Air Force vs UNLV Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 7

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 14, 2022, 9:05 AM
  • (2-4) are point favorites vs (2-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
  • Watch the game on CBS Sports Network

The Air Force Falcons (5-2) visit Allegiant Stadium to take on the UNLV Rebels (4-3) on Oct. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EDT in Las Vegas.

are betting favorites in Week 7, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Air Force vs. UNLV is total points.

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Air Force vs. UNLV Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 7

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Air Force
UNLV

Air Force vs UNLV Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Air Force will win this game with 67.5% confidence.

Air Force vs UNLV Spread Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Air Force will cover the spread with 59.5% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Air Force and UNLV, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • Air Force has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 games (+7.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Air Force have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Air Force have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.69 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Air Force have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.90 Units / 60% ROI)
  • UNLV have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.45 Units / 27% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.35 Units / 23% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 16 games (+4.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the Game Total Over in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Air Force Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Air Force has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

    • Air Force is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
    • Air Force is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
    • Air Force is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

    UNLV Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    UNLV has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

    • UNLV is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
    • UNLV is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
    • UNLV is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

    UNLV: Keys to the Game vs. Air Force

    UNLV is 1-16 (.059) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2020 season– 9th-worst in FBS; Average: .289

    UNLV is 1-7 (.125) when in a one score game since the 2020 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: .493

    Air Force Offensive Stats & Trends

    Air Force Skill Players have averaged 24.3 yards per reception (413 yards/17 catches) on 3rd and long since last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.1

    Air Force Skill Players have been targeted 7.4 times per game (133/18) since last season– lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 29.7

    Air Force Skill Players have averaged just 2.2 receptions per game (39/18) in the 2nd half since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 8.7

    Air Force Skill Players have averaged 28.3 yards per reception (311 yards/11 catches) with over 10 yards to go since last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.4

    Air Force WRs have averaged 37.7 yards per reception (791 yards/21 catches) in the 1st half since last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.3

    UNLV Offensive Stats & Trends

    UNLV Punters have punted 1.3 times per game since last season– tied for 2nd lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.2

    UNLV Skill Players have averaged just 4.7 yards per reception (14 yards/3 catches) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.8

    UNLV Kickers have averaged 53.1 yards per kickoff (3,772 yards/71 kickoffs) since last season– 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 61.4

    UNLV RBs have averaged 1.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (18 yards / 12 touches) on 3rd down this season– 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.6

    UNLV TEs have averaged just 0 receptions per game (0/2) in the 2nd half this season– tied for worst among FBS Teams; Average: 1.6

    Air Force Falcons Defensive Stats & Trends

    Air Force has sacked opposing QBs on just 2% of pass attempts (2/116) this season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

    Air Force has sacked opposing QBs on just 2% of pass attempts (2/116) this season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 7%

    Air Force has allowed 30.1 carries per game (541 carries / 18 games) since last season– lowest among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 37.5

    Air Force has averaged 0.4 sacks per game this season– worst in FBS; Average: 2.1

    Air Force has allowed 293.6 yards from scrimmage per game since last season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 391.9

    UNLV Rebels Defensive Stats & Trends

    UNLV has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on just 1 of their 105 carries (1%) this season– 5th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 4%

    UNLV has allowed first downs on 14% of pass attempts in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 23%

    UNLV has allowed opponents to catch 296 of 435 passes (68% Reception Pct) since last season– 3rd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 61%

    UNLV has allowed 2.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (75 yards / 31 touches) in the Red Zone this season– tied for 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.8

    UNLV has allowed opponents to catch 296 of 435 passes (68% Reception Pct) since last season– 4th worst in FBS; Average: 61%


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