- Air Force is a -4.5 point favorite vs. San Jose St
- Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
- Watch the game on Fox Sports 1
The Air Force Falcons (3-0) visit CEFCU Stadium to take on the San Jose State Spartans (1-3) on Sep. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EDT in San Jose.
Air Force is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Air Force vs. San Jose St Over/Under is 46.5 total points.
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Air Force vs. San Jose St Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 4
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Air Force | -4.5 -110 | 46.5 -110 | -200 |
| San Jose St | +4.5 -110 | 46.5 -110 | +165 |
Air Force vs San Jose St Prediction for Week 4
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Air Force will win this game with 62.1% confidence.
Air Force vs San Jose St Spread Prediction for Week 4
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Air Force will cover the spread with 52.2% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Air Force and San Jose St, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Bet now on San Jose St vs Air Force and all games with BetMGM
Air Force Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Air Force has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+6.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- Air Force have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.89 Units / 43% ROI)
- Air Force has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+5.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- Air Force has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+4.00 Units / 6% ROI)
- Air Force has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.50 Units / 26% ROI)
San Jose St Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- San Jose State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 41% ROI)
- San Jose State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- San Jose State has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- San Jose State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.30 Units / 4% ROI)
- San Jose State have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.25 Units / 3% ROI)
Best Air Force Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Air Force players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- John Lee Eldridge III has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Best San Jose St Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for San Jose St players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Chevan Cordeiro has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Kairee Robinson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Chevan Cordeiro has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Nick Nash has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Justin Lockhart has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Air Force Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Air Force is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Air Force is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 21.98% ROI
- Air Force is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Air Force is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
San Jose St Against the Spread (ATS) Record
San Jose St is 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).
- San Jose St is 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -100% ROI
- San Jose St is 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
- San Jose St is 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
Air Force: Keys to the Game vs. San Jose St
Air Force is 12-2 (.800) when not losing a fumble since the 2021 season– tied for 4th-best in FBS; Average: .497
Air Force was winless (0-2) when allowing 200 or more passing yards in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .459
Air Force is 9-2 (.600) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2022 season– tied for 10th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .416
Air Force is undefeated (5-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2022 season– tied for 23rd-best in FBS; Average: .518
San Jose St: Keys to the Game vs. Air Force
San Jose State is 9-3 (.562) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2021 season– 14th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .432
San Jose State is 10-3 (.625) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2021 season– tied for 13th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .515
San Jose State is 5-13 (.278) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2021 season– tied for 36th-worst in FBS; Average: .400
San Jose State was 4-1 (.800) when rushing for more than 100 yards in the 2022 season– tied for 4th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .463
No notes available for this game
Air Force Offensive Stats & Trends
Air Force Skill Players have averaged just 3.2 receptions per game (94/29) since the 2021 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 19.1
Air Force Skill Players have averaged just 2.8 receptions per game (45/16) since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 19.3
Air Force Skill Players have averaged 20.8 yards per reception (271 yards/13 catches) in the 4th quarter since last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.2
Air Force Skill Players have averaged 23.9 yards per reception (2,245 yards/94 catches) since the 2021 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.2
Air Force Skill Players have been targeted 5.6 times per game (89/16) since last season– lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 30.1
San Jose St Offensive Stats & Trends
San Jose State RBs have averaged 7.3 Yards per Carry (415 yards/57 carries) in the 4th quarter since last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0
San Jose State RBs averaged 72.2 rushing yards per game (722/10) in the 2022 season– 5th worst among FBS Teams; Average: 131.8
San Jose State Kickers have averaged 54.7 yards per kickoff (7,335 yards/134 kickoffs) since the 2021 season– 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 61.4
San Jose State RBs have averaged 7.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (449 yards / 64 touches) in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3
San Jose State QBs have 24 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go since the 2021 season– 3rd most among FBS Teams
Air Force Falcons Defensive Stats & Trends
Air Force has allowed 5 rushing TDs on 50 carries (10 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.9
Air Force has allowed 241.0 yards from scrimmage per game since last season– best in FBS; Average: 373.2
Air Force has allowed 168.8 Passing Yards per game (2,700/16) since the 2022 season– best in FBS; Average: 239.7
Air Force has allowed 5 rushing TDs on 50 carries (10 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 4.8
Air Force allowed 257.3 yards from scrimmage per game in the 2022 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 383.7
San Jose State Spartans Defensive Stats & Trends
San Jose State tackled opponents for a loss on 16 of 58 rushing attempts (28% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 15%.
San Jose State tackled opponents for a loss on 16 of 58 rushing attempts (28% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.
San Jose State has sacked opponents 13 times in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– most among Non-Power 5 Teams
San Jose State has sacked opponents 13 times in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– most in FBS
San Jose State sacked opponents 5 times in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– tied for 2nd most among Non-Power 5 Teams
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