Akron vs Ball St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 8

Footballs sit ready on the field before an NCAA football game on Saturday, Oct. 14, 2023, in Muncie, Ind. (AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
(AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
  • Ball St is a -1.5 point favorite vs. Akron
  • Akron vs. Ball State Total (Over/Under): 42.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

Akron (2-5) visit Scheumann Stadium to take on Ball State (2-4) on Oct. 18 in Muncie, IN. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Ball St is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (100).

The Akron vs. Ball State Over/Under is 42.5 total points.

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Akron vs. Ball State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Akron+1.5 -12042.5 -110-105
Ball State -1.5 10042.5 -110-115

Akron vs Ball State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Akron will win this game with 59.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Akron and Ball St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Akron vs Ball State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Akron will cover the spread with 54.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Akron has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Akron has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Akron has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Akron have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Akron has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+2.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+7.70 Units / 141% ROI)
  • Ball State have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.35 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Ball State have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.20 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.10 Units / 8% ROI)

Akron Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Akron is 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI).

  • Akron is 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.75 Units / -8.43% ROI
  • Akron is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
  • Akron is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI

Ball State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Ball St iss 4-2 against the spread this college football season (+1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • Ball State is 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.6 Units / 47.71% ROI
  • Ball State is 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Ball State is 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI

Akron: Keys to the Game vs. Ball State

Akron intercepted 3 of 343 attempts (114.3 pass attempts per int.) last season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 36.1

Akron allowed 8.0 touchdowns per interception (24 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) last season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0

Akron intercepted 3 of 343 attempts (114.3 pass attempts per int.) last season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 37.9

Akron allowed 8.0 touchdowns per interception (24 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) last season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

Akron had no interceptions and 14 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 9.4

Ball State: Keys to the Game vs. Akron

Akron’s WRs has averaged 14.1 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-29th-best among FBS WRs. Ball State’s defense has allowed 13.2 RAC since the 2024 season — T-9th-worst among FBS defenses.

Akron’s offense has thrown for 1,277 passing yards in 7 games (just 182.4 YPG) this season — 28th-worst among FBS offenses. Ball State’s defense has allowed 246.8 passing yards per game this season — 28th-worst among FBS defenses.

Akron’s WRs has gained 3,008 yards on 213 receptions (14.1 YPR) since the 2024 season — T-32nd-best among FBS WRs. Ball State’s defense has allowed 13.3 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — T-9th-worst among FBS defenses.

Matchup Notes for Akron vs. Ball State

Akron’s WRs has averaged 14.1 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-29th-best among FBS WRs. Ball State’s defense has allowed 13.2 RAC since the 2024 season — T-9th-worst among FBS defenses.

Akron’s offense has thrown for 1,277 passing yards in 7 games (just 182.4 YPG) this season — 28th-worst among FBS offenses. Ball State’s defense has allowed 246.8 passing yards per game this season — 28th-worst among FBS defenses.

Akron’s WRs has gained 3,008 yards on 213 receptions (14.1 YPR) since the 2024 season — T-32nd-best among FBS WRs. Ball State’s defense has allowed 13.3 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — T-9th-worst among FBS defenses.

Akron intercepted 3 of 343 attempts (114.3 pass attempts per int.) last season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 36.1

Akron allowed 8.0 touchdowns per interception (24 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) last season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0

Akron intercepted 3 of 343 attempts (114.3 pass attempts per int.) last season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 37.9

Akron allowed 8.0 touchdowns per interception (24 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) last season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

Akron had no interceptions and 14 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 9.4

Akron Offensive Stats & Trends

Akron intercepted 3 of 343 attempts (114.3 pass attempts per int.) last season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 36.1

Akron allowed 8.0 touchdowns per interception (24 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) last season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0

Akron intercepted 3 of 343 attempts (114.3 pass attempts per int.) last season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 37.9

Akron allowed 8.0 touchdowns per interception (24 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) last season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

Akron had no interceptions and 14 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 9.4

Ball State Offensive Stats & Trends

Akron’s WRs has averaged 14.1 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-29th-best among FBS WRs. Ball State’s defense has allowed 13.2 RAC since the 2024 season — T-9th-worst among FBS defenses.

Akron’s offense has thrown for 1,277 passing yards in 7 games (just 182.4 YPG) this season — 28th-worst among FBS offenses. Ball State’s defense has allowed 246.8 passing yards per game this season — 28th-worst among FBS defenses.

Akron’s WRs has gained 3,008 yards on 213 receptions (14.1 YPR) since the 2024 season — T-32nd-best among FBS WRs. Ball State’s defense has allowed 13.3 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — T-9th-worst among FBS defenses.

Akron Defensive Stats & Trends

Akron intercepted 3 of 343 attempts (114.3 pass attempts per int.) last season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 36.1

Akron allowed 8.0 touchdowns per interception (24 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) last season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0

Akron intercepted 3 of 343 attempts (114.3 pass attempts per int.) last season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 37.9

Akron allowed 8.0 touchdowns per interception (24 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) last season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

Akron had no interceptions and 14 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 9.4

Ball State Defensive Stats & Trends

Akron’s WRs has averaged 14.1 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-29th-best among FBS WRs. Ball State’s defense has allowed 13.2 RAC since the 2024 season — T-9th-worst among FBS defenses.

Akron’s offense has thrown for 1,277 passing yards in 7 games (just 182.4 YPG) this season — 28th-worst among FBS offenses. Ball State’s defense has allowed 246.8 passing yards per game this season — 28th-worst among FBS defenses.

Akron’s WRs has gained 3,008 yards on 213 receptions (14.1 YPR) since the 2024 season — T-32nd-best among FBS WRs. Ball State’s defense has allowed 13.3 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — T-9th-worst among FBS defenses.


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