- The Saints are -3 point favorites vs the Chiefs
- Total (Over/Under): 37.5 points
- Watch the game on
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The Kansas City Chiefs visit Caesars Superdome to take on the New Orleans Saints on Aug. 13. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in New Orleans.
The Saints are betting favorites in this preseason matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).
The Chiefs vs. Saints Over/Under is 37.5 total points for the game.
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Chiefs vs. Saints Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Chiefs | +3 -110 | 37.5 -110 | +130 |
| Saints | -3 -110 | 37.5 -110 | -155 |
Chiefs vs. Saints Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Chiefs will win this preseason game with 51.0% confidence.
Chiefs vs Saints Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Chiefs will cover the spread with 53.4% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Chiefs and Saints, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Chiefs Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Chiefs players this preseason game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jerick McKinnon has hit the Longest Rush Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Noah Gray has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.65 Units / 53% ROI)
- Patrick Mahomes has hit the Passing Yards Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- Isiah Pacheco has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Isiah Pacheco has hit the Carries Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 73% ROI)
Best Saints Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Saints players for this preseason matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jarvis Landry has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.15 Units / 60% ROI)
- Alvin Kamara has hit the Longest Rush Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 60% ROI)
- Jarvis Landry has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.20 Units / 48% ROI)
- Juwan Johnson has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 13 games (+4.90 Units / 37% ROI)
- Juwan Johnson has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.55 Units / 44% ROI)
Chiefs Best Bets:
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 17 games (+12.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.75 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.20 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 54% ROI)
Saints Best Bets:
- The New Orleans Saints have scored first in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 61% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.25 Units / 65% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 55% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 46% ROI)
Chiefs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last NFL season, the Chiefs went 9-11 (-3.2 Units / -14.48% ROI).
- Chiefs are 17-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.35 Units / 15.8% ROI
- Chiefs are 9-11 when betting the Over for -3.1 Units / -14.09% ROI
- Chiefs are 11-9 when betting the Under for +1.1 Units / ROI
Saints Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last NFL season, the Saints went 7-10 (-3.95 Units / -21.41% ROI).
- Saints are 7-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.65 Units / -11.75% ROI
- Saints are 6-11 when betting the Over for -6.1 Units / -32.62% ROI
- Saints are 11-6 when betting the Under for +4.4 Units / 23.53% ROI
Kansas City Chiefs: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Saints
The Chiefs were 7-1 (.875) when not throwing an interception last season — fifth-best in NFL. The Saints intercepted 7 passes last season — third-fewest in NFL.
The Chiefs were 7-2 (.778) when rushing less than 25 times in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .321.
The Chiefs were undefeated (6-0) vs bottom 10 pass defenses in the 2022 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .494.
The Chiefs are undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .550.
New Orleans Saints: Keys to the Game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs
The Saints are winless (0-8) when throwing 2 or more interceptions since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .233.
The Saints were 2-5 (.286) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — tied for 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .496.
The Saints were 2-6 (.250) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns in the 2022 season — 7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .432.
The Saints were 4-2 (.667) vs top 10 run offenses in the 2022 season — tied for 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .429.
Additional Matchup Notes for Kansas City Chiefs vs. New Orleans Saints
Saints TEs had 10 receiving touchdowns last season — tied for fourth-most in NFL. The Chiefs allowed 33 receiving touchdowns last season — most in NFL.
The Saints threw the ball just 35.3% of the time in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — lowest in NFL. The Chiefs allowed just 4.9 yards per dropback in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — second-best in NFL.
Saints WRs averaged just 3.5 yards after the catch last season — third-worst in NFL. The Chiefs allowed just 3.7 yards after catch per reception to WRs last season — tied for third-best in NFL.
The Chiefs ran successful plays on 50.0% of rush attempts in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for fourth-best in NFL. Saints allowed successful plays on 48.1% of rush attempts in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — fourth-worst in NFL.
Chiefs WRs averaged 5.7 yards after the catch last season — third-best in NFL. The Saints allowed 4.8 yards after catch per reception to WRs last season — fourth-worst in NFL.
The Chiefs were 7-1 (.875) when not throwing an interception last season — fifth-best in NFL. The Saints intercepted 7 passes last season — third-fewest in NFL.
Kansas City Chiefs Offense: Important Stats
The Chiefs converted first downs on 36 of 80 plays (45%) on 3rd and long in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 24%.
The Chiefs had a third down conversion rate of 47% on third and 10+ yards to go in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 19%.
The Chiefs have a third down conversion rate of 52% since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
The Chiefs threw for 41 TDs in the 2022 season — most in NFL.
New Orleans Saints Offense: Important Stats
The Saints have run 8% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
The Saints converted first downs on just 4 of 40 plays (10%) on plays up the middle in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 29%.
The Saints were sacked on 24% of pass attempts (5/21) in the 4th quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 6%.
The Saints threw the ball 35% of the time (83 Pass Attempts/235 plays) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 51%.
Kansas City Chiefs Defense: Important Stats
The Chiefs defense allowed 27 touchdown receptions in the red zone in the 2022 season — most in NFL.
The Chiefs defense has allowed successful plays on 53% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Chiefs defense allowed 27 TD passes in the red zone in the 2022 season — most in NFL.
The Chiefs defense has averaged a sack every 42.2 pass attempts (169 Pass Attempts/4 Sacks) in the red zone since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 17.0.
New Orleans Saints Defense: Important Stats
The Saints defense allowed a passer rating of just 52.1 (104 Pass Attempts) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 85.6.
The Saints defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 18% when blitzing in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 37%.
The Saints defense allowed first downs on 58% of rush attempts on 3rd and long in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 25%.
The Saints defense allowed an average of 2.2 yards after contact per carry (480 carries) in the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.7.
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