Cincinnati vs Houston Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 11

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Houston head coach Kelvin Sampson during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Alabama, Saturday, Dec. 10, 2022, in Houston.
(AP Photo/Kevin M. Cox)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 11, 2023, 10:51 AM
  • Houston (30-2) is a -9.5 point favorite vs Cincinnati (21-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 135.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN2

The Cincinnati Bearcats (21-11) visit Dickies Arena to take on the Houston Cougars (30-2) on Mar. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Fort Worth.

Houston is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-115).

The Cincinnati vs. Houston Over/Under is 135.5 total points.

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Cincinnati vs. Houston Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Cincinnati+9.5 -105O 135.5 -110+400
Houston -9.5 -115U 135.5 -110-550

Cincinnati vs Houston Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Houston will win this game with 70.6% confidence.

Cincinnati vs Houston Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Houston will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Cincinnati and Houston, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Cincinnati has hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 32 games (+16.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Cincinnati have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 26 games (+11.30 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Cincinnati has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 24 of their last 36 games (+10.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Cincinnati have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.15 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Cincinnati has hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 43 games (+4.15 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the 1H Moneyline in 43 of their last 49 games (+27.45 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Houston have covered the 1H Spread in 24 of their last 37 games (+9.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Houston have covered the Spread in 27 of their last 44 games (+8.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 43 games (+7.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.00 Units / 14% ROI)

Cincinnati Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Cincinnati has gone 21-10 against the spread this college basketball season (+10 Units / 29.28% ROI).

  • 18-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.9 Units / 0.71% ROI
  • 16-14 when betting the Over for +0.55 Units / 1.61% ROI
  • 14-16 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -10.57% ROI

Houston Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Houston has gone 17-15 against the spread this college basketball season (+0.5 Units / 1.42% ROI).

  • 16-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.65 Units / -5% ROI
  • 15-17 when betting the Over for -3.65 Units / -10.38% ROI
  • 17-15 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 1.42% ROI

Cincinnati Offensive Stats & Trends:

Cincinnati has attempted 1,458 shots this season — most among AAC Teams

Cincinnati has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (362 assists/ 245 TOs) this season — tied for best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Cincinnati has a 25% free throw rate (358 free throw attempts/1,458 field goal attempts) this season — 12th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 31%

Cincinnati has made 207 three-pointers this season — most among AAC Teams

Houston Offensive Stats & Trends:

Houston has averaged 9.7 turnovers per game (224 turnovers/23 games) this season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Houston has averaged 13.1 offensive rebounds per game (302 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.5

Houston has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (332 assists/ 224 TOs) this season — tied for best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Houston has made 1,703 field goals since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among AAC Teams

Cincinnati Defensive Stats & Trends:

Cincinnati has averaged 26.3 defensive rebounds per game (605 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 33rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Cincinnati has averaged 6.0 steals per game (139 steals/23 games) this season — 4th lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Cincinnati has averaged 6.2 steals per game (348 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Cincinnati has allowed 5.7 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Houston Defensive Stats & Trends:

Houston has averaged 8.1 steals per game (187 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 28th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Houston has averaged 8.1 steals per game (187 steals/23 games) this season — 3rd best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Houston has averaged 8.1 steals per game (492 steals/61 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 25th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Houston has 492 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among AAC Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.