East Tennessee State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Chattanooga has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 23 games (+7.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Chattanooga has hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 47 games (+7.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Chattanooga has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+5.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Chattanooga have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 23 away games (+4.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Chattanooga have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 13 away games (+1.50 Units / 10% ROI)
  • East Tennessee State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 46 games (+11.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • East Tennessee State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 14 games at home (+9.80 Units / 64% ROI)
  • East Tennessee State has hit the Game Total Under in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)

Chattanooga Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Chattanooga has gone 7-11 against the spread this college basketball season (-5.05 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 7-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.15 Units / -24.32% ROI
  • 11-8 when betting the Over for +2.2 Units / 10.53% ROI
  • 8-11 when betting the Under for -4.1 Units / -19.62% ROI

East Tennessee State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

East Tennessee State has gone 8-12 against the spread this college basketball season (-5.2 Units / -23.64% ROI).

  • 6-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.65 Units / -31.05% ROI
  • 9-10 when betting the Over for -2 Units / -9.09% ROI
  • 10-9 when betting the Under for +0.1 Units / 0.45% ROI

Chattanooga Offensive Stats & Trends:

Chattanooga has made 11.5 three-pointers per game this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Chattanooga has an eFG% of 56% this season — 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Chattanooga has averaged 15.6 assists per game (344 assists/22 games) this season — tied for 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

Chattanooga has averaged 1.35 points per shot (1,720 points/1,276 shots) this season — tied for 18th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

East Tennessee State Offensive Stats & Trends:

East Tennessee State is shooting 65% from the free throw line (242/372) this season — 19th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

East Tennessee State has made 6.0 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 32nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

East Tennessee State has 15.0 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 11th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 17.7

East Tennessee State has a 25% free throw rate (812 free throw attempts/3,191 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 30%

Chattanooga Defensive Stats & Trends:

Chattanooga has forced 11.3 turnovers per game (643 turnovers/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 35th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.7

Chattanooga has forced 10.3 turnovers per game (226 turnovers/22 games) this season — tied for 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.9

Chattanooga has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (421/1,326) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

East Tennessee State Defensive Stats & Trends:

East Tennessee State has averaged 23.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,256 rebounds/54 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 35th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

East Tennessee State has allowed 8.6 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 14th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

East Tennessee State has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (171/554) this season — tied for 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.