Air Force vs UNLV Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 7

BetMGM Betting Oct 10, 2025, 11:21 AM

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UNLV offensive lineman Leif Fautanu (79) rests his helmet on the turf before the NCAA college football game against Notre Dame, Saturday, Oct. 22, 2022, in South Bend, Ind. (AP Photo/Marc Lebryk)

(AP Photo/Marc Lebryk)

UNLV is a -6.5 point favorite vs. Air Force
Air Force vs. UNLV Total (Over/Under): 65.5 points
TV Channel: CBSN

Air Force (1-4) visit Allegiant Stadium to take on UNLV (5-0) on Oct. 11 in Las Vegas, NV. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

UNLV is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Air Force vs. UNLV Over/Under is 65.5 total points.

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Air Force vs. UNLV Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Air Force	+6.5 -110	65.5 -110	185
UNLV	-6.5 -110	65.5 -110	-225

Air Force vs UNLV Prediction:

The winning team model predicts UNLV will win this game with 65.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Air Force and UNLV, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Air Force vs UNLV Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UNLV will cover the spread with 52.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Air Force Best Bets Today

Air Force has hit the Team Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 86% ROI)
Air Force have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.83 Units / 27% ROI)
Air Force has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.80 Units / 52% ROI)
Air Force has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
Air Force have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)

UNLV Best Bets Today

UNLV has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 games (+10.10 Units / 12% ROI)
UNLV has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
UNLV has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.70 Units / 44% ROI)
UNLV has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.60 Units / 22% ROI)
UNLV have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)

Air Force Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Air Force is 2-3 against the spread this college football season (-1.35 Units / -24.32% ROI).

Air Force is 0-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.35 Units / -100% ROI
Air Force is 5-0 when betting the Over for +5 Units / 90.91% ROI
Air Force is 0-5 when betting the Under for -5.5 Units / -100% ROI

UNLV Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UNLV iss 4-1 against the spread this college football season (+2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI).

UNLV is 5-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.1 Units / 14.09% ROI
UNLV is 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
UNLV is 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI

Air Force: Keys to the Game vs. UNLV

Air Force has allowed 111.4 receiving yards per game (557/5) to RBs this season– worst in FBS; Average: 25.0

Air Force has allowed 15.0 yards per completion (1,562 yards/104 completions) this season– T-2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 11.4

Air Force has allowed 10.7 Yards per Attempt (1,562 yards/146 attempts) this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7.2

Air Force has allowed 15.0 yards per completion (1,562 yards/104 completions) this season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.6

Air Force has allowed 45.4 receiving yards per game (771/17) to RBs since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 25.0

UNLV: Keys to the Game vs. Air Force

UNLV has 9 interceptions this season– T-2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

UNLV allowed passes of 40+ yards on 21 of 398 attempts (5%) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3%

UNLV has averaged 1.80 interceptions per game (9/5) this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 0.76

UNLV allowed passes of 20+ yards on 67 of 398 attempts (17%) in the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 10%

UNLV has allowed 57.6 receiving yards per game (288/5) to RBs this season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 25.0

Matchup Notes for Air Force vs. UNLV