Akron vs Buffalo Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 14

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 02, 2022, 9:45 AM
  • Buffalo U (5-6) are -11.5 point favorites vs Akron (2-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
  • Watch the game on CBS Sports Network

The Akron Zips (2-10) visit UB Stadium to take on the Buffalo Bulls (6-6) on Dec. 2. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Buffalo.

are betting favorites in Week 14, with the spread sitting at ().

The Akron vs. Buffalo U Over/Under is total points.

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Akron vs. Buffalo U Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 14

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Akron
Buffalo U

Akron vs Buffalo U Prediction for Week 14

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Buffalo will win this game with 73.7% confidence.

Akron vs Buffalo U Spread Prediction for Week 14

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Akron will cover the spread with 79.3% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Akron and Buffalo U, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Akron has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.80 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Akron has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Akron has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 15 games (+3.46 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Akron has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 6 away games (+3.15 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Akron have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.80 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+6.05 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.85 Units / 56% ROI)

Akron Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Akron has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Akron is 1-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.2 Units / -45.71% ROI
  • Akron is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Akron is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI

Buffalo U Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Buffalo U has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Buffalo is 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -5.77% ROI
  • Buffalo is 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
  • Buffalo is 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI

Akron: Keys to the Game vs. Buffalo U

Akron is winless (0-17) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .426

Akron is winless (0-6) when in a one score game since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .494

Akron is 2-18 (.100) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2021 season– tied for 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: .451

Akron is 1-17 (.056) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2021 season– tied for 5th-worst in FBS; Average: .398

Buffalo U: Keys to the Game vs. Akron

Buffalo is 2-10 (.167) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2021 season– tied for 13th-worst in FBS; Average: .449

Buffalo is 2-10 (.167) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2021 season– 12th-worst in FBS; Average: .497

Buffalo U Offensive Stats & Trends

Akron have been sacked on 14% of pass attempts (108/753) since last season– tied for 2nd worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 7%

Akron QBs have fumbled 5 times in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Akron RBs have averaged 81.0 rushing yards per game (1,783/22) since last season– 5th worst among FBS Teams; Average: 132.5

Akron have been sacked on 16% of pass attempts (33/210) in the 4th quarter since last season– 4th worst among Non-Power 5 Offenses; Average: 8%

Akron have been sacked 108 times since last season– most among FBS Offenses

Buffalo U Offensive Stats & Trends

Buffalo RBs have averaged 3.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (510 yards / 151 touches) on 1st down this season– tied for worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Buffalo Punters have placed 4% of punts inside the 20 (1/22) this season– 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 32%

Buffalo RBs have averaged 10.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (325 yards / 31 touches) on third and 3-5 yards to go since last season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.7

Buffalo RBs have been targeted 39 times in close and late situations since last season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Buffalo Skill Players have been targeted 188 times in close and late situations since last season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Akron Zips Defensive Stats & Trends

Akron has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 14 of 284 attempts (5%) this season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 2%

Akron has allowed opponents to catch just 23 of 56 passes (41% Reception Pct) in close and late situations since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 58%

Akron has tackled opponents for a loss on just 97 of 875 rushing attempts (11% TFL%) since last season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

Akron has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 14 of 284 attempts (5%) this season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 2%

Akron has allowed 205.5 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs since last season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 153.1

Buffalo Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends

Buffalo has allowed 10.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (212 yards / 21 touches) on 3rd and short this season– worst in FBS; Average: 4.9

Buffalo has allowed 10.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (212 yards / 21 touches) on 3rd and short this season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 5.1

Buffalo has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 14 rushing attempts (29% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 12%.

Buffalo has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 14 rushing attempts (29% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 12%.

Buffalo has allowed 14.8 yards per completion (5,177 yards/349 completions) since last season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 12.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.